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Almost on the 60/40 ratio...Bomber Command lost 1,345 aircraft to Flak (41%) and 2,278 to night fighter (59%)
So up to 69% were caused by fighters (as well as pilot error, mechanical malfunction): Looking at this, I'd have assumed the 69% loss rate (5800 planes) would be the result of day-fighters possessing potentially better agility, better ability to see their targets. The flak-accuracy on this alone appears to be the result of the fact that the USAAF B-17 and B-24's could fly higher (though ironically I was told that the B-24's usually flew at around 21,000-23,000 feet) and had lower odds of being hit.The 8th Air Force lost 1,798 heavy bombers to Flak, this represents 31% of losses to all causes.
Did the 15th Air Force use less B-17's, and more B-24's, B-25's, B-26's, A-20's, and A-26's?The 15th Air Force lost 1,046 heavy bombers to flak, representing 44% of losses to all causes.
Wait... if the crews that were attacked rarely returned: How did they determine attack angles? Other crews?It's something, angle from which bombers were attacked, that the ORS looked at frequently. Nor were crews reporting such attacks in debriefing.This is testimony to the capability of Schragemusik. Crews and aircraft simply didn't return to base following such attacks.
Wait... if the crews that were attacked rarely returned: How did they determine attack angles? Other crews?
Almost on the 60/40 ratio...
So up to 69% were caused by fighters (as well as pilot error, mechanical malfunction): Looking at this, I'd have assumed the 69% loss rate (5800 planes) would be the result of day-fighters possessing potentially better agility, better ability to see their targets. The flak-accuracy on this alone appears to be the result of the fact that the USAAF B-17 and B-24's could fly higher (though ironically I was told that the B-24's usually flew at around 21,000-23,000 feet) and had lower odds of being hit.
Did the 15th Air Force use less B-17's, and more B-24's, B-25's, B-26's, A-20's, and A-26's?
Policy was not always as clear as we might hope and the late war directives were always the result of compromise (an Anglo-American compromise) and were worded in ways that allowed Harris to carry on his campaign whilst conforming to the broad objectives of said directives.
German Flak had limitations in that the, apparently, did not have proximity fuses. So they would have to estimate the altitude of the bombers and set their fuses for that altitude.
But to think that flak was ineffectual because the B-17s flew higher is mistaken. My understanding is that flak accounted for more casualties in the 8th AF than did fighters, and caused quite considerable damage to aircraft that were still able to return. Flak also had psychological effects on the air crew, as unlike with fighters they could not fight back.
Thanks for rounding off for us.
I have read extensively the research of Bomber Command's ORS and refute absolutely the notion that
"Bomber Command were amazingly complacent about some things and seemed to have had an amazing level of corporate resistance to change."
Cheers
Steve
For the crews in Bomber Command it was impossible to gauge losses. They took off about a minute apart and then hoped they wouldnt see another plane until they landed. A raid could have light losses but some squadrons almost wiped out or heavy losses with some squadrons unaffected, those collecting information on a group still did not know the bigger picture. The legend of scarecrow grew in some squadrons who by chance suffered few losses but saw many explosions.The Luftwaffe used very 'low glimmer' tracer in these weapons so observers saw no stream of tracer, just a sudden explosion. This was not interpreted as a bomber exploding but as some kind of pyrotechnic designed to undermine morale, it was even given an appropriate name 'Scarecrow', despite never existing.
OkayNo. Some damaged bombers made it back to bases in the UK
They were rescued...some shot down crew members also made it back (returners).
Makes senseOf the damaged bombers examined, most received damage from flak, but of those that had been engaged by fighters almost all had been engaged from a low angle off.
The issue with gaining intelligence on Schragemusik was its devastating effect. It was in effect a surprise attack with 20mm cannon at point blank range. Bombers simply did not survive to return damaged. If any crew returned they would have no clear idea of how they had been attacked. Other crews certainly did witness Schragemusik attacks.
So it was just enough for the night-fighter crews to see but little else?The Luftwaffe used very 'low glimmer' tracer in these weapons so observers saw no stream of tracer, just a sudden explosion.
Yeah, I heard of thatThis was not interpreted as a bomber exploding but as some kind of pyrotechnic designed to undermine morale, it was even given an appropriate name 'Scarecrow', despite never existing.
True, but it was doable.As far as targeting goes, that is another question altogether. Harris was convinced, and he was not alone, that a general bombing campaign was the correct use of his force and argued strongly against its diversion to a targeted campaign, which he saw as taking his foot of the neck of an opponent who was already down, but not yet out. He also had good scientific and statistical evidence to show just how much effort was required to destroy such targets, many transport targets were particularly difficult.
When losses went unusually high or unexpected things happened?Bomber Command scientists kept track of losses, issuing monthly summaries. Particular raids were investigated when circumstances warranted.
Clear sky, moonlit night, stuff like that? I do remember that they sometimes used day fighters to augment night-fighter attack.The overall conclusion (ORS B 120 'Investigation into the Bomber Losses Sustained on the Nights of 27/28th and 28/29th August 1942') was
"on both of these nights weather was ideal for fighter interceptions"
Sounds about rightBut the increased efficiency of both radar controlled flak and fighter control was recognised.
Holes in the tanks or nav spoofing?There were also indications that some bombers were suffering fuel shortages.
True, and one thing that made the RAF probably able to meet accuracy similar to ours even at nightThe very action of forcing the bomber to fly higher also reduced their accuracy, making the sort of precision bombing US doctrine had advocated, impossible to achieve.
The B-24 had substantial deficiencies in accuracy at all altitudes when one looks at the ability to place the bombs within 500-feet of the aiming point; it is interesting to note that the accuracy did get proportionally less at 24,000 feet and above, and within 1000 yards of the aiming point, the B-24 actually slightly beat the B-17, though I doubt that figure is all that important.The Americans were well aware of the problem. Attached is a page from an 8th AF Bombing Accuracy analysis which shows both the decrease in accuracy with altitude and the trend to ever increasing bombing altitudes that was forced on the bombers in an effort to reduce losses.
View attachment 366013
I see your pointThanks for rounding off for us.
Casualties aren't actually the same as aircraft losses, there were people killed in planes that landed just fine.My understanding is that flak accounted for more casualties in the 8th AF than did fighters, and caused quite considerable damage to aircraft that were still able to return.
Never thought of it that wayFlak also had psychological effects on the air crew, as unlike with fighters they could not fight back.
That makes some sense, during the summer I talked to an elderly man who had a hat on with U.S.A.A.F. and 15th Air Force on it, and that started up a conversation. He was a B-24 electronics warfare guy.The 8th AF was predominately B-17s, with most of the B-24s transferred to the 15th AF.
Those were all TacAir units?From what I gather, B-26s were originally assigned to the 8th AF in the ETO but were soon transferred to the 9th AF.
In the MTO the 9th and 12th AF used both B-25s and B-26s.
The A-26's were some pretty cool aircraft actually.A-26s were assigned to the 9th AF (ETO) and 12th AF (MTO). I think the same for the A-20.
Okay
They were rescued...
So it was just enough for the night-fighter crews to see but little else?
When losses went unusually high or unexpected things happened?
Holes in the tanks or nav spoofing?
Okay
They were rescued...
Makes sense
So it was just enough for the night-fighter crews to see but little else?
Yeah, I heard of that
True, but it was doable.
When losses went unusually high or unexpected things happened?
Clear sky, moonlit night, stuff like that? I do remember that they sometimes used day fighters to augment night-fighter attack.
Sounds about right
Holes in the tanks or nav spoofing?
True, and one thing that made the RAF probably able to meet accuracy similar to ours even at night
The B-24 had substantial deficiencies in accuracy at all altitudes when one looks at the ability to place the bombs within 500-feet of the aiming point; it is interesting to note that the accuracy did get proportionally less at 24,000 feet and above, and within 1000 yards of the aiming point, the B-24 actually slightly beat the B-17, though I doubt that figure is all that important.
I see your point
Casualties aren't actually the same as aircraft losses, there were people killed in planes that landed just fine.
Never thought of it that way
That makes some sense, during the summer I talked to an elderly man who had a hat on with U.S.A.A.F. and 15th Air Force on it, and that started up a conversation. He was a B-24 electronics warfare guy.
Those were all TacAir units?
The A-26's were some pretty cool aircraft actually.