IdahoRenegade
Airman 1st Class
The P-38s in the 20th, 55th and 364th P-38s suffered much higher losses while strafing LW airfields than P-51B's (All three 8th AF P-38s converted to P-51s in July, 1944. The 479th did not have as high percentage losses to strafing as the other 3 and were closer to Mustang average loss per aircraft destroyed on the ground.
The twin engines were a definite advantage for loss of engine in a non lethal strafing environment but consider that the F4U and P-51 losses in Korea per sortie (ALL CAS for both ships) was about the same with 51 very slightly higher - one with coolant/one without. The P-38 was a huge (and slower) target on the deck with not only greater number of vulnerable surface areas and internal components(Fuel cells of internal fuel, supercharger systems, two radiators/oil coolers, coolant lines - all vulnerable to fire from explosive 20mm flak.
But, True - that if hit in a coolant line and that engine is shut down immediately the P-38 will survive where the P-51 will not.
The P-38K does Not solve the following
1.) Has very small window between top speed in a chase from 22000+ ft to compressibility in a dive. If dive flaps are deployed, the Critical Mach increases slightly but far short of the P-51, P-47, Bf 109 and FW 190. It can't chase nor can it evade from a dive initiated at high altitude. 8th AF operations required high altitude performance envelope and the P-38 was least suited of the Big 3 for Germany. The J-15 solved many of the mechanical issues but could do nothing for the aerodynamic issues of the NACA 23018 wing near transonic.
2.) It is HUGE and easily spotted long before the P-38 driver spots the other guy - giving the other guy a tactical advantage.
3.) It P-38J/L had less Combat Radius than the P-51B/C/D/K (not by much, 675mi to 750mi) limiting target escort options for 8th AF (and 20th AF) Planners. For example no P-38J with additional 110 gallons in LE fuel cell went past the Berlin/Leipzig/Munich line when P-51s were going to Stettin and Posnan Poland and Brux, Czechoslovakia. Even if the K had been configured for a Merlin 1650 it would consume even more gas than the V-1710 and further reduce Combat Radius..
Combat losses are difficult to directly compare, especially when attacking well defended ground targets. Were the targets comparably defended? Were the attackers bounced by enemy fighters? Was the number of attacking planes comparable (the '38 was typically available in lower quantities than the Mustang)? Did the pilots have comparable experience? Was similar damage done to the targets (was one group pressing an attack harder than the other)?
By all records, the '38 had a significantly longer ACTUAL combat range than either the P-51 or P-47, at least in the hands of experienced pilots that knew how to operate it. In the Pacific, long range missions were the rule. A combat RADIUS of 1000 miles was not uncommon with later models of the '38, and some attacks on the Borneo oil fields were about 1200 miles one-way. Remember that the '38 could, and did, carry up to (2) 310 gallon external tanks.
This link makes for some interesting reading, though I can not vouch for it's accuracy: The P-38 (C.C. Jordan; MakinKid; CDB100620)
Also keep in mind that, while the '51 had a higher dive speed (due to a later onset of comprehensibility) it was a fairly poor climber vs the '38 (4750fpm vs 3200) meaning that the '38 climbed nearly 50% faster (even without the K model). Climbing ability makes it possible to gain an energy advantage quite quickly.