"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (9 Viewers)

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Thumpalumpacus said:
These folk need every bit of kit they can get.
Click to expand...
My worry is that this latest $60b in US aid is the last large transfer from Washington. It's almost certainly the final one for 2024.

With this latest US, EU and UK aid, Ukraine should be able to hold the line and regain some territory. But it's nowhere near enough support to liberate all of Ukraine. As such, this war is going to go on until 2026 and beyond.
 

The Defense Department announced a $1 billion package for Ukraine shortly after President Biden on Wednesday signed a national security supplemental into law, aiming to deliver critical artillery rounds and air defense munitions to Kyiv as its troops struggle with dwindling resources to defend against an encroaching Russian military.

The $1 billion price tag is much higher than previous packages that have generally totaled around a few hundred million dollars, in part because Congress delayed sending more aid to Ukraine for months after the last U.S. assistance dried up at the end of 2023. That made Ukraine more desperate for aid as ammunition ran low and Russia pressed forward on the battlefield, putting Ukrainian troops on the backfoot.

A key part of the new package is 155-millimeter artillery rounds and other mortar and artillery ammunition, along with RIM-7 and AIM-9M air defense munitions. Kyiv has made both a priority, with artillery a major part of covering Ukrainian troops on the ground and air defenses crucial to defending cities.

thehill.com

US announces $1 billion package for Ukraine

The Defense Department announced a $1 billion package for Ukraine shortly after President Biden on Wednesday signed a national security supplemental into law, aiming to deliver critical artillery r…
thehill.com thehill.com
 
GTX said:

The Russo-Ukrainian War: A Strategic Assessment Two Years into the Conflict

*/
www.ausa.org www.ausa.org
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That sums it up nicely.

Russia's strategic ends can be summarized as:
  • fracture the Ukrainian state—politically, territorially and culturally;
  • maintain sufficient territorial acquisitions to support a range of acceptable political-military outcomes;
  • maintain strategic materiel overmatch;
  • exhaust Ukraine's ability to continue fighting—both materially and as regards Ukrainian support from the international community;
  • normalize the conflict's abnormalities; and
  • undercut and erode Ukraine's ability to conduct offensive operations to reclaim annexed territory.
Russia's strategy of exhaustion can be broken into five lines of effort:
  • incrementally increase territorial gains to support negotiations later down the line;
  • fortify territorial gains to prevent Ukrainian efforts to retake that land;
  • destroy Ukraine's offensive capability to prevent future attempts to retake annexed territory;
  • temporally elongate the conflict to outlast U.S. and Western military support; and
  • temporally and spatially elongate the conflict to exceed Ukraine's manpower reserves.
 
Admiral Beez said:
That sums it up nicely.

Russia's strategic ends can be summarized as:
  • fracture the Ukrainian state—politically, territorially and culturally;
  • maintain sufficient territorial acquisitions to support a range of acceptable political-military outcomes;
  • maintain strategic materiel overmatch;
  • exhaust Ukraine's ability to continue fighting—both materially and as regards Ukrainian support from the international community;
  • normalize the conflict's abnormalities; and
  • undercut and erode Ukraine's ability to conduct offensive operations to reclaim annexed territory.
Russia's strategy of exhaustion can be broken into five lines of effort:
  • incrementally increase territorial gains to support negotiations later down the line;
  • fortify territorial gains to prevent Ukrainian efforts to retake that land;
  • destroy Ukraine's offensive capability to prevent future attempts to retake annexed territory;
  • temporally elongate the conflict to outlast U.S. and Western military support; and
  • temporally and spatially elongate the conflict to exceed Ukraine's manpower reserves.
Click to expand...
Regarding the strategic ends, I'd argue that the Kremlin changed its aim from fracturing to eliminating Ukraine. They discuss it openly now, in their talk shows, social networks, etc.
 
Greg Boeser said:
For those not paying attention, WW3 has already begun. Russia, China and Iran are committed to breaking the Western global hegemony, which has governed the world order for the last few centuries.
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It does sort of feel like 1936-38 leading up to WW2. Italy invading Ethiopia and demonstrating the weakness of the League of Nations and international order; the Spanish Civil War with Nazi Germany testing out its new kit; Japan invading China including the Nanjing Massacre; Germany annexing Austria; the USSR and Japan clashing at Soviet–Manchukuo border; Arabs revolting in Palestine; plus political unrest in France and an isolationist USA enacting its third Neutrality Act in 1937. The British must have felt thoroughly alone during this period.
 
Admiral Beez said:
It does sort of feel like 1936-38 leading up to WW2. Italy invading Ethiopia and demonstrating the weakness of the League of Nations and international order; the Spanish Civil War with Nazi Germany testing out its new kit; Japan invading China including the Nanjing Massacre; Germany annexing Austria; the USSR and Japan clashing at Soviet–Manchukuo border; Arabs revolting in Palestine; plus political unrest in France and an isolationist USA enacting its third Neutrality Act in 1937. The British must have felt thoroughly alone during this period.
Click to expand...

Naw, the British were into appeasement. How could they feel alone?
 
DerAdlerIstGelandet said:
Naw, the British were into appeasement.
Click to expand...
And massive rearmament. History sees Chamberlain (1937-40) and to a lesser extent his predecessor Baldwin (1935-37) as weak, appeasing PMs, but during those four years before the outbreak of the Second World War, Britain's government funded massive increases in capabilities in the RAF, RN and to a lesser extent the Army. Just look at the number of battleships, aircraft carriers, cruisers, escorts and submarines, plus advanced combat aircraft like the Spitfire and Manchester begun under Britain's 1936-40 rearmament. Chamberlain was no fool.

One should ask what was Ukraine doing from independence in 1991 to 2014 to prepare for the historically-predictable Russian aggression?
 
Admiral Beez said:
One should ask what was Ukraine doing from independence in 1991 to 2014 to prepare for the historically-predictable Russian aggression?
Click to expand...
They started training with NATO for starters.

They were hobbled with Kremlin-puppets and an ingrained corruption hierarchy that took considerable effort to weed out.

The Russian invasion in 2014 was literally a result of Ukrainians revolting against corrupt, Russian backed politicians.
 
This is interesting...I particularly like the line about Ivanov accepting bribes "on a particularly large scale" which, reading between the lines, suggests that bribery is common in Russia (what a shock!!!).

www.bbc.com

Russian deputy defence minister Timur Ivanov accused of taking bribes

Deputy Defence Minister Timur Ivanov is remanded in custody in a rare case against a high-ranking official.
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com
 
Admiral Beez said:
And massive rearmament. History sees Chamberlain (1937-40) and to a lesser extent his predecessor Baldwin (1935-37) as weak, appeasing PMs, but during those four years before the outbreak of the Second World War, Britain's government funded massive increases in capabilities in the RAF, RN and to a lesser extent the Army. Just look at the number of battleships, aircraft carriers, cruisers, escorts and submarines, plus advanced combat aircraft like the Spitfire and Manchester begun under Britain's 1936-40 rearmament. Chamberlain was no fool.

One should ask what was Ukraine doing from independence in 1991 to 2014 to prepare for the historically-predictable Russian aggression?
Click to expand...

And the Bri'ish still could have stopped Hitler before it all started…

As for Ukraine? Agreed
 
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