"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (2 Viewers)

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The problem with Russia's manpower is that they're woefully trained and equipped.


Uralvagon has greatly reduced its AFV output, and largely given its workforce the task of repairing damaged units.

The Kremlin Wants "Uralvagonzavod" to Repair Tanks 24/7 But There Are Not Enough Workers | Defense Express

Therefore, it is necessary to put either pensioners or generally untrained people behind the machines
en.defence-ua.com



blueskies said:
Furthermore Ukraine is dealing with very serious disruptions to its rail and electrical grid which place further difficulties on supplying the front, by comparison the Russian trains are still running, they have no power issues, ect.
Click to expand...

Even with all those trains running, the Russians can't seem to get their logistics in order.
 
Russia started this war with 2600 operational tanks. They have lost close to half in around twelve months of operations.
Annual tank production including upgrades is only 200 at most which is untenable given the losses.

Another year at this rate and they will be able to field around 300 at most.

Belarus has already handed over 122 T-72A tanks (original weaker version). Russia is also fielding T-62's which are not upgraded
and would not pass evaluation as a modern MBT. Why is this happening given the supposed number of tanks in reserve ?
Basically the reserve tanks have been sitting for years and will be missing a lot of parts, especially those which are worth money.

Upgrades and new vehicles will be difficult as fire control computers, thermal imaging systems and so forth are not produced in
Russia and due to sanctions will not be available.

Compare this mess to the production capability of NATO suppliers. Apply the same for aircraft and you can see why drones are coming
from Iran.

Any advances by Russia take them further away from supply bases while Ukraine receives equipment and supplies round the clock.
 
And further to the issue of production:


Russia has acknowledged for the first time that it doesn't have enough equipment for mobilized soldiers in its war against Ukraine.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters on Wednesday that there are issues with equipment for the hundreds of thousands of men being sent to fight in Ukraine under President Vladimir Putin's partial mobilization decree.

Peskov said a newly-formed council created by Putin is working on resolving problems with equipment. "Vigorous measures taken to rectify the situation are already yielding the first positive results," he said.

Regional authorities are working on providing "the missing gear," Peskov said, noting that Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov "is personally responsible for this" as part of Putin's new council.

Russia admits it's running out of equipment for mobilized soldiers

Regional authorities are working on providing "the missing gear," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said.
www.newsweek.com

Also, an interesting op-ed from a fellow at Rand can be read here.
 
Maybe only the first kick of the ball to send it to the pit.

Shortly after that modern fighters were not off the tablet, like Typhoons tranche 1.
 
Glider said:
I don't think the AMX10 light tanks ever made it either
Click to expand...
I don't believe those were endlessly dangled, but were sent soon after they were proposed. There are three categories it seems of military aid to Ukraine: there's those that are proposed but will not be sent ever or until the war's over, likely the F-16; those that are proposed, denied and then eventually sent, like the Leopard 2 tanks (or perhaps your AMX10s); and third, those that spare the endless chatter and after a short preparatory phase just get sent, such as the thousands of MANPADS and MANPATS sent from Feb 2022 onwards.

Air power seems to be a line NATO is reticent to cross. After eleven months of fighting the only western-designed manned aircraft sent to Ukraine are a trio of retired, and stripped out former FAA Westland Sea Kings. I wonder what will be the next manned aircraft to Ukraine from the west. The Mirage would be good, but I think it's more likely going next be another rotary, maybe old UH-1 Iroquois or Twin Hueys. Ukraine's best chance for additional fighters for now is for their backers to scrape up more MiG-29s from the globe.
 
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I believe Biden will do the "no, until yes" thing with F-16s, just as he did with M-1s -- especially now that UK has signed off on training Ukrainian pilots on Eurokit. Without trying to go political here, our Administration seems unwilling to lead the way, but is content to let others break the ice and then sending our own stuff in.
 
Indeed - might be another one where the UK says "we're providing a token force of Typhoons" and then the floodgates open for others to offer F-16s etc.
 
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