"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (18 Viewers)

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Long Neptune

 
"The administration this past week approved the sale of 3,350 Extended Range Attack Munition air-launched missiles, or ERAMs, which are set to arrive in Ukraine in about six weeks, two U.S. officials said...
Several U.S. officials said use of the ERAM, with a range between 150-280 miles, would require Ukraine to seek approval from the Pentagon."

ERAM is interesting. Supersonic, long-range, multipurpose. Successfully tested against hypersonic targets. Hopefully, radars and launchers will be available.
 

The European Union's (EU) top diplomat Kaja Kallas said Friday that Russian President Vladimir Putin is "laughing" at President Trump's efforts to broker a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine.

Kallas, the EU's foreign policy chief, said the president's push to end the conflict in Eastern Europe is "welcome," but that the Russian leader is less likely to come to the negotiating table since he "has achieved what he wanted" during last week's summit in Alaska with U.S. officials.

"Putin is just laughing, not stopping the killing but increasing the killing," Kallas said during her interview on BBC Radio 4.

Kallas said it is "clear" the Kremlin does not want to get to a peace deal, and added that "any promises that Putin has given so far, he hasn't kept."


 

An interesting observation on this. There is absolutely no sign of any AA defences at all and I was struck by the reaction of the civilians, who looked, took photos and didn't look concerned or surprised and didn't react at all.
Its almost as if war weariness' has set in which if true isn't a good sign for Russia.
 
 
True, but the control systems, which will also be hard to replace due sanctions, are inside the buildings supplied.

No doubt. And to be honest, I can't see that digging through the twisted metal to find the three or six motherboards that got fried or cracked would be remunerative -- it's probably cheaper to just build the entire thing again.

I think it boils down to how accurately you're aiming a payload large enough to do that sort of damage, and to be clear, I simply don't know that much about it, I'm just positing problem areas I could see arising. Even repairing the plumbing, in a country as hard-strapped as Russia is currently, is going to be a big ask.

The other thing is that the tanks wherein fractionation actually occurs must perforce be very strong due to operational requirements. Damaging that stuff might make for big industrial requirements by itself, what with BLEVEs and steel requirements, and so on.

I have no expertise or clear answers, only questions and possible issues. I'd still put as many tons of ordinance on the nodal targets as possible, myself.
 
Like you I know nothing about fuel installations and you are right that other damage is worthwhile but to me burning the control building is very worthwhile as it destroys all the computers and relays and other centralised components. Even if you have those available it still takes weeks (at best) to build the new control centre and wire it etc so that is why I think that is probably one of the most effective targets..
 
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