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Stona, I'm not sure how to answer you but while Germany hoped that Britain would sue for peace, Hitler went ahead with an invasion plan as outlined in Fuhrer Directive # 16...
Fuhrer Directive 16
"Since England, in spite of her hopeless military situation, shows no signs of being ready to come to an understanding, I have decided to prepare a landing operation against England and, if necessary, to carry it out.
The aim of this operation will be to eliminate the English homeland as a base for the prosecution of the war against Germany and, if necessary, to occupy it completely."
Now look at this from the document..
"2. These preparations must also create such conditions as will make a landing in England possible, viz:
(a) The English Air Force must be so reduced morally and physically that it is unable to deliver any significant attack against the German crossing."
The Battle of Britain - the RAF against the Luftwaffe - was the preparation for the start of an invasion against England. What other reason was there for attacking England as such with the LW, stock-piling barges in French ports, etc?
As I pointed out in my original post, I think the circumspection in the fuhrer directive is important....."and if necessary we will carry it out" why did he need to say "and if necessary" was there doubt or hesitation in his mind????
I have serious doubts that Hitler ever intended to undertake Sealion as a serious venture. I think he hoped to win air superiority as a bargaining chip....to conbvince the british government of the hopelessness of their situation. secondarily i think he wanted to isolate the British politically, by making them appear as a defeated nation. How better to do that, short of amphibious invasion, than to have flets of Luftwaffe bombers roaming unopposed over england.
ahhh but Hitler was invincble. Didn't he tell his genrals France could be taken and it was against what the OKH thought? Hindsight is one thing. You have to gauge the atmosphere in Germany at the time. Victory was assured!
Her Majesty at least was facing a genuine invasion attempt. My Grandmother,who lived in Canterbury (Kent,South East England), was not but was expecting to be confronted by German parachutists every time she nipped out to the shops! Statistically she was more likely to be shot by the Local Defence Volunteers.
Cheers
Steve
Perhaps the best analogy of how he would have reacted if the LW had won air superiority in 1940 over SE England would be to look at the other great (planned) opposed airborne/amphibious operation.....the invasion of Malta. Shaken by the experiences of his airborne forces over Crete and having to rely on italian transport for the amphibious component, he opted for something he could understand, an alternative
I cant think of many wars without hysteria and patriotic speeches. Churchill was good at them but so were Roosevelt,De Gaulle, Hitler, Mussolini and Stalin I believe."..... The British are an island race and particularly susceptible to this virulent disease whose main symptoms are hysteria and patriotic speeches."
REALLY Stona ..... This certainly has been Britain's undoing then ..... hysteria and patriotic speeches?
MM
"..... The British are an island race and particularly susceptible to this virulent disease whose main symptoms are hysteria and patriotic speeches."
REALLY Stona ..... This certainly has been Britain's undoing then ..... hysteria and patriotic speeches?
MM
But in 1940 he didn't have the experience of Crete. He was fresh from the battles of Norway and France. If the Luftwaffe had indeed driven the RAF from the SE of England, then he'd have had an unbroken string of successes. I think, given that background, he'd have tried an invasion if he had air superiority.
My two cents worth
3) expanding on Point (1), the invasion fleet had an expected fleet speed of just 2 knots, but thats with a favourable current. Remember the Germans were atttempting to utilize river barges in an open water body, towed by tugs. Problems would arise for this arrangement, however, if ther was any sort of current. A post war study by the RN, estimated that the real rate of advance would be more like 1 knot in the prevailing current, and the distance to the landing point more like 80 miles, after the embarkation and debarkation points are considered, as well as the currents. That means that the all up time for the cross channel voyage was something i the order of 120 hours....more than enough time for the RN to tear it to pieces. thats with or without the Germans holding air superiority over southern England. Having control of the air is just a bonus, not a prequisite for crossong the channel, but the abject preparations would gurantee failure.
4) That is not to say that control of the air was not a critical battle, its just not critical to a crossing of the channel. The importance of the battle is simply about who controlled the airspace over southern England and the survival of the RAF. Saying that the British objectives were simplistic is generally true, but achieving that objective was incredibly difficult. Dowdings defensive plans could not have been achieved by any other force in 1940, including the LW. his handling of the battle was as close to perfect as one can be. He always avoided th pitfall of over-comitting the RAF, this cost more aircraft overall, but minimised the risk of exhausting the RAF at any particular point. By contrast the LW, particularly its fighter arm was exhausted by October. Its seviceability rates were down to below 50%, its formations worn thin, its resolve shaken. Like it or not, they had been defeated, and they knew it. .
BTW Hitler's faith faltered halfway through the Norway invasion, but he was convinced by the Generals to continue.