"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (9 Viewers)

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DerAdlerIstGelandet said:
www.yahoo.com

Ukraine continues major incursion into Russia, with reports of advances amid heavy fighting

Ukrainian forces are continuing to advance deeper into Russia's Kursk region, expanding their area of control on the third day of their major incursion, with the situation worsening for Russian forces, according to a key pro-Kremlin Russian military blogger. Rybar, a blog closely linked to...
www.yahoo.com www.yahoo.com
Click to expand...
This is my favourite line in the paper.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has called for "courage" in the region

If Putin is calling for courage, it tells you what is missing from the region, and what is likely to be happening
 
When the Tzar doesn't like to hear ''bad'' news, but prefers to live in his own fictional reality:

''...Gerasimov and top officials seemingly dismissed intelligence warnings that Ukrainian soldiers were gathering near the border with Russia's western Kursk region as much as two weeks before they began the assault, and nobody briefed President Vladimir Putin, according to a person close to the Kremlin. Defensive forces inside Russia were caught off guard and offered little initial resistance to the Ukrainian advance...''

''...Gerasimov oversaw Putin's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 that was meant to last for days and is now deep into its third year with huge Russian casualties...''

''Russia Declares Border Area Emergency as Ukraine Troops Strike'' Bloomberg - Are you a robot?
 
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Escuadrilla Azul said:
More on the third day of the raid, incursion, invasion (however you want to name it) in Kursk:

www.twz.com

Ukrainian Forces Make Major Gains Inside Russia On Day Three Of Kursk Invasion (Updated)

Ukraine is continuing to pour troops and equipment into Russia as it sees success in its bold but risky operation in Kursk.
www.twz.com www.twz.com
Click to expand...

After reading that in full, I have to admit my asserting it was only a raid (to A Admiral Beez ) was wrong. It may be a recon-in-force, or a spoiling attack, or a play for a bargaining chip. If they're laying in a logistics train, this is not shoot'n'scoot, in any event.
 
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Admiral Beez said:
Now that Ukraine has jumped the shark and invaded Russia without much of a hmph from the US or NATO, I would not be surprised to see a larger Ukrainian flanking movement coming out of the Kharkiv Oblast, toward Belgorod before smashing into occupied Luhansk Oblast to take the Russian trenches and minefields from the rear, while liberating Severodonetsk. All coordinated with a frontal Ukrainian attack from Kharkiv along with ATACMS, HIMARs and Storm Shadow strikes on command and control targets within both Russia and Luhansk.

It's about eight to ten hours driving time, if you're in an Abrams or Leopard 2. Here's the route I suggest.

maps.app.goo.gl

Kharkiv Oblast to Severodonetsk

maps.app.goo.gl maps.app.goo.gl
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That is what they want you to believe. The actual plan is to take Crimea :tearsofjoy:

www.google.com

Kharkiv Oblast to Sevastopol

www.google.com www.google.com
 
An excellent assessment of the Kursk Oblast incursion

Also note that ISW is fully respecting Ukrainian Military OpSec.

Institute for the Study of War

Ukrainian cross-border mechanized offensive operations into Kursk Oblast that began on August 6 are continuing as part of a Ukrainian operational effort within Russian territory. ISW will not offer assessments about the intent of this Ukrainian operation
www.understandingwar.org www.understandingwar.org
 
Radio Free Europe reporting Ukraine is now occupying about 600 sq km of Russian territory in Kursk Oblast. To put that into context, Russia has managed to capture just 567 sq km of Ukrainian territory in the past five months, and 775 sq km since November 2023.

Just to add - there's open source intelligence confirming that elements of at least four Ukrainian brigades are involved in this attack, along with the Georgian legion and various SoF groups. Russians are reported as having identified elements from anther two.

Further to that, support forces have been identified from another two brigades. Another four to six are tentatively identified as in reserve or stationed on the border in the area.

That means that elements of at least 8 brigades and possibly as many as 16 are involved in the Kursk attack.

Given that Ukraine reportedly only has about 75 to 85 active brigades, that's a huge chunk of it's firepower.
 
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agenda.ge

Biden: US remains “steadfast” in support of Georgia's sovereignty, territorial integrity on anniversary of 2008 Russian invasion | AGENDA.GE

The United States President Joe Biden on Wednesday said his administration remained “steadfast” in its support of Georgia's sovereignty and territorial integrity within its internationally recognised borders, in a letter sent to his Georgian counterpart Salome Zourabichvili on the occasion of...
agenda.ge

If there was ever a time for Georgia and Moldova to rise up and forcibly expel Russian-backed rebels and retake their territory, it's now. Russia has no aid to send.
 
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Admiral Beez said:
Putin's pride and distrust cost the lives of those sailors trapped in the submarine Kursk. I expect the public outcry from that incident has convinced Putin to strictly control what Russians are allowed to know about this "ten day" special military operation.
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And now Kursk itself is threatened. Putin may wonder if the ghost of the Kursker knights has cursed him.
 
defence-blog.com

Russians call Kursk convoy strike one of war’s deadliest

Russian military sources have described a recent strike on a Russian convoy near the village of Oktyabrskoye in the Kursk region as one of the deadliest and most devastating attacks of the entire war. According to reports circulating on Russian Telegram channels and by military bloggers, the...
defence-blog.com defence-blog.com
 
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