"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (20 Viewers)

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Good commentary, thank you.
By the way, about training... Numbers just released.
"over 4,000 persons trained in 14 countries...
2,000 - tube artillery, 500 - rocket artillery, 500 - anti-air defence, almost 200 - maintenance of anti-tank weapons, almost 200 - maintenance of radar systems."

 
Doesn't mean a thing to Russia so long as India and China refuse sanctions and ignore embargo - which they wll continue to do. There is a global political element/faction determined to end fossil fuels imbedded in G7.

The People in those (and our) countries would love a 'cap' on fuel prices but how exactly CAN G7 implement a price cap? Sanctions have not - an will not work. Folks are buying and hoarding coal for the upcoming winter. Euro companies need natural gas and diesel fuel. Think adequate supplies of natural gas will be available in EU if not supplemented by Russia?

Think OPEC is in line with price caps?

Looks like a Kabuki dance to me.
 

'Fraid I disagree with you. China and India may ignore the embargo and refuse sanctions....but there's no way they can make up for the 2 million barrels per day that went to Europe via dedicated pipelines before the invasion. China and India can take some of Russia's oil but they can't take that amount. Europe absolutely will have a terrible winter this year, and they almost certainly will have to take Russian oil and gas. However, this isn't a binary "all or nothing" situation. If Europe can reduce its demand on Russian oil and gas, then it reduces Moscow's leverage. The less oil and gas that Europe uses, the more Russia will have to find alternate customers which (a) don't really exist, and (b) requires a huge increase in ocean-going tankers to transport the fuel.

I suspect the G7 cap is as much about seeking to reduce cost impacts on domestic energy users than an attempt at tweaking Putler's nose. I share some skepticism about the likelihood of success...but doing nothing guarantees that average citizens will suffer. OPEC certainly can make its own decisions but its member nations also want to be perceived as being on the side of right, even if they aren't willing to outright jump on the sanctions bandwagon. OPEC intransigence and profiteering may achieve some short-term financial gain but it will prove extremely damaging in the long term...and OPEC can't ignore the "futures" aspect of business.

I'd like to understand the rationale for your statement "sanctions have not and will not work." What's your definition for sanctions actually working? Also, what's your evidence that they aren't working?

Sanctions aren't a silver bullet that will bring Russia to the negotiating table, complete with having to negotiate from a position of weakness. However, it seems pretty clear that sanctions ARE working to the extent that they can. They've effectively isolated Russia from its biggest markets, they've prevented the transfer of technology, and hindered Russia's ability to manufacture replacement weapon systems for the war they started.
 
European leaders have, unsurprisingly, poured scorn (laced with skepticism) on Russia's claim that an oil leak has closed down the Nord Stream 1 pipeline. Now Siemens is piling on and calling Moscow's bluff:

As we've been reporting, European leaders have cast doubt on Russia's stated reasons for keeping the Nord Stream 1 pipeline closed.
Now Siemens Energy - the German firm that has assisted with maintenance of the Nord Stream pipeline - has told Reuters that oil leaks do not normally impact the operation of the turbine.
"Such leaks do not normally affect the operation of a turbine and can be sealed on site. It is a routine procedure within the scope of maintenance work," the company said.
"In the past, too, the occurrence of this type of leak has not led to a shutdown of operations.
"Irrespective of this, we have already pointed out several times that there are sufficient other turbines available at the Portovaya compressor station for Nord Stream 1 to operate."
 
Happily not thinking this through, I like the idea of Russia shutting off the gas. Just rip the Band-Aid off in one quick move. Europe may be realizing it shouldn't have made itself energy dependent on Russia. Europeans will be in for a hard time. They will be in for another hard time when Putin decides for a more substantial route into Kaliningrad or the Zaporizhzhia Oblast is Russkiy Mir. If putler plays economic hardball, well, look at who he's up against. Tougher times for all. Less for some, more for others. Russia, however, will really start hurting. Those daily billions Russia makes? Most of that goes to putler via his shrinking circle of oligarchs. Boris and Ludmilla Drunkenskiya aren't going to see any petrodollars. The bucks coming in needed to run the show probably isn't enough either.
 
OK to disagree. 2-3X price for Gas and Fuel makes up for reduced deliveries. Russia can afford to a.) not ship fertilizer to US/Europe and b.) Shut Nord down completely. All OPEC has to do to a.) Help Russia, and b.) Help themselves, is to reduce output - which they very much intend to do. Iran and Veneuela will continue to produce. What is G7 going to do? Only agree to a phantom price resulting in zero no deliveries - with winter coming to Northern Europe, US/Canada and UK? Who can sustain daily operations better going forward - Russia or the West?

Setting a cap works how - if Russia, Opec and Venezuela/Iran don't fall in line with the cap? You may have missed the memo but OPEC will have no problem ignoring 'futures' unless Global Demand drops catastrophically (i.e. Great Recession/Depression) and the politicians holding the bag trying to explain their own self destruction on Russia will get lame. Don't get me wrong, I am NOT pro Russia. They simply are holding a better hand in this game of Russian Roulette

Everybody (politicians) 'want to stop inflation' because their PEOPLE are getting crushed - but high cost of fuel is just one link in the supply chain disasters across the globe. For the US the policy decisions to 'let them eat cake and buy EV' by trying to force US Producers out of business by killing drilling permits vital to new production of Natural Gas and crude - while killing coal and nuclear power - has artificially driven US producers away from keeping US self sufficient.

I made comments about the Grid. Texas is the most important nodes in the US Energy Grid. We almost took the US down when our feeble wind/solar power supply 2% power generation failed 18 mo ago.We have not fortified sufficiently in that timeframe to guarantee successful navigation through the same events. Some of the Americans on this forum have no fundamental understanding of the fuel for the Grid. Gas has largely replaced Coal (which is abundantly in supply but most plants have been shut down). Nuclear is being shut down. Exploration for Natural Gas via Drilling permits have been shut down. There will be zero return to normalcy in Energy grid supply if we have a major catastrophe and have to fire up coal as a backstop.

Our UK posters may wish to chime in re: Firing up coal power generation in time for winter. Ditto our German friends?

If folks think their monthly energy bill is outrageous, hide and watch a country forced out of gasoline driven transportation into 'light socket charging' when mass EV demand hits the Grid. As quoted in Ghostbusters "Who ya gonna call"?

Farmers and truckers (read food and goods to big cities) are getting crushed with skyrocketing costs to stay in business,.. and those that are still in business will continue to raise prices to each of us. The point is - price reductions have somewhat alleviated the pain but only slowed the inflation trajectory - not reversed it and the big city dwellers will be the first victims of the Perfect Storm.

Oh I forgot the 'new wave of Pandemics' including son of Covid, Monkeypox, donkey and zebra pox, etc - as an excuse to keep rioters off the streets.

IMO

I'm pleased to accept the 'tinfoil hat' monicker and delighted that those that feel that way also think their leaders in US, UK, Australia/New Zealand and Canada have 'got this'.
 
in those days there were six very distinct Maori languages.

As determined not specifically by Maori themselves, I might add. Different tribal areas had different dialects that defined where people came from, and there were a lot more than six. It's worth remembering that Maori was only a spoken language, the people themselves never wrote it and expressed themselves through objects and carvings rather than in an alphabet. It is only through English interpretation that Maori in its written form exists, which should tell you something about why it is expressed the way it is these days.

Being different for the sake of being different is what can best be described as arogant petty barstardry and does nothing for international relations. And yes the Maori are no different to the Yanks on that

You might be being a little bit harsh. I am aware of the complications of cultural awareness being driven by societal expectation, but Maori themselves celebrate this simply for the reason I mentioned earlier. Much of the problem you experience comes from the powers-that-be setting the rules (not specifically Maori themselves) in kowtowing to public expectation and doing it as lip service, rather than for any well-meaning actions of righting cultural wrongdoings. The opinions of those who weren't under restriction of how their language evolved over the years have the luxury of criticising how that language gets used in a modern context, but when you have had that subjugation it takes on a whole new meaning and seeing your language emblazoned on public buildings etc means a whole lot more if you were not allowed to speak it when you were growing up. Remember, this stuff happened in our lifetime.

I do cringe with the use of words that are sensitively described as "transliterating" English words into Maori, but it is no different to Katakana in translating a foreign word into usable text in Japanese language. For example, the Japanese word for windshield on a car is "furanto gurasu" the word for ice cream on a cone is "sofuto skupu ais-kurim". do we hold the same prejudice against the Japanese for creating a whole branch of their language specifically for use of foreign expressions? Also, English? Hmmmm... In the words of the eminently quotable George Dubya Bush "There is no French word for entrepreneur..."
 
Happily not thinking this through, I like the idea of Russia shutting off the gas. Just rip the Band-Aid off in one quick move.
Yep. Europe has dealt with much harder shocks than a lack of fuel, such as repairing total destruction in 1945 and reunification at end of the Cold War. Germany and the Euros will overcome this short term mega shock. Meanwhile, Russia can neither easily sell their gas to others nor stop production.

 
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Maori themselves celebrate this simply for the reason I mentioned earlier…
Just to try to make some relevance to our topic at hand, throughout their rule, the Russians tried to eradicate Ukraine's distinct language. Conquerors often understand that to truly conquer another people you must eliminate their language and cultural distinctions, forcing assimilation. That's exactly what we tried to do in what became Canada to our indigenous people, where we would kidnap their children and force them into Uyghur-like indoctrination camps. But Russia's invasion has done the exact oppostite, bringing Ukraine's distinct language and culture to the world's attention and ignited nationalist sentiment across Ukraine and its diaspora.
 
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But Russia's invasion has done the exact oppostite, bringing Ukraine's distinct language and culture to the world's attention and ignited nationalist sentiment across the Ukraine and its diaspora.

Simply because Ukraine has the means and support from the rest of the world to combat Russian oppression. The Uighurs, Maori, Australian Aboriginals, native Americans etc didn't have Baykar Bayraktars... Sorry to side track from the discussion, everyone.
 

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