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Not all aircraft are equal as you have stated.
Wirraways used steel tube fuselages and fabric covering.
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The Wirraway was deliberately chosen as easy to build.
perhaps the Australians could build P-40s but it wouldn't be on a one for for one basis and the timing might be a bit late.
And you have the engine problem.
As for Allison engine Mustangs. The Aileron problem might have prevented them for being great fighters but P-40s using the same engines could never have provided the photo recon capability the Mustangs provided. British still were operating two squadrons of Allison powered Mustangs on VE day.
The need for time machines also starts to come into play.
Which P-40 do you want them to build?
The first order for Wirraways was placed in June of 1938. The First order for P-40s was placed in April of 1939.
Similar problems with some of the other time lines. The First production P-40 doesn't fly at the Curtiss factory until April 4th 1940, 36 days before the Germans attack France.
The Army doesn't start accepting production P-40s until May (11 of them) so while a lot is known about the Hawk 75 any countries setting up to build Hawk 81s is doing so on faith, not a proven product.
Timing is everything and the Hawk 75, while good, was not good enough to displace any of the British designs form production, neither were the early P-40s.
Which leaves you with trying to change over exiting production lines rather than starting P-40 production as the production facilities are designed and built.
you are going to get more P-40s but perhaps hundreds fewer aircraft in total over the years. Is that a good trade?
Ok, but that is indeed a significant nuance there (left out of your post, unless I missed it), and part of the reason for making that decision was the lack of available (Merlin XX type) engines and the (wise) decision to have Packard focus on making the Merlin 60 series engines for Mustangs. If on the other hand another source of engines was available, they very well might have made some more P-40 fighter groups (US) or squadrons (British).
I don't know what the breakdown was between engines for US and Canadian / British use, but apparently in the US the constraint on the P-40F and L was because not enough Merlin 20s were available and future production was going to Merlin 60's for the Mustang.
As for Canada, while the Mosquitos (wherever they ended up) were a good investment, and you could debate the Lancasters but they probably were too, most of those engines going into Hurricanes might have been better off going into P-40s. With the exception of maritime use, if any.
The original Packard licence agreement was for 9,000 engines, one third of which was to go to US aircraft. The P-40 was the only suitable airframe at the time the agreement was finalised.
The engines for the P-40F and L were from the 3,000 Merlins reserved for use by the USA.
Many of those engines went into Hurricanes when there were barely any P-40s available.
Early in the war the British wanted every last fighter they could get - and switching CCF from building steel tube and fabric Hurricanes to building stress skinned P-40s was not likely to meet that demand.
And the original reply would be:The original question should have been how many of the other models could have been made if P-40 production had been stopped as early as possible.
The P-43A-1 did have pilot and fuel tank protection, though not as extensive as an F4F-4 or P-40D.But no armor or self sealing tanks. The AVG had a couple of them and they liked it, basically for recon and like you said, intercepting recon planes. Once it was fully sorted out it essentially became the P-47.
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You keep leaving out the prime user of the P-39. The Soviets defeated the LW at the height of their power at all altitudes and all conditions. From mid 1942 until the end of the war. The Soviets produced over 67000 fighter planes but half of their top ten aces flew the P-39 with less than 5000 units supplied to them. The historical record is what it is.And yet the P-40 still had a vastly better combat record (and was much better liked by it's pilots) than the P-39. Reality can surprise you that way.
In the early to mid war, only the P-40 and P-39 were available, with small numbers of P-38s which I believe were being produced as fast as they could be. P-47 and P-51 came later, and when they were available, they switched to those. Building fewer P-39s would have helped the overall effort.
Even though some of the technical details you cited are incorrect, I'm not going to get drawn into a P-40 vs P-39 argument. The historical record is what it is.
But did they?The AAF could have easily lightened them just like the Soviets.