I might add that it didn't really need "hindsight" in many cases. Unfortunately in too many cases large blinders were used to ignore the lessons of WW I or willful disregard of those lessons was employed to justify the decisions made in the planning/procurement of aircraft and their deployment.
Inadequate testing/development of weapons (and all to often depending on hope/wishful thinking rather than tests and training) hampered the RAF even in it's "dream mission" (strategic bombing) let alone planes/units devoted to periphery tasks like maritime reconnaissance/coastal patrol.
I couldn't agree more.
Why was the Air Staff so dismissive of torpedo attacks against shipping?
The FAA and the ballistics sub-committee of the Committee of Imperial Defence had both come to different conclusions of which the Air Staff were well aware. During 1936 and 1937 FAA aircraft had undertaken a number of exercises using torpedoes against manouevering targets in various conditions and managed a corrected score of 34% hits. The correction was for casualties to AA etc. The uncorrected figure was 50%. Furthermore the ballistics sub-committee reckoned that one torpedo hit was sufficient to severely damage a large vessel, two or more hits would invariably result in a sinking.
The answer lies, once again, in inter Service rivalries. The Air Ministry was determined to resist Admiralty efforts, which were robust, to wrest control of shore based maritime squadrons and assets. In RAF memorandums this is described as the Navy's efforts to 'get a foot ashore' or even 'establish a bridgehead'. Indeed it was this that lead to the call in the mid '30s to the call for a medium bomber/torpedo carrier resulting in the Botha and Beaufort. If the Air Ministry could demonstrate that the RAF had a maritime strike capability, even if a dozen old biplanes, then Admiralty claims that the RAF was unable to perform naval support and trade protection roles could be countered and the Air Ministry's role as sole arbiter on aviation matters could be retained.
The RAF really believed that the only weapons aircraft should be deploying against shipping were bombs. Despite the results of various bombing trials in the 1930s the RAF also managed to discount the most accurate method of bombing shipping, dive bombing. Instead the RAF decided that 'pattern bombing' was the way to go.
How the bombers were supposed to navigate over the sea to find their targets was another question solved by wishful thinking, rather like the bomber v battleship question being decided in favour of the ship. In October 1938 the Deputy Director of Staff Duties, Group Captain F H Maynard wrote with breathtaking insouciance that long range navigation over sea and interception of naval targets amounted to "a comparatively simple exercise"
Later a plan to use Coastal Command aircraft to guide the bombers to their targets was mooted. The bomber crews couldn't 'Bradshaw', a reference to a famous Victorian railway guide book much used on cross country training flights, over the sea.
Cheers
Steve