Pilot skill is a factor but the original premise is fair enough. The best pilot in an uncompetitive aircraft is going to have a hard time surviving. The whole point of the expensive and long training programmes implemented by all combatants was to get the average pilot to a level of proficiency at which he could survive long enough operationally to become an effective combat pilot.
You can still compare aircraft performance taking pilot skill as a level playing field. I think, relating to another thread, that a fictional 'average pilot' would do better in a Spitfire XIV than a Bf 109 K-4 for a variety of reasons, not all related directly to the respective performance of the two types. I would therefore rate the Spitfire above the Messerschmitt.
Put Erich Hartmann in the K-4 and a newly qualified wet behind the ears RAF type in the Spitfire and the real world result would almost certainly be different.
Herbert Weiss analysis of combat data led him to conclude that a pilot had an almost exactly 50:50 chance of surviving his first decisive combat. After five decisive encounters their chance of survival was increased by a factor of 20.
Only 5% of pilots score five victories or more. This 5% will go on to claim 40% of all aerial victories.
These figures are consistent for WW1, WW2 and the Korean conflict. This has led Stephen Bungay to write:
"The sky contains two very different groups of pilots: a small group of hunter killers and the majority who are hunted. Amongst the hunted are the experienced who know how to get away from the hunter killers, and who also hunt themselves without often killing. And there are novices who either learn survival fast or simply provide the hunter killers with targets."
In combat the pilot factor, given aircraft of at least comparable performance, is, as said above, the most important factor. This doesn't mean that performance comparisons can't be made.
All the modern training, the 'Top Gun' type of schools, are an effort to increase that 5% to a higher number, and to reduce the novices providing targets. There's not much evidence to determine whether it has or has not done that.
Cheers
Steve
You can still compare aircraft performance taking pilot skill as a level playing field. I think, relating to another thread, that a fictional 'average pilot' would do better in a Spitfire XIV than a Bf 109 K-4 for a variety of reasons, not all related directly to the respective performance of the two types. I would therefore rate the Spitfire above the Messerschmitt.
Put Erich Hartmann in the K-4 and a newly qualified wet behind the ears RAF type in the Spitfire and the real world result would almost certainly be different.
Herbert Weiss analysis of combat data led him to conclude that a pilot had an almost exactly 50:50 chance of surviving his first decisive combat. After five decisive encounters their chance of survival was increased by a factor of 20.
Only 5% of pilots score five victories or more. This 5% will go on to claim 40% of all aerial victories.
These figures are consistent for WW1, WW2 and the Korean conflict. This has led Stephen Bungay to write:
"The sky contains two very different groups of pilots: a small group of hunter killers and the majority who are hunted. Amongst the hunted are the experienced who know how to get away from the hunter killers, and who also hunt themselves without often killing. And there are novices who either learn survival fast or simply provide the hunter killers with targets."
In combat the pilot factor, given aircraft of at least comparable performance, is, as said above, the most important factor. This doesn't mean that performance comparisons can't be made.
All the modern training, the 'Top Gun' type of schools, are an effort to increase that 5% to a higher number, and to reduce the novices providing targets. There's not much evidence to determine whether it has or has not done that.
Cheers
Steve
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