A massive "wall" of 120 projectiles in the time it takes for the target to travel 800-900ft.
I have cogitated on this for a while and I still don't know the price of tea in China.
I did run a few simple probability calculations on probability of number of strikes given the probability of a strike for 47 r/sec (F9F) vs.125 r/sec (F-86).
For 2% probability of a strike per projectile, out of 47 attempts gives a 24% probability of 2 or more rounds striking.
For the same probability of 2 or more rounds striking for the F9F (24%), the F-86 will have 4 or more rounds hitting (24%).
For 5% probability of a strike per projectile, out of 47 attempts gives a 69% probability of 2 or more rounds striking.
Again, for the same probability of 2 or more rounds striking for the F9F (69%), the F-86 will have 5 or more rounds hitting (75%).
For 10% probability of a strike per projectile, out of 47 attempts gives a 96% probability of 2 or more rounds striking.
For the same probability of 2 or more rounds striking for the F9F (96%), the F-86 will have 7 rounds hitting (97%).
Obviously, the more round fired the higher the probability of hits and, as shown here, for equal probability of hits, the F-86 will deliver more projectiles, from 2x at 2% probability of a hit to 3.5x at 10%. As the planes get closer, the advantage moves in the F-86 direction. As the planes move farther apart, the advantage moves to the 20mm. However, for any distance, the probability of a equal hits always falls in favor to the F-86. Certainly, as the difference approaches 2x and below, the 20mm if obviously superior, and maybe this is the normal.
Given the Navy analysis of one 20mm equal three .50s, at about 5% probability of strike (five projectiles hitting out of one hundred), the F9F and F-86 are roughly equal in fire power, below 5% probability of strike, the F9F delivers more damage, above that, the F-86 is more effective. At least according to probability. And you know what they say about statistics!
There are reports of Migs returning to base with 40-50 .50 cal hits.
Sounds like someone bragging about the toughness of the Mig and maybe stretching it a bit. But, seeing some aircraft with battle damage, I could believe this. Sometimes there is a lucky bullet for the firer and sometimes there are lots of lucky bullets for the one being fire on.
Maybe they were not repairable and would be considered a loss but they did return to base.
How many were reported shot down by only a handful of holes? I'll bet none and not because there were none.
The USAAF figured it took 1,024 .50 cal rounds fired to destroy a Mig-15 and the F-86 carried 1,602 rounds. It also takes 8.5 seconds to fire 1,024 rounds even with six 1200rpm guns.
I can believe this. Just one three second burst trying to get an out-of-range Mig would be nearly 500 rounds. In times of stress the fingers tend to tighten, like on a transmit button or a trigger and I am sure there is no higher stress than having someone shooting at you.
Granted some pilots do better than others. 50 hits out of 1000 rounds fired is a 5% hit rate which is about 2 1/2 times the percentage the Luftwaffe figured their average pilots were good for in the later parts of WW II.
See above. 5% hit rate would make the F-86 roughly equal to the F9F in firepower.
pinsong said:
I have also read many stories of how tough the Mig15 was. It was a very tough opponant. I can't remember where I read it, but I read that a Mig15 made it back to base with something like 70 rounds in the engine. Don't know if it's true, and I can't remember where I read that.
This is highly doubtful. If so, those rounds were fired from a long way away. The centrifugal compressor used in the Mig is a tough cookie compared to the axial flow compressor, but it spins at around 12,000 rpm at full power. Hitting this with bullet and watch the fireworks. You don't even have to hit the blade just dint the casing in a bit.