Not definitive by any means...
WARPAINT SPECIAL No.1, Alan W. Hall, Hall Park Books
A few thoughts:
In the book: The 9th Air Force in WWII by Ken C. Rust
It was noted that the 410 FS had no band on the nose of the P-47 (but noted that some had black nose bands).
Remember that the P-47s in the ETO were delivered with black noses and tail bands. It may be that it was not worth the extra work to remove them.
I agree that the upper invasion stripes were over-painted with OD (probably). Remember, it was easier to obtain local paint so it may also be RAF Dark Green. I doubt that in this case as it looks like faded OD (RAF Dark Green is darker).
The underside invasion stripes were usually left. I doubt Neutral Gray was used since it had been phased out.
Also note: the profile above show incorrectly that the portion behind the cockpit under canopy was painted. Look at the photos, that area is unpainted. The photos above show it is a P-47D-22. It ultimate fate was: (410th FS, 373rd FG, 9th AF) in ground accident at RAF Woodchurch, Kent, England May 25, 1944. Pilot survived, aircraft badly damaged, unknown if repaired.
From the Finish Section of the P-47 Erection and Maintenance manual:
"Starting with P-47D-20 AC 42-25274, camouflage paint will no longer be applied to the P·47 at the factory. There is one exception to this and that is the top portion of the primary cowl, secondary cowl, and fuselage directly in front of the windshield. These surfaces will be painted with olive-drab No. 613 antiglare paint. The width of this painted area will line up approximately with the canopy rails."