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If the Luftwaffe focuses on the escorts(which were quite capable of defending themselves on equal or better terms against the Nazi fighters) then the bomber streams attack their targets totally unmolested.
And even assuming a 3:1 kill ratio vs the allied escorts, the Nazi's would've still done little more than prolong their agony, considering that in theater they were outnumbered over 10:1 in operational fighter aircraft(I'm guessing probably a lot more than 10:1, though i do not have the figures).
The Allies probably had 5:1 total fighter superiority if the LW put Luftflotte Reich in range of RAF, 9th AF, 8th AF FC and engaged over Holland through France in spring 1944.
That does not strike me as a winning strategy either.
Absolutely False...by 1945 Allied jet engine technology had already surpassed that of the Germans anyway.
It just depends on who was able to win the dogfights
This is simply not true. The garrison requirements for the SU alone would've gobbled up hundreds of thousands of germans and all the associated war materiel they would need to stay there. This would be a MASSIVE drain on Nazi resources....even if there was no insurgency after the war in the East ended(Which is highly unlikely).The achilles heal for the US, like the British was the shortage of manpower. If the the Germans managed to shut down the eastern front, 80% of their casualties disappear overnight, and the massive drain on materiel falls off dramatically as well.
Depends when in the war you're talking. In 1945 on GI veteran was probably worth 10 German conscripts. In 1942, one hardened SS man is probably worth 10 green US GI's.Studies by Dunigan and others suggest that on average, each German soldier and airman is worth about 1.5 allied soldiers.
How did we even get to a 5 million casualty figure? Even if you triple the LW's kill rate they get nowhere near that figure.Given the sensitivity of the Allies to losses, I can hardly see them paying something in the order of 8-10 million lives for victory (given an assumed German casualty figure of 5 million).
Take away LL and there are no massive Soviet counter-offensives. I would say the US won WWII more than any other nation. Without the 300,000 trucks the US sent, and all the thousands of rail cars, and the steel, explosives, yada, yada the soviets, even if they still blunt the German offensive, simply cannot exploit the reversals because they'd lack the transportation, the explosives, the steel, the whole nine yards.The Russians won the war against the germans, make no mistake, with admittedly a lot of help.
No Russians = nuclear Armageddon in 1945-46 for the German populace.Remove the Russians from the equation, and the allies are unable to win IMO, because only the Russians were prepred to pay whatever the cost for victory
The USAAF bomber command was getting near to breaking before the introduction of long range escorts. I am not sure how much more heavy losses could be taken. Attacking the escorts as well as the bombers would have helped Germany. By switching priorities in 1943 to reichs defense might have stopped the daylight bombing altogether.
The October 14 1943 losses had already effectively slowed the 8th AF to point that few deep penetrations were attempted until the introduction of the Mustang. When Big Week occured in 21 Feb timeframe, the 8th and 9th had 3 Mustang and 2 Lightning groups operational. Two weeks later for first Berlin mission there were 4 Mustang plus three Lightning Groups operational for Berlin. Two days later there were 5 Mustang groups fully operational for second maximum effort Berlin mission on March 8 - from this point forward the maximum effort deep penetration attacks multiplied and probably as much to draw out and destroy the LW as any other reason.
Before the daylight bombing campaign began a very carefully prepared study was submitted to the USAAF. Basically it outlined and pinpointed every strategic target in Germany and took into account losses to flak, and fighters as well as weather situations and target hit probabilities. The study surmised that almost 7,000 missions would have to be flown over Germany to destroy its production capability.
Th major problem at the time was not so much losses to fighters as was losses to flak.
This was true in 1945 but not true in 1943 and 1944 - GAF Fighters took a far higher toll and continued in a couple of isolated days (i.e.April 29, May 12, July 7, Sept 27) to hit one particular Bomb Wing with devating results
A few cases could be the exception such as the RAF Nuremburg raid. Due to weather and flak only 22% of all bombs dropped during the raids over Germany came within 5 miles of the intended targets. This is what led to the area bombing of German cities. The dismal accuracy was noted and target area saturation seemed better then precise targeting.
So I think if more attention was paid to picking up the escorts after they crossed the channel and engaging them instead of the bombers some sort of small victory could be obtained, short term. It just depends on who was able to win the dogfights. If the escorts could be engaged and kept busy then other fighters could swoop in and hunt the edges of the bombers with more impunity.
The RAF and USAAF performed very well against the LW from the September 1943 timeframe forward as the 8th and 9th built up to 12 Fighter Groups - numerically superior to JG2 and 26 - and gained valuable experience and better tactical awareness of strengths and weaknesses of the P-47 vs 109 and 190. IMO, this is the only time that my 'ring theory' had a chance to set the USAAF back on its heels - and as pointed out, should only be temporary in a battle of attrition.
This would lead to more attrition on both sides, but the object is to make daylight raids too dangerous because the war was already decided in Russia and the Med.
Nope, it is not false if the information i have seen is accurate(and i have no reason to believe it's not). By 1945 Allied Jet engines produced more thrust and had much more reliability than contemporary Nazi engines. This is a simple fact. I am sure i can find a chart if you really need proof.Absolutely False...
That the germans lacked the raw materials to make.There were more advanced versions of the Jumo that would have put it on par with allied engines that were coming off the assembly lines by 1947.
The war was lost long before that stage as well. Several times over, really.The war was decided in the MTO as well as the Eastern front before it there was any invasion in Normandy.
By the end of 45, sure but what about the beginning of 45, the last months of the war?Nope, it is not false if the information i have seen is accurate(and i have no reason to believe it's not). By 1945 Allied Jet engines produced more thrust and had much more reliability than contemporary Nazi engines. This is a simple fact. I am sure i can find a chart if you really need proof.
That the germans lacked the raw materials to make.
By late war they were facing all kinds of raw material shortages. Historically they could not even build enough engines for Me262s, and those they did build were terribly unreliable.
The war was decided in the MTO as well as the Eastern front before it there was any invasion in Normandy. After Stalingrad and the Afrika Korps getting booted from Africa and then the humiliating defeat at Sicily theb third reich had lost all initiative and had to go on the defensive. Those defeats lost a large swath of experienced and capable troops as well. The vital resources that the third reich was depending on using to sustain the reich were also gone with the wind.
Though i do not disagree with your observations regarding their advanced jet engines, again, by 1945 the Allied designs were producing more power with longer service life on average. I should find that chart, it's pretty telling. (i'm still trying to find it)The only thing they lacked was raw material...and time - and they knew that.
the Jumo 004 had a shelf life up to 10 hours. The Germans were attempting to substitute nickel steels so their engines could be made more reliable. The early J-33s and RR Wellands were just a little better but because of their construction were lasting another 10 hours more. Test pilot Tony Levier had a turbine disk come off an early P-80 south of Muroc in 1944 - it only had 5 hourd on it.
the 004C was being developed with an afterburner; the 004E was more fuel efficient, put out more thrust (1650 lbs) and was more reliable. When the war ended Junkers was working on the 004H which was capable of over 2,600 pounds thrust.
From the 004C and on you were looking at power plants that were probably just as advanced as the first J-35s. Yes, early German turbine engines were unreliable, but they were no way behind allied engines of the same period.
By the end of 45, I'll agree, but your original quoteThough i do not disagree with your observations regarding their advanced jet engines, again, by 1945 the Allied designs were producing more power with longer service life on average. I should find that chart, it's pretty telling. (i'm still trying to find it)
by 1945 Allied jet engine technology had already surpassed that of the Germans anyway
Agree...And again, even if they had plans for a PW F-100, they simply lacked the ability to produce them in sufficient numbers, as well as lacking the fuel to fly the birds even if they did build them in the numbers they needed.
When the war ended the best ther allies were getting out of the J-33/ Welland was about 2000 pounds and that was in the test cell.
The Germans were attempting to substitute nickel steels so their engines could be made more reliable. The early J-33s and RR Wellands were just a little better but because of their construction were lasting another 10 hours more.
the 004C was being developed with an afterburner; the 004E was more fuel efficient, put out more thrust (1650 lbs) and was more reliable.
Yes, early German turbine engines were unreliable, but they were no way behind "technically" allied engines of the same period, quite the opposite.
Sure, by the end of the war, what were they doing when they were first put on an airframe?By 1945 the time of the Welland was over, the first Meteor F3s introduced in 1944 had Derwent engines which were producing up to 2600lbf by the end of the war (Mk IV) and had a life of around 200hours. The Nene, Goblin and Ghost were already running and producing vastly more power.
AgreeReliability isn't about engine lifetime.
Also agreeThe problem facing the Jumo 004 was compressor stall leading to flameout with rapid throttle changes and vibration in the turbine (which was pretty much solved eventually). The build quality on the 004 can only be described as poor (based on my experience). The centrifugal compressor is much less prone to surging.
Also agree...Part of the poor lifetime with German engines was down to the fact that turbine temperatures were already higher than the allied engines. In conjunction with low pressure ratio you get a lot of thrust in exchange for lower lifetime and poorer fuel consumption.
Again, in 1945 and more so toward the later part of the year.The lifetimes of allied engines was over 150hours and up to about 300 or so.
Agree 100%The one German advantage, that they had been forced into studying air cooled turbine blades which eventually worked so lower amounts of specialised materials could be used. The German engines were suited to the type of war they were fighting and their restrictions. The Allied ones were better optimised for their war and peacetime postwar.
Sure, by the end of the war, what were they doing when they were first put on an airframe?
Again, in 1945 and more so toward the later part of the year.
I believe the J-33 as installed on the P-80 had a 25 hour life.No, those lifetimes are true for 1943. Reliability would be a bit worse as the combustion problems had only just been solved but materials remained the same so life shouldn't be appreciably different.
I have heard about that and it would of been pretty amazing if the potiential was seen.One I forgot before, the LR.1 turbofan under construction by Power Jets (and almost completed according to Whittle) just before it was nationalised and effectively disbanded. 6000lbf with a bypass ratio of 3.0
However, on a tactical level, the interception of the allied fighter groups over the Dutch and French coast by high performance LW fighters would force them to drop tanks and deal with this threat. The goal of the LW fighters was to engage them, getting one or two here and there. But engagement is crucial. It is the goal to strip away the fighter escort.