Erich Hartmann was officially credited with 352 kills. We all know this, however primary Soviet sources prove that many of his victims never actually crashed and were repaired.
So...
Are the Soviet archives reliable?
Yes people have found the serial number of multiple aircraft that were listed as lost, and then they found the wreckage in real life and the wreckage had the same serial number, so the archives are accurate. Of course, we can't find every single wreck, however since we have multiple cases of the serial numbers in the wreckage matching the serial numbers in the archives, we can conclude that these archives are accurate.
If you still think that Soviet archives are unreliable, then there is no point ever discussing Soviet aviation. For all we know the information could be made up!
Why did the Soviets put him on trial for destroying 345 aircraft when their archives proved he didn't?
Hartmann was in Soviet captivity and the Soviets would have interrogated Hartmann and learnt about the fact he was credited with 352 kills. The Soviets, most likely angry, put him on trial for destroying Soviet planes which damaged the economy. They were bitter because in their mind, there's this person who was officially credited with 352 kills and so they would want to convict based on anything. Russian Federation pardoned Hartmann posthumously and admitted the trial was all wrong.
Is Hartmann a liar?
No way. Hartmann's success raised suspicion in the Luftwaffe and so observers flew alongside him. The observers concluded that every single victory Hartmann claimed was real and genuine. The Luftwaffe double and triple checked his kills and confirmed them. Everyone involved thought Hartmann got 352.
If Hartmann claimed 352 kills and the Luftwaffe agreed and confirmed his claims, why are there so many overclaims?
Hartmann, his comrades, observers and everyone who was a witness to Hartmann's kills would have seen this scenario:
Hartmann fires at a plane. He hits the plane and damages it. The plane spirals down with what looks like critical damage. Explosions from the battles would be mistaken as the aircraft exploding. Of course Hartmann did destroy planes. He destroyed a large amount but also just damaged some too.
How do we know Hartmann hit his opponents?
We can see that Soviet aircraft were damaged and repaired and they were attacked the same time Hartmann claimed them.
Do Soviet aircraft often appear critically damaged when they're not?
Yes Yakovlev aircraft with metal frames and canvas can look critically damaged but actually aren't. Hartmann engaged many Yak fighters.
Hartmann's accuracy over Hungary during 1944-45 was about 20-30% at most. From the victories I've looked at on the eastern front from 1942-44 his accuracy was more like 50-60%.
Why did his accuracy decrease?
From 1942-44 Hartmann engaged with these fighters:
Yaks, Lavochkins, LaGGs, P-39s and possibly P-40s
From 1944-45 over Hungary he engaged these fighters only:
Yaks and Lavochkins
Why would this cause a drop off in his accuracy?
Well the Yak aircraft with the metal frames and canvas can appear critically damaged. From 1942-44 he would have engaged with Yaks but he also would have engaged with Lavochkins, LaGGs, P-39s and P-40s this means he can encounter many different types of fighters. Over Hungary he only would have engaged with Yaks and Lavochkins. So everytime he claimed a fighter there was a much higher chance it would be a Yak. This would mean there was more opportunity to engage with a Yak and inflict the damage that looked critical.
Ok but how do we know that Hartmann only engaged Yaks and Lavochkins from 1944-45 over Hungary?
The Soviet 5 and 17 VAs were the only VAs involved in Hungary from 1944-45. These two VAs only used Yaks and Lavochkins as their fighters at this time of the war. No P-39s, P-40s, LaGGs or any other kind of fighter.
Can we 100% determine if a victory is real or an overclaim?
Not always. Sometimes there isn't enough information to conclusively say if it's a victory or not. We have to call these victories potential victories. The person looking at the information can come to their own conclusion about whether or not it's a victory based on the facts.
This is why there are only estimates to a pilot's real score because you can't always be 100% certain. If I had to guess about Hartmann I would give him roughly 190 real victories that resulted in the destruction of an aircraft based on what I've seen
But is there any evidence for all this?
Yes of course
The first two images show proof that serial numbers in Soviet archives match with serial numbers found on real wreckage. This makes the archives reliable.
The next two images show the Yaks phenomenon. Both of the Yaks in the pictures were NOT written off. As you can see they suffered what looks like critical damage. If I was Hartmann and I saw an aircraft damaged like that as well as nose diving and trailing smoke and then saw explosions from the battles near where I last my damaged victim, I would assume it's a victory too!
The rest of the images show some of Hartmann's victory claims over Hungary and conclude with either a Full victory, a potential victory or an overclaim. Under each day, the author provides an explanation for the conclusions he comes to. It's explained why it's a victory or overclaim.
Are the tables shown in the pictures, which show aircraft losses on a certain day, reliable and accurate?
Yes they are taken from a primary source in the form of Soviet archives which has been shown to be reliable. There are references to also show where in the Soviet archives they're located.
All of these pictures are from Gábor Horváth's excellent book Verified Victories. He also provided the images of the real life wreckages and their serial numbers. All credit goes to him.
So is Hartmann a good pilot?
More than that. Hartmann is an excellent pilot who hit the aircraft he claimed. Due to the heat of battle and being in a warzone, he sometimes made mistakes in his conclusions, but they were reliable claims since everyone who was with him confirmed the victories. Everyone with him confirmed the victories showing he wasn't a liar and that nobody realised the aircraft was actually repaired. Is it 352 kills? Absolutely not, but it's still around 180-190 mark which is a fantastic score.
Oh and finally if a secondary source only uses primary sources for the information, then yes the secondary source is still secondary, but it's easier to just refer to it as a primary source since it only contains information from primary sources.
Phew! That was long but researching aircraft losses is incredibly fun and it's always satisfying to discover new things. It'd be interesting to see on here what other people have found out researching losses and claims!
So...
Are the Soviet archives reliable?
Yes people have found the serial number of multiple aircraft that were listed as lost, and then they found the wreckage in real life and the wreckage had the same serial number, so the archives are accurate. Of course, we can't find every single wreck, however since we have multiple cases of the serial numbers in the wreckage matching the serial numbers in the archives, we can conclude that these archives are accurate.
If you still think that Soviet archives are unreliable, then there is no point ever discussing Soviet aviation. For all we know the information could be made up!
Why did the Soviets put him on trial for destroying 345 aircraft when their archives proved he didn't?
Hartmann was in Soviet captivity and the Soviets would have interrogated Hartmann and learnt about the fact he was credited with 352 kills. The Soviets, most likely angry, put him on trial for destroying Soviet planes which damaged the economy. They were bitter because in their mind, there's this person who was officially credited with 352 kills and so they would want to convict based on anything. Russian Federation pardoned Hartmann posthumously and admitted the trial was all wrong.
Is Hartmann a liar?
No way. Hartmann's success raised suspicion in the Luftwaffe and so observers flew alongside him. The observers concluded that every single victory Hartmann claimed was real and genuine. The Luftwaffe double and triple checked his kills and confirmed them. Everyone involved thought Hartmann got 352.
If Hartmann claimed 352 kills and the Luftwaffe agreed and confirmed his claims, why are there so many overclaims?
Hartmann, his comrades, observers and everyone who was a witness to Hartmann's kills would have seen this scenario:
Hartmann fires at a plane. He hits the plane and damages it. The plane spirals down with what looks like critical damage. Explosions from the battles would be mistaken as the aircraft exploding. Of course Hartmann did destroy planes. He destroyed a large amount but also just damaged some too.
How do we know Hartmann hit his opponents?
We can see that Soviet aircraft were damaged and repaired and they were attacked the same time Hartmann claimed them.
Do Soviet aircraft often appear critically damaged when they're not?
Yes Yakovlev aircraft with metal frames and canvas can look critically damaged but actually aren't. Hartmann engaged many Yak fighters.
Hartmann's accuracy over Hungary during 1944-45 was about 20-30% at most. From the victories I've looked at on the eastern front from 1942-44 his accuracy was more like 50-60%.
Why did his accuracy decrease?
From 1942-44 Hartmann engaged with these fighters:
Yaks, Lavochkins, LaGGs, P-39s and possibly P-40s
From 1944-45 over Hungary he engaged these fighters only:
Yaks and Lavochkins
Why would this cause a drop off in his accuracy?
Well the Yak aircraft with the metal frames and canvas can appear critically damaged. From 1942-44 he would have engaged with Yaks but he also would have engaged with Lavochkins, LaGGs, P-39s and P-40s this means he can encounter many different types of fighters. Over Hungary he only would have engaged with Yaks and Lavochkins. So everytime he claimed a fighter there was a much higher chance it would be a Yak. This would mean there was more opportunity to engage with a Yak and inflict the damage that looked critical.
Ok but how do we know that Hartmann only engaged Yaks and Lavochkins from 1944-45 over Hungary?
The Soviet 5 and 17 VAs were the only VAs involved in Hungary from 1944-45. These two VAs only used Yaks and Lavochkins as their fighters at this time of the war. No P-39s, P-40s, LaGGs or any other kind of fighter.
Can we 100% determine if a victory is real or an overclaim?
Not always. Sometimes there isn't enough information to conclusively say if it's a victory or not. We have to call these victories potential victories. The person looking at the information can come to their own conclusion about whether or not it's a victory based on the facts.
This is why there are only estimates to a pilot's real score because you can't always be 100% certain. If I had to guess about Hartmann I would give him roughly 190 real victories that resulted in the destruction of an aircraft based on what I've seen
But is there any evidence for all this?
Yes of course
The first two images show proof that serial numbers in Soviet archives match with serial numbers found on real wreckage. This makes the archives reliable.
The next two images show the Yaks phenomenon. Both of the Yaks in the pictures were NOT written off. As you can see they suffered what looks like critical damage. If I was Hartmann and I saw an aircraft damaged like that as well as nose diving and trailing smoke and then saw explosions from the battles near where I last my damaged victim, I would assume it's a victory too!
The rest of the images show some of Hartmann's victory claims over Hungary and conclude with either a Full victory, a potential victory or an overclaim. Under each day, the author provides an explanation for the conclusions he comes to. It's explained why it's a victory or overclaim.
Are the tables shown in the pictures, which show aircraft losses on a certain day, reliable and accurate?
Yes they are taken from a primary source in the form of Soviet archives which has been shown to be reliable. There are references to also show where in the Soviet archives they're located.
All of these pictures are from Gábor Horváth's excellent book Verified Victories. He also provided the images of the real life wreckages and their serial numbers. All credit goes to him.
So is Hartmann a good pilot?
More than that. Hartmann is an excellent pilot who hit the aircraft he claimed. Due to the heat of battle and being in a warzone, he sometimes made mistakes in his conclusions, but they were reliable claims since everyone who was with him confirmed the victories. Everyone with him confirmed the victories showing he wasn't a liar and that nobody realised the aircraft was actually repaired. Is it 352 kills? Absolutely not, but it's still around 180-190 mark which is a fantastic score.
Oh and finally if a secondary source only uses primary sources for the information, then yes the secondary source is still secondary, but it's easier to just refer to it as a primary source since it only contains information from primary sources.
Phew! That was long but researching aircraft losses is incredibly fun and it's always satisfying to discover new things. It'd be interesting to see on here what other people have found out researching losses and claims!
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