Me too. I worry about the similarities with Germany's Ardennes Offensive in 1944. In 1944 the Germans hoped to use their superior armour in a concentrated push to the sea in order to cut off the Allies lines of supply.
We know how that turned out.
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The Ukrainians are perhaps planning something similar. I hope the UAF has their logistics better sorted that the Wehrmacht did.
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I think when the UAF counteroffensive launches we may see the mostly absent VVS show up with everything available that can fly. There are at least 500-700 fixed wing strike aircraft (MiG-29/31/35, Su-24/25/27/30/34/35/57) and 300-500 attack helicopters (Ka27/52, Mi-24/26/28), in the
Russian Air Force. Putin will be screaming from the bunker if his vaulted air force does nothing while the Ukrainians storm through Russian positions. Of course Russia needs to leave air force assets across the country for deterrence, so they can't all go to Ukraine, but I expect a good showing from the VSS once the Ukrainians kick off.