"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (2 Viewers)

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Yeah, it's a known disinformation tactic: They claim WWIII will result as a result of our actions... as if they're not the one to invade Ukraine.
 
A thought about the imposition of a deal on Ukraine. I think its worth remembering what Russia's aims were when they started this war. They wanted Ukraine to be totally under their control and a compliant figurehead in charge, similar to Belarus. A key fear being the strengthening of NATO.

We obviously have no idea what is likely to happen over the next few months, but its highly unlikely that Russia is going to get any of the above. They may get a guarantee that Ukraine will not join NATO, but NATO has been considerably strengthened by the addition of Sweden and Finland so even that goal hasn't been achieved.
Putin has also bankrupted Russia (which is a key reason why the Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact failed). He has also ensured that Russian demographics are such that Russia is on a sure path to failure due to the falling population.
Putin has also owes lots of favours to China and N Korea who will want their pound of flesh, and ceded to China the role of being the biggest threat to the free world. In almost every measurable way China now surpasses Russia and Eastern Russia may well be the next trigger point. Russia has few people out there plus there's lots of space and resources available and China is next door.

It is very unlikely that history will be kind to Putin.
 
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Well said. And IMO, Ukraine will join NATO, but not until after Jan 20, 2029.
 
Polls always come with margins of error. They are also snapshots. The basic principles of polling are rooted in probability, in the same way that pulling three or four bolts out of a batch can give quite high assurance that the whole batch should be scrapped. Unfortunately, in the US the electoral college makes real nation-wide polling impossible: each sub-unit of the country needs to be polled.

I suspect that political pollsters are too likely to word their questions in ways that skew answers in the way their employers want, which verges on malpractice.
 
Like the Austrian Anschluss referendum?
Do you want Austria to be absorbed by Germany?
A) YES
B) YES
 

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