Glider
Captain
An excellent point
"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (1 Viewer)
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Glider
Captain
Command and control seems to be a problem for Russia
In a significant blunder, a Russian Ka-52 helicopter has destroyed a convoy of its own military equipment in the Kursk Oblast, near the border with Ukraine.
The incident, which highlights the ongoing chaos and confusion within the Russian military, was reported by a Russian military blogger known as "Fighterbomber" on Telegram.
According to Tech the blogger initially claimed that the destroyed equipment belonged to Ukrainian forces. However, it was later confirmed that the tanks and other machinery were, in fact, Russian. Among the destroyed assets were T-62M tanks, a model that dates back to the 1980s and has been updated from its original 1960s design.
This incident comes amid increasing Ukrainian maneuvers in the Kursk region, a bold strategy that has seen up to 1,000 Ukrainian soldiers crossing into Russian territory.
In a significant blunder, a Russian Ka-52 helicopter has destroyed a convoy of its own military equipment in the Kursk Oblast, near the border with Ukraine.
The incident, which highlights the ongoing chaos and confusion within the Russian military, was reported by a Russian military blogger known as "Fighterbomber" on Telegram.
According to Tech the blogger initially claimed that the destroyed equipment belonged to Ukrainian forces. However, it was later confirmed that the tanks and other machinery were, in fact, Russian. Among the destroyed assets were T-62M tanks, a model that dates back to the 1980s and has been updated from its original 1960s design.
This incident comes amid increasing Ukrainian maneuvers in the Kursk region, a bold strategy that has seen up to 1,000 Ukrainian soldiers crossing into Russian territory.
SaparotRob
Unter Gemeine Geschwader Murmeltier XIII
This post might belong in the "What cheered me up" thread.
special ed
2nd Lieutenant
- 5,678
- May 13, 2018
I suspect the helicopter crew is now among the casualties.
GrauGeist
Generalfeldmarschall zur Luftschiff Abteilung
I have to say, that this incursion caught me off guard as well as ISW (and the Russians).
When I checked at ISW, events hadn't fully been examined, so it appeared to be something other than an official Ukrainian operation.
It'll be interesting to see how this event unfolds, along with the ripple effect across the front.
Something I also noted, is that Ukrainian pressure on Russian assets in Crimea has been particularly high - this makes me wonder if the Kursk Oblast incursion just might be a diversion?
When I checked at ISW, events hadn't fully been examined, so it appeared to be something other than an official Ukrainian operation.
It'll be interesting to see how this event unfolds, along with the ripple effect across the front.
Something I also noted, is that Ukrainian pressure on Russian assets in Crimea has been particularly high - this makes me wonder if the Kursk Oblast incursion just might be a diversion?
Snautzer01
Honourably banned
- 43,079
- Mar 26, 2007
I thought about that.
I put forward that it is a minor push to relief to pressure on other parts.
Like the Germans did a while back. The russians can not, not respond. But havent got the resources to fight a multiple front by far.
It would be interesting to see if soviet forces either more or less stop pushing relieving a weak spot in their line. Or go on and loose face and ground in their side. The motherland. What a loss of face that will be.
If they do plug, the are weaker then i thought because there is not much behind the front that can deal with a leak.
Weakness lies in not having assets to plug a hole.
Ukr did a cheeky thing. That what you get being trained by amies and brits and french. Yes also germans.
I think they are trying to manouver out of a difficult place.
Furthermore i do not think russian command is not very well trained in stuff not according to game plan. They should have since Snake island.
Its not 1944 steam rolling.
I put forward that it is a minor push to relief to pressure on other parts.
Like the Germans did a while back. The russians can not, not respond. But havent got the resources to fight a multiple front by far.
It would be interesting to see if soviet forces either more or less stop pushing relieving a weak spot in their line. Or go on and loose face and ground in their side. The motherland. What a loss of face that will be.
If they do plug, the are weaker then i thought because there is not much behind the front that can deal with a leak.
Weakness lies in not having assets to plug a hole.
Ukr did a cheeky thing. That what you get being trained by amies and brits and french. Yes also germans.
I think they are trying to manouver out of a difficult place.
Furthermore i do not think russian command is not very well trained in stuff not according to game plan. They should have since Snake island.
Its not 1944 steam rolling.
Admiral Beez
Major
Best to turn on all your lights, drop your gear and fly slow and land asap in Ukraine.
GrauGeist
Generalfeldmarschall zur Luftschiff Abteilung
Aparently, Ukrainians downed a Ka-52 in the Kursk area yesterday.
They also took down a MI-28 with a drone, too.
They also took down a MI-28 with a drone, too.
Ukraine continues major incursion into Russia, with reports of advances amid heavy fighting
Ukrainian forces are continuing to advance deeper into Russia's Kursk region, expanding their area of control on the third day of their major incursion, with the situation worsening for Russian forces, according to a key pro-Kremlin Russian military blogger. Rybar, a blog closely linked to...
Admiral Beez
Major
Putin must be thinking that an actual invasion of Russia may justify at minimum a tactical nuclear strike on Kiyv. If not now, what's the point of having nukes beyond deterrence?
RogerdeLluria
Staff Sergeant
- 1,326
- Jul 5, 2015
Russian Railway networks facing "imminent collapse": report
The railway network's deputy head is reported to have told his subordinates at an internal meeting that the situation is critical.
www.newsweek.com
Thumpalumpacus
Major
Because he knows other nations have nukes as deterrents as well, while this incursion is not an existential threat at nearly that level.
No, that would open a whole can of whoop-ass he does not want to open, and he knows it.
ThomasP
Senior Master Sergeant
re
If Putin uses a nuke in Ukraine (or anywhere else in the world under current circumstances):
1. Everyone in the world (except maybe a bunch of Russians and North Korea's fearless leader) will figure Putin needs to be removed from office or simply killed - and you can be sure the rule against assassinating foreign political leaders will go out the window (at least in regards to Putin being targeted).
2. The US & NATO will decimate the Russian ground and air forces around Ukraine and elsewhere as needed. I do not want to overstate the ability of the US and NATO to destroy (without the use of nuclear weapons) the Russian military as a coherent structure, but it would happen very quickly.
3. Any additional use of nuclear weapons by Putin would result in the destruction of Russia as a coherent nation (whether through nuclear war or otherwise).
The intent of the US and NATO has been, since shortly after the war began, ". . . to see Russia weakened to the degree that it can't do the kinds of things that it has done in invading Ukraine." We would have preferred that Ukraine had been able to kick them out forcibly (with our help as needed) but since that has not been a realistic option so far, we are following the 'weaken Russia' strategy.
If Putin uses a nuke in Ukraine (or anywhere else in the world under current circumstances):
1. Everyone in the world (except maybe a bunch of Russians and North Korea's fearless leader) will figure Putin needs to be removed from office or simply killed - and you can be sure the rule against assassinating foreign political leaders will go out the window (at least in regards to Putin being targeted).
2. The US & NATO will decimate the Russian ground and air forces around Ukraine and elsewhere as needed. I do not want to overstate the ability of the US and NATO to destroy (without the use of nuclear weapons) the Russian military as a coherent structure, but it would happen very quickly.
3. Any additional use of nuclear weapons by Putin would result in the destruction of Russia as a coherent nation (whether through nuclear war or otherwise).
The intent of the US and NATO has been, since shortly after the war began, ". . . to see Russia weakened to the degree that it can't do the kinds of things that it has done in invading Ukraine." We would have preferred that Ukraine had been able to kick them out forcibly (with our help as needed) but since that has not been a realistic option so far, we are following the 'weaken Russia' strategy.
As a Mick Ryan's subscriber, I'm probably biased. Anyway, I highly recommend his articles.
The Battle of Kursk 2024
A quick assessment of what we know about the surprise Ukrainian assault into Russia, and what might be Ukraine’s strategic and operational objectives.mickryan.substack.com
Very interesting read. Key points summary:
- Looks like it's not just a raid with proxy forces - a la 2023 and earlier in 2024 - but a proper ground attack. Depth of penetration was at least 12km as of 12 hours ago.
- Two Ukrainian mechanised brigades ( 22ndMechanized Brigade and the 82nd Air Assault Brigade) identified as being involved. To continue the attack beyond the initial phase, Mr Ryan expects follow on forces will be needed (due to the maintenance needs of vehicles).
- There is a lot of AD capacity being used.
Ryan's speculation on the objectives:
- Seize ground and destroy Russian ground and aerial forces (basic tactical level).
- Draw Russian forces away from their attacks on the Niu-York and advances on Toretsk and Pokrovsk (operational level)
- Force Russia to reconsider force dispositions elsewhere on the front line (operational level)
- Potentially seize some specific operational objectives
- Attempt to slow or kill Russian momentum in its offensives (strategic)
- Shift the narrative on the war to one more positive for Ukraine and counter Russian misinformation about their 'inevitable victory' in Ukraine (strategic)
- Boost morale in the Ukrainian population (strategic)
- 'Pull a Russia' and "grab as much territory as possible in case Ukraine is forced into some kind of negotiated settlement at the end of 2024 or in early 2025." (strategic)
Admiral Beez
Major
Can't China provide the former Swedish bearings?Russian Railway networks facing "imminent collapse": report
The railway network's deputy head is reported to have told his subordinates at an internal meeting that the situation is critical.
ThomasP
Senior Master Sergeant
Probably, but China has been trying to walk the narrow line between not aiding Russia in the war against Ukraine, and not getting international sanctions imposed against them.
Ascent
Senior Airman
Admiral Beez
Major
Now that Ukraine has jumped the shark and invaded Russia without much of a hmph from the US or NATO, I would not be surprised to see a larger Ukrainian flanking movement coming out of the Kharkiv Oblast, toward Belgorod before smashing into occupied Luhansk Oblast to take the Russian trenches and minefields from the rear, while liberating Severodonetsk. All coordinated with a frontal Ukrainian attack from Kharkiv along with ATACMS, HIMARs and Storm Shadow strikes on command and control targets within both Russia and Luhansk.
It's about eight to ten hours driving time, if you're in an Abrams or Leopard 2. Here's the route I suggest.
maps.app.goo.gl
It's about eight to ten hours driving time, if you're in an Abrams or Leopard 2. Here's the route I suggest.
Kharkiv Oblast to Severodonetsk
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Admiral Beez
Major
If I was China I'd make Russia purchase complete locomotives. And demand payment upfront, while perhaps not delivering them until 2026…. Might as well gouge them when you can.
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