Hardly an authoritative source, IMO.
Jim
The figures for the USAAFs seem to be taken generally from the September-December 1944 'Report on Bombing Accuracy' by the Operational Analysis Section of the Eighth Air Force, which is THE definitive source.
To put things into perspective, only 14% of the 8th AF's total effort was made in good visual conditions,
55% was done in 6-7/10 cloud or heavier, when the bombers, using an optical sight, could either not see the ground or only see it occasionally. 57% of the total effort was 'radar bombing' using H2X.
Bombing through cloud cover the
average range error was 1.74 miles, deflection error 1.40 miles and circular error 2.48 miles. More than half the bombs, 58.5%, fell within five miles of the aiming point. The rest were not recorded, so who knows where they ended up. This was not precision bombing, despite the pretence maintained by some senior US airmen, even after the war. The figures were better for 4-5/10 cloud, being 1.08 miles, 1.08 miles, 1.77 miles respectively.
Notice that the errors are measured in miles, not yards.
Through 10/10 cloud just 0.2% of bombs fell within 1,000 feet of the aiming point. That's ONE in FIVE HUNDRED. Unfortunately, such conditions are common over NW Europe for much of the year.
Again, it was better as the cloud thinned, through 4-5/10 cloud 4.4% fell within 1,000 feet of the aiming point and almost all (96%) fell within five miles, so at least they would hit a reasonably sized city.
All figures taken from the report referenced in the first sentence.