So historically the UK decided in 1935 in specification F.37 (or something like that, too lazy to look up right now) that the next generation fighter would be equipped with 20mm cannons, in essence deciding to skip over the .50 cal and going straight from the rifle caliber .303 to an autocannon. So this particular next generation fighter itself didn't happen, and eventually they retrofitted the 20mm to the previous generation fighters (Hurricane and Spitfire). So this waffling about took some time, and it wasn't until mid-war when they got all the issues sorted out and the belt-fed Hispano deployed in numbers. And arguably 20mm was about the best general purpose aircraft armament caliber of the era, and the Hispano was among the best in that class. So in a way it was the entirely right decision.
But all this delay meant that they had to fight the critical early war years with the popgun .303's, with well known issues in needing a huge number of hits to down an enemy plane, particularly multi-engine ones. And as described in this thread here British WW2 Heavy Bomber Armament they never got around to rearming their bombers with anything bigger, partially due to CoG issues in planes originally designed for a .303 defensive armament.
But what if they had instead decided in the mid-30'ies to not skip over the intermediate HMG caliber? Now the big problem with that was that initially Browning wasn't willing to license the M2 to the UK, and the FN slightly improved version of the M2 in didn't really enter production until 1939 or so. But for the sake of argument, lets say the UK signalling interest in a HMG would cause FN to develop their M2 variant earlier and license production to the Brits. What would the effect of such a decision be? Say,
But all this delay meant that they had to fight the critical early war years with the popgun .303's, with well known issues in needing a huge number of hits to down an enemy plane, particularly multi-engine ones. And as described in this thread here British WW2 Heavy Bomber Armament they never got around to rearming their bombers with anything bigger, partially due to CoG issues in planes originally designed for a .303 defensive armament.
But what if they had instead decided in the mid-30'ies to not skip over the intermediate HMG caliber? Now the big problem with that was that initially Browning wasn't willing to license the M2 to the UK, and the FN slightly improved version of the M2 in didn't really enter production until 1939 or so. But for the sake of argument, lets say the UK signalling interest in a HMG would cause FN to develop their M2 variant earlier and license production to the Brits. What would the effect of such a decision be? Say,
- The UK would have entered the war with HMG equipped fighters. Say, 4 of them on a Hurricane or Spit. Providing longer range and better hitting power particularly against bombers.
- Bombers designed after the mid-30'ies would be designed with a HMG based defensive armament from the start.
- The FN version of the Browning has, per wikipedia, a RoF of 1080 ("standard" and up to 1500 rpm. Providing up to twice the volume of fire in a gun that is even slightly lighter than the Browning AN/M2. Not sure if this 1500 rpm is correct, and what would the barrel wear for such a thing be? But if it's true, then that's pretty impressive.
- FN apparently developed a HE shell for the 13.2mm variant of the MG. Not sure how good such a thing is, I suspect the lower sectional density of a HE shell vs. a solid bullet and the relatively small caliber might mean the ballistics of these shells could be pretty bad?
- Perhaps due to spending all this time on fielding a HMG, the 20mm Hispano would have been delayed and maybe even miss the war entirely. While I do believe the 20mm would be a better gun, maybe the tradeoff of having a HMG available during the critical early years of the war would be worth it vs. lacking a bit of punch in the latter part of the war, when Luftwaffe wasn't in it's prime anymore and it was mostly about fighters and not so much about shooting down bombers by that point.