Escuadrilla Azul
Master Sergeant
- 2,302
- Feb 27, 2020
Kind of optimistic.
"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (41 Viewers)
- Thread starter XBe02Drvr
- Start date
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RogerdeLluria
Staff Sergeant
- 1,409
- Jul 5, 2015
Now that Kherson has been liberated this guys are gonna have a hard time counting destroyed and captured equipment.
No sleep for at least a month.
No sleep for at least a month.
RogerdeLluria
Staff Sergeant
- 1,409
- Jul 5, 2015
Unfortunately that was expected
buffnut453
Captain
Ukrainian civilians and soldiers celebrate in Kherson's main square:
Celebrating is cool. And then back to business...
u24.gov.ua
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Thumpalumpacus
Colonel
"Reorganizing for future offensives" is my bet.
Admiral Beez
Major
Is a frontal assault the only means for Ukraine to take Crimea? With much of the Russian army dug in on the south bank of the Dnieper it seems that Crimea itself may be underdefended. How about a Ukrainian parachute or amphibious raid combined with destruction of the Kerch bridge and the bridges linking Kherson to Crimea? Of course the lads need to be resupplied once they land in Crimea, likely by sea from Odessa.
Thumpalumpacus
Colonel
Does Ukraine have the naval forces able to project power in this manner? I'm skeptical of that myself. Airdrops/airborne envelopment would also face difficulties from Russian SAMs and/or fighter interception, though small, low-level insertions are something they're no doubt capable of executing, given what their chopper pilots showed in the defense of Mariupol.
Escuadrilla Azul
Master Sergeant
- 2,302
- Feb 27, 2020
Long and happy night today in Kherson
I asked a native Russian speaker who I know at a different web site and his reply was
"The gist is correct. Of course he's not realizing it, he always knew."
Admiral Beez
Major
Me too. But I often feel I underestimate the Ukrainians. When there is a front assault on Crimea I would not be surprised if there is an assault into the Russian rear, maybe using Ukraine's Air Assault troops Ukrainian Air Assault Forces - Wikipedia and RO/RO ships? UkrFerry - Wikipedia
Black Sea ro-ro operations adapt to the new normal as companies seek opportunities - The Loadstar
War in Ukraine has forced the re-routing of cargo out of the country, creating rapidly changing freight paths and new facilities.
theloadstar.com
"UkrFerry owns three ro-ro ferries, designed to transport rolling stock and trucks, which allowed UkrFerry to gain momentum for the sustainable development of the Euro-Asian block train projects known as The Middle Corridor or the trans-Caspian Route, where Chornomorsk, Ukraine, – Batumi/Poti, Georgia and the rail ferry line was operating."
MarineTraffic: Global Ship Tracking Intelligence | AIS Marine Traffic
MarineTraffic Live Ships Map. Discover information and vessel positions for vessels around the world. Search the MarineTraffic ships database of more than 550000 active and decommissioned vessels. Search for popular ships globally. Find locations of ports and ships using the near Real Time ships...
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MarineTraffic: Global Ship Tracking Intelligence | AIS Marine Traffic
MarineTraffic Live Ships Map. Discover information and vessel positions for vessels around the world. Search the MarineTraffic ships database of more than 550000 active and decommissioned vessels. Search for popular ships globally. Find locations of ports and ships using the near Real Time ships...
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Escuadrilla Azul
Master Sergeant
- 2,302
- Feb 27, 2020
RuAF is bringing MiG-31 fighters near enough to be a menace with their LR AAM for ukrainian aircraft.
Russia’s MiG-31 Foxhounds Proving To Be A Threat To Ukrainian Aircraft
The unique MiG-31BM with its very long-range air-to-air missiles is a serious menace to Ukrainian aircraft.
www.thedrive.com
Thumpalumpacus
Colonel
From ISW:
Key Takeaways
www.understandingwar.org
The full assessment is worth the read.
Key Takeaways
- Ukrainian forces steadily advanced in Kherson Oblast on November 10 as Russian forces conduct a withdrawal to the east (left) bank of the Dnipro River.
- The Russian withdrawal will take some time to complete, and fighting will continue throughout Kherson Oblast as Ukrainian troops advance and come up against pre-prepared Russian defensive lines, especially around Kherson City.
- ISW does not assess the fighting in Ukraine will halt or enter a stalemate due to winter weather, despite faulty Western assumptions.
- Ukraine holds the initiative and is in the process of securing a major victory in Kherson. A ceasefire would provide the Kremlin with the pause it desperately needs to reconstitute Russian forces.
- Wagner Group financier Yevgeniy Prigozhin is increasingly wrestling with St. Petersburg officials over expanding Wagner Group recruitment in the city.
- Ukrainian Air Force Command spokesperson Yuriy Ignat stated that Russian force will likely slow the pace of their campaign against Ukrainian infrastructure.
- Ukrainian forces continued to conduct counteroffensive operations on the Svatove-Kreminna line.
- Russian forces continued offensive operations near Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and in western Donetsk.
- Russian forces began constructing second line fortifications in Crimea and southern Ukraine.
- Russian citizens continue to oppose Russia's war in Ukraine through protest, social media dissent, and desertions from the military.
- Russian mobilization efforts are channeling personnel to the Wagner group.
- Russian occupation officials are continuing efforts to erode Ukrainian national identity while mobilizing residents in Russian-occupied territories.
Institute for the Study of War
This page collects ISW and CTP's updates on the conflict in Ukraine. In late February 2022, ISW began publishing daily synthetic products covering key events related to renewed Russian aggression against Ukraine.
The full assessment is worth the read.
Thumpalumpacus
Colonel
Me too. But I often feel I underestimate the Ukrainians. When there is a front assault on Crimea I would not be surprised if there is an assault into the Russian rear, maybe using Ukraine's Air Assault troops Ukrainian Air Assault Forces - Wikipedia and RO/RO ships? UkrFerry - Wikipedia
Black Sea ro-ro operations adapt to the new normal as companies seek opportunities - The Loadstar
War in Ukraine has forced the re-routing of cargo out of the country, creating rapidly changing freight paths and new facilities.
"UkrFerry owns three ro-ro ferries, designed to transport rolling stock and trucks, which allowed UkrFerry to gain momentum for the sustainable development of the Euro-Asian block train projects known as The Middle Corridor or the trans-Caspian Route, where Chornomorsk, Ukraine, – Batumi/Poti, Georgia and the rail ferry line was operating."
MarineTraffic: Global Ship Tracking Intelligence | AIS Marine Traffic
MarineTraffic Live Ships Map. Discover information and vessel positions for vessels around the world. Search the MarineTraffic ships database of more than 550000 active and decommissioned vessels. Search for popular ships globally. Find locations of ports and ships using the near Real Time ships...www.marinetraffic.comMarineTraffic: Global Ship Tracking Intelligence | AIS Marine Traffic
MarineTraffic Live Ships Map. Discover information and vessel positions for vessels around the world. Search the MarineTraffic ships database of more than 550000 active and decommissioned vessels. Search for popular ships globally. Find locations of ports and ships using the near Real Time ships...www.marinetraffic.com
It could be possible, but the threat from remaining Russian BSF units would be pretty high, I'd think, and that would have to be considered in any Ukrainian cost-benefit analysis.
Admiral Beez
Major
I wonder if their pilots have more than a 100 flight hours this year so far. Then there's a question on maintenance.
Crash of Russian MiG-31 fighter jet at Belbek airport caught on video - Technology Org
A fighter jet MiG-31 from the Russian Air Forces crashed after an unsuccessful take-off attempt at Belbek airport in Crimea.
Russia says it has completed its withdrawal from Kherson
The defence ministry says it has completed its retreat from the key city in southern Ukraine, and all Russian troops and equipment have been transferred to the eastern bank of the Dnipro River.
www.abc.net.au
Russia's war in Ukraine leaves behind worsening environmental damage
Pollution and toxins released during the eight-month-old war have caused environmental devastation, leaving more than six million people without clean water and thousands of hectares of forest burnt.
www.abc.net.au
