Where did the USSBS get the idea that the 4,000 lb HC bomb was designed to destroy machinery or any other hard targets. Certainly not from the British. High Capacity bombs were designed for use with incendiaries, they were area weapons. It was not a British idea, but one the learned from the Luftwaffe, which dropped parachute mines in combination with incendiaries for the same effect during the various 1940 blitzes on British cities. It was from their own experience that the British realised how difficult it was to destroy vital machinery, like machine tools. The Americans didn't realise until 1945 when, frustrated, they resorted to the area and incendiary bombing of Japan's cities.
British high capacity bombs benefited from the post 1941 introduction of better explosives than Amatol, and then when aluminium powder was added to the main filling in 1943, making the new explosive Minol. Previously aluminium had more important strategic uses, but with Minol both the blast and incendiary effect of HC bombs was increased.
The British calculated a damage factor for the loads carried by their various bombers. This was based on the acreage a load could destroy in an average built up area, not exactly precision or going after machine tools. Incendiaries were much more effective than high explosive bombs, and incendiaries in combination with high capacity bombs were best of all. An 8,000 lb HC bomb could destroy 1.68 acres per ton. The 1,000 lb GP bomb a mere 0.56 acres per ton. Best of all was the 4,000 lb HC bomb and 4 and 30 lb incendiaries which could destroy 3.2 acres per ton.
Best bomb loads by aircraft type:
Lancaster, 1 x 4,000 lb HC + 17 1/3 SBCs with incendiaries, 10,000 lbs, damage factor 9.98 acres.
Halifax, not so clear cut. 15 SBCs, 5,490 lbs and a damage factor of 6.30 acres OR 3 x 1,000 lb MC bombs and 12 SBCs, 7,449 lbs and a damage factor of 6.12 acres.
The Stirling was seen primarily as an incendiary carrier.
The 500 lb MC bomb was the most numerous high explosive bomb dropped by Bomber Command during WW2 (403,000) so not considered ineffective. 253,800 1,000 lb MC bombs were dropped and 21,000 of the 4,000 lb MC bomb.
To put those numbers into context, 68,000 x 4,000 lb HC bombs were dropped, and 28,663 of the 2,000 lb version (which was skinnier). They were dropped in combination with approximately 3.5 MILLION 30 lb incendiaries and 80 MILLION 4 lb incendiaries.
The best way of destroying a city has been, since time immemorial, to burn it down, just ask Arthur Harris, or Curtis LeMay.