Thinking back to the topic at hand, had Germany and Italy been somehow neutralized in 1938, perhaps by Britain not selling out Czechoslovakia in 1938, leading to Hitler's arrest and overthrow by the army in the
Oster conspiracy - Wikipedia.
Basically I want to get the Royal Navy to its maximum possible size and strength by the time Japan is becoming desperate for resources. So, it's now 1940, Germany is deep into two years of civil war with the army fighting with communists and nazis, with the German navy's projects after the two Scharnhorst class all on hold, with the entire KM fleet in disarray. Britain, France, Poland, etc. are safe for now from German invasion, with London, Paris, Moscow and Warsaw likely supporting one side or another in the German civil war. Italy's communists and anti-fascists see this as an opportunity to remove Mussolini and civil unrest breaks out. In France, where the Communist Party has been banned since the German–Soviet Non-aggression Pact in 1939, the communists also begin causing trouble anew, with help/interference from Moscow. The latter drives Mussolini closer to
relations with France. In short, continental Europe and the Mediterranean is a sh#tshow from 1938 until at least early 1941.
Meanwhile by mid-1941, the Royal Navy and RAF are fresh from the rearmament rush, but with no one to counter against. The Admirals and Air Marshalls look to the Pacific where the US' negotiations with Japan are failing and where trouble looks to be brewing, and see their salvation for Exchequer justification. With FIC in French hands, albeit domestically distracted ones, Malaya and Singapore are safer. But still, Britain knows that Japan needs to either go on the offensive for resources or capitulate to the Americans. So, in April 1941 the RN announces a renewed British Pacific Fleet to operate out of Singapore, Hong Kong and Sydney, with units rotating through Ceylon, consisting of the following:
HMNB Singapore (and surrounding Malay ports)
Fast (>28 knot) Battle Squadron: KGV, PoW, Hood, Renown (replaced by DoY later 1941)
Fast CV Squadron: Ark Royal, Illustrious, Formidable, Victorious (joins later 1941)
4xCAs, 6xCLs, 20xDD, 12xSSK
HMNB Tamar (Hong Kong): 1xCA, 2xCLs, 8xDD, 12xSSK
Sydney, Australia (and other Oz/PNG/Solomons ports): Primarily RAN cruisers, plus 4xSSK, 2xCL, 6xDD
This leaves the Atlantic and Mediterranean with 5xQEs, 5xRevenge, 2xNelsons, 3xCourageous, Hermes, Eagle, plus the majority of the RN's cruisers, destroyers and submarines just in case the Continentals kick off a war. Though with no british declaration of war, and thus limited to no conscription or war spending, some of these older battleships and carriers may be placed into the reserve fleet.
At Saigon the French send: 1xCA, 2xCL, 4xDD, 4xSSK. The Dutch already have most of their fleet at the DEI, plus add additional SSKs and DDs.
What do we envision the RAF sending to Malaya? And how does Japan and the USA react to this renewal of Anglo-French-Dutch naval strength in the region?