"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (5 Viewers)

[gumbyk]

How does Turkey prevent Russia from sending new warships into the Black Sea? Does the Montrose Convention have any teeth? Can Turkey physically chain off or block the entrance?

Have you seen how narrow the Bosphorous is? At its narrowest, it is only 750m (less than half a mile) wide.

Effectively, they can block it off with very little effort.

 

[GTX]

And would Russia want to risk their relationship with Turkey, arguable their closest NATO 'friend' (other than perhaps Hungary)?

 

[Thumpalumpacus]

How does Turkey prevent Russia from sending new warships into the Black Sea? Does the Montrose Convention have any teeth? Can Turkey physically chain off or block the entrance?

How many ships did the Brits lose trying to force the straits last century ... and do you think Turkey has weakened the defenses?

Trying to force the straits would be a major, combined operation.

 

[Thumpalumpacus]

I take anything from Bulgarianmilitary with a pinch of salt. They have a lot of garbage. I post some stories though only to give a different perspective.

If I want the real garbage, I'll just read the Russian press. I won't repost it, though ... because it's garbage.

 

[Admiral Beez]

How many ships did the Brits lose trying to force the straits last century ... and do you think Turkey has weakened the defenses? Trying to force the straits would be a major, combined operation.

Whatever the losses, Britain took Constantinople in 1918. And those were the Ottomans, with an empire of 24 million behind them. Today's Turks, forever noncommittal, unreliable, always slippery within NATO, always trying to play both sides of any confrontation, are a poor successor to the indomitable Ottomans. I'm not convinced that Ergoden would do anything to physically stop Russian warships from sailing up the Dardanelles, limiting any reaction to a diplomatic protest.

 

[Thumpalumpacus]

What he doesn't even feel safe going to North Korea? Sends poor ol' Sergei instead.

Dictatorship101: Do not leave the nation if your domestic position is imperiled.

 

[Thumpalumpacus]

Whatever the losses, Britain took Constantinople in 1918. And those were the Ottomans, with an empire of 24 million behind them. Today's Turks, forever noncommittal, unreliable, always slippery within NATO, always trying to play both sides of any confrontation, are a poor successor to the indomitable Ottomans. I'm not convinced that Ergoden would stop Russian warships from sailing up the Dardanelles

How is this pertinent to today's conditions? The Russian Navy is a pittance, modern technology means that the straits may be controlled from afar using PGMs and air-power, and while they aren't reliable allies, they surely won't give up the Convention, which is the only agreement -- and their control of the straits the only fact -- which makes them relevant.

It should be noted that the Brits didn't "take" Constantinople; they occupied it after the armistice, which is quite the different thing. The obvious implication is that the Russians would have to batter the Turks down to gain passage. I think they're pretty busy right now, as matters stand.

 

[MiTasol]

Of course, pausing to reload breaks one's concentration!

and the headache is a real bitch

 

[MiTasol]

If I want the real garbage, I'll just read the Russian press. I won't repost it, though ... because it's garbage.

What? Not even as comedy?

 

[Thumpalumpacus]

What? Not even as comedy?

Y'all have a fine nose for the absurd, and I don't think ya need any help.

 

[Admiral Beez]

How is this pertinent to today's conditions?

It's not really, but you brought up the Ottomans and Royal Navy losses from over a century ago. I assumed it was a connection you were inferring, that today's Ottoman Turks would do the same to Putin's navy.

No matter, let's get back to the modern day. It looks like ATACMS may already be in Ukraine. This might suggest that the US feels confident that they have sufficient inventory for their needs in Taiwan and elsewhere.

MSN

www.msn.com

 

[GrauGeist]

If the Russian Navy tried to force their way into the Black Sea, Turkey, which has both straights well protected, would wreak havoc on their ships.

This would also create a situation, because Turkey is a NATO member, so trying to get past the straights by military force would see Russia run the risk of being on the receiving end of an Artical Five mobilization.

 

[Thumpalumpacus]

It's not really, but you brought up the Ottomans and Royal Navy losses from over a century ago. I assumed it was a connection you were inferring, that today's Ottoman Turks would do the same to Putin's navy.

I only brought that up to point out that even in 1915, this third-rate power could deny passage to the foremost navy in the world at the time. And how much easier might that be in an age of remote-control weapons.

Worrying about Russians forcing the Dardanelles is hand-wringing, it seems to me. They don't have the power to do so. Their plate is full already. Erdogan won't sell the only ace he has, and he has international law as well as simple power on his side.

 

[WARSPITER]

Also, if Erdogan for some reason allowed Russian military vessels through then he would have to let everyone else's
through as well.

 

[buffnut453]

No-fly zone.

Agreed...and an aggressive one at that. I'd expect a NATO no-fly zone that secures friendly air ops over the much of the Black Sea outside Russian territorial waters.

 

[Torch]

Here's a few:

How Su-30 has intercepted the F-35: “He came almost out of nowhere”

It is possible that a Russian Su-30 used electronic warfare systems during an interception of an F-35 over the Baltic, confesses a ‘military site

moderndiplomacy.eu

View: https://medium.com/@Luisondome/a-russian-su-30-intercepts-an-italian-f-35-in-the-skies-over-the-baltic-sea-594e00b00b3a

Which all point back to:

 

[Torch]

Why the F-35 would want to make itself more visible to radar

 

[Ascent]

View: https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1702662131785544190?t=5durbUvvQTcANwT8Qob1CA&s=19

 

[RogerdeLluria]

As for tank engines, why not stick the trusty T-72 and T-90 engine into the T-14?

Reportedly the T-14 has been designed around the new X-shaped engine, T90 engine is too big and does not fit in the T-14.

 

[Denniss]

big problem if the engine is not reliable. always having an ARV driving next to you is impossible. Smells like it requires a hull redesign to fit a better engine.
Or they copy proven western designs, I believe their spies know all about those engines.