"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (2 Viewers)

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If the Ukrainians can hold out until the autumn rasputsitsa sets in, they should be okay. I suspect that's exactly why the Russians are mounting a full-court press right now. British intel is reporting that the Russians are scraping up reserves from around the country to deploy in support of capitalizing on the "success" of the capture of the twin cities.
 
ISW paragraph on the use of S-300 on the ground to ground role.

Institute for the Study of War

Russian forces are in the midst of a theater-wide operational pause in Ukraine. This operational pause has been largely characterized by Russian troops regrouping to rest, refit, and reconstitute; heavy artillery fire in critical areas to set conditions
www.understandingwar.org

Ukraine's Southern Operational Command notably stated that Russian forces conducted a massive missile strike with S-300 anti-aircraft missiles on ground targets in Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts.[26] The use of anti-aircraft missiles in such a manner is inefficient, as such missiles carry small payloads and are optimized for destroying fragile aircraft in flight rather than ground targets. The reported Russian use of S-300 missiles in a ground attack role is also notable because of reports and indications that the Russians are having difficulty defending against Ukrainian manned air operations and missile strikes in the Southern Axis area. The decision to use S-300 missiles in this role in these circumstances may indicate that Russia is running out of surface-to-surface missiles or that it is running low on parts needed for the missiles' air-to-air guidance or communications systems.
 

Retaking the south makes some sense. While the eastern part of the country does indeed contain much industry, the south contains the ports, and that's where the money will come into the country from agri-sales.
 
re "Seems like Ukrainians favor retaking the south over the Donbas"

Ukraine can not 'safely' advance large forces into the Donbas until their southern flank is secure, due to having to fight on multiple fronts and the dangers of being cut-off in a similar manner to what potentially could have happened at Sievierodonetsk/Lysychansk. The southern/coastal regions are farther from Russia and Belarus, and so will have less effective opposition from Russian air power. Also, it will be easier to cut the supply lines to the RF forces, and put the RF forces in danger of being cut-off. Taking back the coastal areas will allow greater interdiction opportunities against RF naval operations, and against logistics via Crimea.

Add to this the fact that the Crimean populace appears to be a very unwilling participant in the war . . .

edit: Plus what Thumpalumpacus just posted.
 
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The last time they managed that was fourteen thousand years ago ... and Alaska was unpopulated then.
 
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