The thousand plane raid number must be including escorts too. There were 400 B-29's over Japan on Aug 14 during the day, and 300 that night.
I remember hearing a thousand, I guess they were wrong.
the real cause of it's failure was just inept planing.
How so?
No, but they didn't want to continue against the western powers, they were pushed into a corner on this one.
In either case, they didn't really have the means to rise up against their government, which had ample resources to keep them in line.
There will be endless debate about the achievements of the strategic bombing offensives, but, as I've said before, we must ask the correct questions.
The first question should not be to ask what the German economy achieved under the bombing, but what it might have achieved had there been no bombing campaigns.
The problem is, it's hard to prove a negative: It doesn't mean there's no answer, but it's difficult to tease it out.
While the Germans probably stepped up production prior to the start of the war, the intensified bombing succeeded in causing them to step it up further and further. It's likely that they would have stepped it up anyway had the war advanced, but it's possible that the war taken towards the population centers at first had a stimulus effect at first.
When you exercise, you actually produce microscopic tears in your muscles: The problem is generally short term, as those fibers repair themselves, and then thicken and strengthen to allow themselves to produce more power. As a result, you get stronger and stronger.
As the raids became increasingly more damaging, more and more effort was required to repair everything, kluge factories into place, and get going. Germany had enormous untapped potential which it didn't use at first, but eventually, the ultimate point of failure was air-defense and oil.
Giulio Douhet had pointed out the importance of swiftly taking out air-defenses immediately when initiating a strike, though his premise was that of a sneak-attack, which is usually frowned upon. Billy Mitchell had also talked about how bombers would either need escorts or would need to have air defenses suppressed first in order to perform bombing raids.
In practice, even in 1941, bombers were used as bait, so as to sucker German fighters into the air. The idea was that they could shoot them down without too many bombers getting shot full of holes in the process. By 1944 the idea was repeated but with substantially larger raids, and airfields were also subjected to both bombing and strafing attacks.
Oil was also recognized as a target by the USAAC's Air Corps Tactical School (The RAF probably did too): As early as 1940-1941, the RAF would focus on these targets. When the Area-Bombing directive took hold, these targets were struck far less, and often as diversionary strikes. Starting in 1944: Oil became a priority, and these targets took a massive hammering, and the effect was substantial.
Since nearly motorized vehicle runs on fuel: It basically had a catastrophic effect on all these vehicles. Aircraft consume large quantities of gas, and often weren't able to fly very often, which made it possible to carry out ever more devastating raids.
While Germany would have been greatly more dangerous, economic wise, had they not been struck; one could counter argue that had oil been attacked continuously from 1940-1941, instead of left alone from 1941-1944, and then attacked in earnest, the war would probably have ended in a similar or shorter time.
The second question should be to establish the resources devoted by Germany to defending the campaign (from manpower to artillery, ammunition, aircraft, etc.)
The fact is that air-defenses were allocated to protect the country regardless of USAAF day-strike, or RAF night-strike. I'd instinctively think that trying to flatten a city would invite more flak, but attacks on oil would presumably generate massive shifting of defense resources as well.
The third should be to establish the resources devoted to mitigating it's effects (from dealing with the bombed out population and destroyed housing stock, building massive underground factories and other bomb proof structures like U-boat pens or V-2 launch sites).
Underground factories, U-Boat Pens, and V-2 launch sites I would put separate as these targets were not usually aimed squarely at the populace, but at the specific target.
The British and Germans knew it. One of the great successes of the Light Night Striking Force was not in the physical damage a few 500lb bombs or 'cookies' could do but in causing widespread air raid alarms all over the Reich.
Sleep deprivation...
The problem was that the people doing the bombing were not the people Bill was fighting. Theories about bombing an enemy into submission never took into account an army bent on revenge as an ally.
Especially when the Army might have civilian relatives.
The theories were based on populations being free to express an opinion and demanding an end to hostilities. There was no account given to mad men not allowing any such sentiments or the civilian population being more terrified of occupation and certain death rather than bombing with its chances.
Of course.
In fact on that note, I'm curious what degree of rioting occurred in Hiroshima and Nagasaki after the nuclear weapons were deployed upon them.
Luckily the theory was never fully put to the test and everyone pulled their punches. Things might have taken a different turn if the Wellingtons and Heinkels added chemical weapons to the HE and incendiary combo.
I'm not sure how much poison gas the Germans had early on. Later on they'd have the G-series which were and are just awful substances. The British could lay down more poison, but the Germans had nastier stuff later on.
I'm not sure what kind of bioweapons the Germans had, but the British had planned to use Anthrax. If I recall it was expected to produce a 50% death toll to pneumonic effects and varying degrees from others. It would have been so devastating it would have made our nuclear bombs appear trivial by comparison.