As an aside what could the LW have built if using our hindsight they don't produce the Me210 until its fixed, same with the He177, and the Ju288 is cancelled when the Jumo 222 runs into its 1940 problems? How about the effect of building the Ostmark engine facility around the Jumo 213, which would get the full support of the RLM once the Jumo 222 is dropped and probably be available a year or so earlier as a result? Or not gearing up for the Ta-154? https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Focke-Wulf_Ta_154#Produktion
Perhaps more Ju88Gs with earlier Jumo 213s? Or would we see more He-219s with Jumo 213s? Perhaps an earlier Ar234P for night fighting, or an earlier Me262B?
It wasn't like the Luftwaffe wasn't the Nazi's favourite child. Following Goering's announcement in October 1938 of the Reich's new re-armament plan the RLM submitted it's first draft for its expansion on 26th October.
It was to build 45,700 aircraft by Ist April 1942 at a cost of 60 billion RM. That's equivalent to the entire defence budget from 1933-1939. In early 1942 the Luftwaffe was to have 10,300 operational aircraft with 8,200 in reserve.
People wonder why the poor old Kriegmarine's 'Plan Z' was postponed until 1948!
On 15th November 1938 the RLM announced details of the aircraft to be built:
7,327 Ju 88
702 He 177
2,000 He 111
900 Do 17
2,002 Ju 87
4,331 Bf 109
3,320 Bf 110/ Me 210, proportion not yet fixed, dependent on Me 210 development.
This would require 230,000 MORE workers and expansion of the RLM at a cost of 2.2 billion RM. New machine tools would cost another 327 million RM and the cost of equipment needed from abroad would be another 125 million RM.
In ADDITION another airframe plant of 20,000 employees would be required.
This all went into 'Production Plan No.9' which was unattainable before it even started. The impact of aircraft like the He 177 and Me 210 was minimal at this time, though allowances were made in the next plan (No.10) of December 1938. Delays with the He 177 and Ju 88 were noticed and production of the Do17 and He 111 extended to cover this.
It's not like the Luftwaffe didn't have the opportunity in the immediate pre-war period. The planning was unrealistic and typical of the Nazi state. Simply writing a plan doesn't make it happen, even with 60 billion RM to back it. The issues with the He 177 and Ju 88 were indicative of things to come. 'Production Plan No.10' which covered the period from 1st January 1939 through 30th June 1941 (30 months) included 43 different types and sub types made at plants all over the Reich. The Bf 109 alone was being manufactured at five different locations.
What was urgently needed was some kind of rationalisation of the various programmes but this never happened. In fact it got even more complicated and expensive.
All this led directly to the Luftwaffe's first 'defeat'. Between July and December 1940, the period including the Battle of Britain the Germans produced 1219 fighter aircraft (Bf 109), the British 3,225 (Spitfire, Hurricane). In 1940 the RLM built on average 139 S/E fighters per month. In July 1940 alone the British built 490.
Between January and April 1941 the figures are 5,216 for the British and 2,510 for the Germans. This is before American production becomes a major contributing factor.
It wasn't a lack of planning that was the problem but an inability to properly organise the aero industry as a whole in a way which could make the plans realisable. Political interference didn't help. The Germans seem to have been incapable of making a plan and then sticking to it.In June 1940, just when the Germans should have been going all out to increase production it was decreased and aircraft exports were restarted! Plans were made to stop production of many types by late 1941! This in direct contradiction to the immediate pre-war production plans.
Between May 1933 and March 1945 more than 100 General Staff requirements were given to the RLM. In response the Technical Office produced 42 Beschaffungsprogrammen (procurement programmes). Some had one or two variations. Of these programmes 36 were issued to the aviation industry as Lieferplanen (production plans). Production Plans included legal contracts and were supposed to allow the various firms of the aviation industry to plan facilities, procure man power and raw materials and, if they wanted to, sub- contract for parts. The problem was that there were many plans creating a set of ever moving goal posts at which the various individual companies were supposed to aim.
In August 1941 there were still more than 40 types in production, Messerschmitt alone had 11, Heinkel 10.
Cheers
Steve
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