"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (1 Viewer)

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What do we predict re. Crimea? My feeling is that retaking this territory will be the biggest diplomatic/political rather than military challenge for Ukraine. I can envision Ukraine having to give it up in exchange for a peace deal and otherwise total Russian withdraw from the rest of Ukraine's territory. I think when the war's over whomever is holding onto Crimea will get to keep it, so my hope is that the AFU can seize Crimea before the end of the year. Bypass Kherson for later if you must.
 

KYIV, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Ukraine has received its first delivery of NASAMS air defence systems which will "significantly strengthen" its armed forces, Defence Minister Oleksii Reznikov said on Monday.

White House National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby said last month the United States was accelerating the shipment of the sophisticated NASAMS systems to Ukraine after a devastating missile barrage from Russia.

"Look who's here! NASAMS and Aspide air defence systems arrived in Ukraine!," Reznikov wrote on the Telegram messaging app, thanking Norway, Spain and the United States for the shipments.


"These weapons will significantly strengthen the #UAarmy and will make our skies safer."


 
That is what has been clearly stated by Zelensky, his ministers and the people since day one.
Tragically, the final say may not be Zelensky or his people. At the end of the day, they are heavily dependent on the USA for arms, ammunition and all sorts of other aid. If the USA say for instance let Russia keep Crimea, then there will be little they can do about it.

It's not right, it's not fair and it shouldn't happen, but it could easily happen.
 
I totally agree with you, but I wouldn't bet against something like this happening. At a guess, neither would you
 

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