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That's my point, the Condor Legion devised tactics to deal with the enemy and had excellent, experienced pilots with much superior equipment as of 1939, so when they show up in China they would have all that going for them.And again, a lot of that was based on tactics.
TL;DR Version: The BF-109 and the I-16 had, through most of the Spanish Civil War (until 1939) a comparable performance with one holding some advantages over the other that they could exploit to beat each other, however the Condor Legion had developed superior tactics and had overall better pilots. I also would add that it's pretty hard to compare the victory and loss claims done by both sides since they used a different systemology to classify combat losses and there was a significant case of over-claiming by both sides during the war."
Bf 109 B/C/D vs. Polikarpov I-16 type 5/10 - Axis History Forum
Well, then we're all agreed that Germany couldn't take Russia, but will easily overcome Japan.
So what's the next "what if"?
The world as we know it would have ceased to exist, the western world would have collapsed and we would most likely have never been born.what if bacon had never been invented???
what if bacon had never been invented???
On the ground the German army was well equipped to deal with the Japanese Army, only at sea was there a serious risk to German dominance. Even here the IJN were very poorly equipped for anti sub warfare and the German Navy were very good at submarine warfare so on balance I would edge it to the German fleet.
I am not sure what advantage the DB601's supercharger had over the Japanese engines in 1939-41.
DB601 didn't really have a very good supercharger. Putting a powerful engine in a light airplane can give good altitude results but then that's what the Japanese were doing anyway.
What about airfields? How many airfields would have been able to accommodate large, long-range transport aircraft? The likes of converted Fw-200s and, slightly later, Ju 252s would be very useful, albeit more costly for fuel used and unlikely practical to supplant land/sea supply routes. (perhaps enough to fill the gaps for whatever materials/resources/personnel were least possible to move on the ground or at sea)The Chinese infrastructure had few railroads. Few, if any, paved roads outside of cities and rather restricted river traffic, at least the type of boats/barges that could deal with Vehicles, artillery and the like.
A "China Legion" might be able to help defend one major city or province.
Most of Germany's most skilled/experienced early-war pilots were already around in 1939. We're basically talking starting with the same sort of personnel and equipment that Germany had online just before invading Poland.Since Germany is not at war in this scenario, where are all these hoardes of experienced pilots coming from? Did Germany start ramping up their wartime production just to go to China to fight?
No Hitler, possibly not a Nazi government as we know it at all.And saying that Stalin would just let a massive army and supply-line snake across his country is ridiculous. Not only is Stalin dangerously paranoid, but that is asking a tremendous amount of trust on behalf of Hitler, who was dellusional beyond beleif. Also, how well would Germany be able to move this tremendous amount of equipment all the way over to China during winter and spring? They couldn't even move equipment on the road to Stalingrad.
What if after the victory in the Spanish Civil War the Germans opt to continue and expand their contributions to the Chinese resistance to the Japanese invasion; let's say Hitler dies after violating the Munich Agreement in March 1939 and the war with Poland doesn't happen, but Germany still has issues with hard currency and Chinese payments of minerals are deemed vital to German economic health.
They also may have cut back funding for new designs without the war in Europe pushing the need, but indeed shifting the targets for what needs they did have (for both home defense if hostilities should flare up and for actions in China). The He 100 and Fw 187 were already there in development pre-war as were Heinkel's Jets (though not really relevant for action in China). Some cuts to designs originally made to focus on volume production in war-time may have been kept in development though, like the DB-603, Ju 252, Fw 206, and re-evaluating the merits of the He 100 and Fw 187 against the competition in service or to supplement existing designs. (the Bf 110 did have advantages over the 187 and ones that might have proven much more useful against Japan than they had against Britain)necessity is the mother of invention. the LW may and probably would have had a whole different criteria for ac specs were it facing japan. the 190 may not have even been put into production. the 109 may have been drasticly modified or even phased out. you may have seen heinkels as the main ac or complete different MEs or FWs.
As above, I think development of existing (or well into development) types of 1939 might have made more sense, and besides that, the Me 110 did have room for growth on its own. (tasks the 410 could do that the 110 couldn't at al1 would likely fall to Ju 88 variants)The Me110 would come into its own as a strike aircraft having a good speed advantage over Japanese fighters and the Me410 would be very, very, effective.
Messerschmitt Bf 110 â€" Wikipedia
Better than the Fw190. With external tanks that increased to 1500 miles.
This is very significant and may clear up some of the range discrepancies for the Bf 110 figures as well.No doubt the Japanese Naval aircraft and Army aircraft (to a lessor extent) had extremely impressive ranges which were obtained predominantly by cutting back on armour and self sealing fuel tanks. However the Me 109 range limitations need to be considered in context.
Range of an Me 109E4 was about 410 miles at maximum cruise inclusive of climb and reserves. Slow the aircraft to economical cruise and the range goes up to around 1100km (650 miles). Add a 300L drop tank to supplement the 400L internal fuel the ranges are about 650 miles and 1000 miles respectively.
Me 109's also seem to be able to cruise at speeds almost as fast as Japanese maximum speeds: this is what was essential in the European context. The Me 109 like the Spitfire was designed to intercept an enemy aircraft that might have risen from an airfield only a few dozen kilometres away.
This is quite an interesting what if.
The short version, in my opinion, would be that until the introduction of the ki-44 the luftwaffe would have it pretty much on its own in a straight fight,
snip
Hitler didn't dictate luftwaffe tactics, strategies and production in detail, are we to remove Göring and Udet too? A convincing case has to be made that die Luftwaffe would change tactics, and focus on other aircraft like Fw 187. Anyway, what German government would see an interest in spending scant resourses helping out the chinese government? And how would that go down with other governments with intersts in china?
The logistics becomes as usual an issue. Even with agreements with the land powers to move German material and personel, not to mention supplies, all the way over land to Chana, seems difficult at least. By sea the Germans, unassisted, would have little chance of squeezing enough past the impirial Japanese Navy.
As you know the early DB601s didn't need a good supercharger because they didn't rely on supercharging to increase engine power, the superchargers job was almost purely altitude compensation. Daimler Benz pulled every trick In the book to extract maximum power and economy from the engine via high compression ratio's of around 7.0:1.0 to 7.5:1.0 (latter even 8.5:1) while every other engine was around 6.0:1.0 and 6.5:1.0
Since the superchargers wasn't being used to over boost the engine it had plenty of reserve for compensating the altitude of the engine.
Range of an Me 109E4 was about 410 miles at maximum cruise inclusive of climb and reserves. Slow the aircraft to economical cruise and the range goes up to around 1100km (650 miles). Add a 300L drop tank to supplement the 400L internal fuel the ranges are about 650 miles and 1000 miles respectively.
This is very significant and may clear up some of the range discrepancies for the Bf 110 figures as well.
It seems range at economical cruise with drop tank wasn't much worse than the P-40C or P-39D, and possibly better than the Spitfire Mk.II.