"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (19 Viewers)

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"[...] and smokes where necessary."

You gotta love this line.
 
I'm talking about the A10.
 

"Ukraine is watching the events in the Belgorod region of Russia with interest and studying the situation, but it has nothing to do with it," the presidential adviser, Mykhailo Podolyak tweeted. "As you know, tanks are sold at any Russian military store, and underground guerrilla groups are composed of Russian citizens."

Lol, that's high level trolling.
 
I'm talking about the A10.

Yes, and we're talking about it in the context of the proposed training and presumably equipping UAF with F-16s, which is what prompted my original post about the Warthog in this current discussion.

The UAF seems fine with their Su-25s in the role, which is cool. I get that they'd rather have a platform which can do air superiority as well as ground attack, and it makes sense that they wouldn't want to burn through aid money doubling a capability they already have, albeit with a less-capable platform. I'm just saying that the objections you raise to the A-10 can also be leveled against the F-16. Do you oppose donating those as well?
 
Embarrassing for the Russians is that Gayvoron is a location where nuclear ammunitions are said to be stockpiled.
 
On a slightly more serious note, this sort of event is going to blow a huge hole in Putins attempt to control the story. Many thousands of people are going to start reacting to the fighting at Belgorod. They in turn are going to tell thousands of their family and friends about what is happening.
Its one thing when the fighting isn't going well in a distant country, but when its close to home, the fantasy that the war is going well and to plan, is lot more difficult to sell.

I am reminded of the Russian Ambassador to Germany before Russia was attacked. The RAF were bombing and he was in the bomb shelter with a German politician who was telling him how well the war was going. Probably pissed off with the whole thing he simply asked the German. 'If things are going so well, why am I in a bomb shelter and its the RAF flying overhead?'
 

As much as I'd like to agree, I think the Russian government's control of the internal narrative can handle this -- let's face it -- pinprick attack. Yes, there will be word of mouth, but I'm pretty sure that's been going along for the last sixteen months anyway, with little to show for it. The autumn offensive didn't move the public-opinion dial in Russia much at all, even though it required an additional conscription affecting 300,000 families directly. Why would this get more headway? Recall too the traffic jams in Crimea last year after Ukrainian attacks ... didn't move public opinion.

Greg Boeser , I'm not sure this is any escalation at all. Maybe Russia might issue more "dire threats", but that and four bucks will get you a cup of coffee at Starbucks. It could have the benefit of redirecting rear echelons away from threatened areas, though -- that's a good thing.
 

In real terms, it may be a pinprick…but in propaganda terms, Putin can easily spin this to say "See? I told you the US and NATO wanted to attack us."

The situation in Belgorod will complicate Moscow's decision calculus. They have to respond to prove they can defend the Father oops, I mean Motherland….but where will those forces come from and what impact will that have on the fighting within Ukraine?
 
The funny thing about the Belgorod situation is that it's basically the same tactic Russia used to invade eastern Ukraine in the first place. Send in the "little green men" to cause havoc and mayhem, all the time denying any association between the "little green men" and the nation's military force (even though the nation manned, trained and equipped the "little green men")
 

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