Wild_Bill_Kelso
Senior Master Sergeant
- 3,231
- Mar 18, 2022
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Wish the visual quality were better . . . had a hard time reading most of his slides. Even so, it is a good presentation and covers the conventional view of WWII and the gross disparity of scale between the Eastern and Western fronts from a ground officer's perspective. But just as the ground war was uneven, with 70-80% of the fighting and losses on the Eastern front, the air war was uneven in the opposite direction. And when it comes to the Luftwaffe fighter arm, the proportions are practically flipped. From Phillips Payson O'Brien's How the War Was Won:Watch that David Glantz lecture I linked up thread, it is eye opening and he presents it very well
The loss rates were discussed upthread, and there the disparity is even more pronounced: 85+% of German (single engine day) fighter losses destroyed on the Western front. And while it's usual to view the air war from a theater perspective, the assets were largely fungible. And in fact the assets were moved, to the West, where the vast majority of the air superiority battle took place and was decided. Which provided direct benefits to the Eastern front ground battle in the form of hamstrung Luftwaffe air support (O'Brien covers the disparity in German casualty rates from the early and late war and attributes much of it to feckless air support).This shift of German air power away from the land battlefield began in 1943. During the first half of the year, the Germans built up three large air forces, one in each of the theaters fighting three quite distinct battles. On the Eastern Front, after the fall of Stalingrad, a large force made up of one-quarter fighters and three-quarters ground attack or transport aircraft was assembled to support the Kursk attacks; in the Mediterranean, a force that was about equally split between fighters and bombers was deployed to try to halt the invasion of Sicily; and in the Reich/on the Western Front, a force that was about three-quarters fighters was deployed primarily to fight against the Combined Bomber Offensive. In overall percentage terms, 45 percent of the Luftwaffe was on the Eastern Front, 33 percent was in the Reich/on the Western Front and 21 percent was in the Mediterranean.
However, that was the last moment when the Luftwaffe dispersed itself so fully. With Russian successes on the Eastern Front, an invasion of Sicily and Italy, and a Combined Bomber Offensive against German cities and industry, a decision was made that the last was the greatest threat to German power, and thus began a decisive shift in deployment. By December 30, 1943, 54 percent of all aircraft were in Germany/on the Western Front, and by December 30, 1944 this figure had jumped to 67 percent. In terms of fighters, by far the largest portion of German aircraft production in 1944, the shift away from the Eastern Front and Mediterranean was even more pronounced. In the second half of 1944, 80 percent of German fighters were deployed facing Anglo-American bombers or Anglo-American armies on the Western Front.
In the end it is clear that fighting the air–sea war, particularly the former, was the dominant preoccupation of Germany's war economy.
At least two-thirds of German weapons production, even excluding the V-2, went to air, sea and anti-air weapons. Moreover, the development costs of these weapons in money, raw materials and scientific expertise were exponentially higher than for land weapons and the time involved in the design process was years longer. Although the average German fighting man may have been in the army, the average German was far more involved in the war in the air and on the sea.
The seeming paradox of the attack on the aircraft plants in that, although production recovered quickly, the German air force after the attacks was not again a serious threat to Allied air superiority.
This has come up before in other threads. The lack of next generation power plants significantly affected the Axis powers development of new aircraft. The failure of the Jumo 222 led to the failure of the Bomber B program (Ju 288), lack of performance for the He-219, and the He-277 among others. Once Germany had begun to fall behind the pace in power plant development and was losing the war of attrition the emphasis was on developing new aircraft that were significant leaps forward in capability and technology. They simply didn't have the time and resources to make those kind of advances in time.
It was already clear in 1940-41 that they really needed to replace the Stuka and the Bf 110, and they needed something entirely new in the medium-heavy bomber role to replace He 111 / Do 17 / Do 217 etc.
It was actually they way they did the replacements that got them into trouble. They tried to leap frog the state of the art into super gee-whiz technobabble wonder weapons that would WOW the opposition instead of actually working.It was already clear in 1940-41 that they really needed to replace the Stuka and the Bf 110, and they needed something entirely new in the medium-heavy bomber role to replace He 111 / Do 17 / Do217 etc.
Wish the visual quality were better . . . had a hard time reading most of his slides. Even so, it is a good presentation and covers the conventional view of WWII and the gross disparity of scale between the Eastern and Western fronts from a ground officer's perspective. But just as the ground war was uneven, with 70-80% of the fighting and losses on the Eastern front, the air war was uneven in the opposite direction. And when it comes to the Luftwaffe fighter arm, the proportions are practically flipped. From Phillips Payson O'Brien's How the War Was Won:
The loss rates were discussed upthread, and there the disparity is even more pronounced: 85+% of German (single engine day) fighter losses destroyed on the Western front. And while it's usual to view the air war from a theater perspective, the assets were largely fungible. And in fact the assets were moved, to the West, where the vast majority of the air superiority battle took place and was decided. Which provided direct benefits to the Eastern front ground battle in the form of hamstrung Luftwaffe air support (O'Brien covers the disparity in German casualty rates from the early and late war and attributes much of it to feckless air support).
Moreover, war production battle was also uneven and slanted toward the war in the West. Also from O'Brien:
The impact of Western strategic bombing on war production is significant, but difficult to assess. Certainly the devout followers of Douhet, et al, were disappointed to note that production actually increased after most raids (which is not actually fair, because production increased generally and the difference is in what it would have been, but still). The strategic bombing survey noted this but pointed out the overall effect was nonetheless significant, and credits the fighter (and fighter pilot) losses inflicted:
Although noting the scale of the war in the East is valid, and certainly the impact of the ferocity of fighting and millions of casualties had on the overall outcome, it is not appropriate to generalize to the air war. To approximately the same degree as the ground war was fought in the East, the air war was fought in the West.
It was actually they way they did the replacements that got them into trouble. They tried to leap frog the state of the art into super gee-whiz technobabble wonder weapons that would WOW the opposition instead of actually working.
View attachment 766013
Who the heck let this thing get off of paper to even the model stage? Rotating tail in flight to improve the firing arc of the remote control rear gun/s???
Ok to improve the Ju-87, this ain't it.
Bf 110, still had a lot of life left in it.
Insisting that that 210 needed that last 5mph of speed (?) that the short fuselage gave in place of stability/control?
If it won't fly it doesn't matter how fast it is.
He 111 had a bit of life left in it, sort of like the Whitley and Wellington. The Whitley got a 4 gun power turret, the He 111 got a fixed tail gun under the rudder fired by the pilot with a mirror.
The Do-17 was too small, unless you use DB 601 engine and use it for some of the Bf 110 jobs.
The Do-217 was what was needed, the only thing it shares with the Do-17 is the same general shape.
Again, speed was the god on which many things were sacrificed. Wing was too small for good medium bomber but then the dive bomber god demanded most of the rest of sacrifice
of good qualities.
View attachment 766014
Just the thing for a 30,000lb plane to use for a dive brake (after they burn off a lot of fuel) for 60 degree dives.
They had trouble getting a gun turret with a small gun to both traverse and elevate using power and this thing was going to work?
Way too many gimmicks instead of just decent engineering and obtainable goals.
It was actually they way they did the replacements that got them into trouble. They tried to leap frog the state of the art into super gee-whiz technobabble wonder weapons that would WOW the opposition instead of actually working.
View attachment 766013
Who the heck let this thing get off of paper to even the model stage? Rotating tail in flight to improve the firing arc of the remote control rear gun/s???
Ok to improve the Ju-87, this ain't it.
Bf 110, still had a lot of life left in it. Insisting that that 210 needed that last 5mph of speed (?) that the short fuselage gave in place of stability/control?
If it won't fly it doesn't matter how fast it is.
He 111 had a bit of life left in it, sort of like the Whitley and Wellington. The Whitley got a 4 gun power turret, the He 111 got a fixed tail gun under the rudder fired by the pilot with a mirror.
The Do-17 was too small, unless you use DB 601 engine and use it for some of the Bf 110 jobs.
The Do-217 was what was needed, the only thing it shares with the Do-17 is the same general shape.
Again, speed was the god on which many things were sacrificed. Wing was too small for good medium bomber but then the dive bomber god demanded most of the rest of sacrifice
of good qualities.
View attachment 766014
Just the thing for a 30,000lb plane to use for a dive brake (after they burn off a lot of fuel) for 60 degree dives.
They had trouble getting a gun turret with a small gun to both traverse and elevate using power and this thing was going to work?
Way too many gimmicks instead of just decent engineering and obtainable goals.
It was decent at recon, The Soviets loved A-20s for recon. The 110 was also fast bomber. Hang a pair of 250-500kg bombs underneath.As a night fighter. For just about any other role it was already at least obsolescent by 1941. May have still had some use in Russia for another year or so during the day. By that time it was pretty much dead meat in North Africa.
The Hungarians cheated, they added about a meter to the fuselage and increased moment arm got them the better stability. It wasn't that the Hungarians accepted a bad handling aircraft. The Luftwaffe could have had the better handling in late 1942. (Prototype flew in March 1942)The main issue is that it was deemed unstable by the Luftwaffe, though the Hungarians liked it. And it was not fast enough (or capable enough in other ways) to survive encounters with Allied fighters of it's vintage during the day.
well, I have been saying that they didn't really upgrade the 111. The 111 falls in-between the Pegasus powered Wellingtons and the Hercules powered Wellingtons. The Wellington gained about 8,000lbs from the IC to the X and gained 675hp per engine. Whitley's were still in use (to make up numbers) in the early 1000 bomber raids in 1942 and for maritime use well into 1943. Again, for the Germans, we are comparing slightly different engines for the Ju-88 and the 111. The 111 got the F engines in 1941(?) and the Ju-88A-4s got the J engines with intercoolers. about 80-100hp different. The 111s got better engines later but 1944 was little lateHe 111 did not have anywhere near the range of the Wellington, and did not seem to be nearly as effective in the long run. It did have some merits as a long range maritime attack aircraft but the Ju-88 was more effective in that role. I don't see where the Whitley did much of any use.
Long range escort it wasn't. We are also comparing planes 2 1/2 years apart. Do 217s showed up in small numbers at the end of 1940(mostly recon). The Missile planes used longer wings (maybe they could have bee used earlier) but the BMW 801 powered planes did not gain that much power. The DB603 powered versions were faster.Do 217 looks good on paper, and using missiles / guided bombs sunk some ships around Sicily and Italy, but it took losses at such unsustainable rates that the units were quickly disbanded or pulled out of action.
Maybe a long range escort fighter could have made a difference, I don't know.
Generally concur with all of this. The Soviet air did well on the tactical scale, especially in the latter period (and as a former CAS guy myself, it's definitely where my sympathies lie). The only thing I'd add is that it didn't occur in a vacuum and was materially aided by the air war in the West. Again from O'Brien:On the Tactical battlefield, the balance is very different. The Soviet-German war was mainly Tactical. The purpose of the aircraft in this kind of war is not to destroy or defend cities and factories, but to affect the outcome of the land battles. This is hard to quantify. It doesn't even hinge entirely on number of tanks (etc.) destroyed, because the real measure of success was did the air forces contribute significantly to winning the battle. The Soviet historians would argue that they did.
Unfortunately everyone agrees the effects are impossible to quantify. The bomber mafia takes credit for the fuel shortage and rail disruption, the tactical air forces take credit for the mobility issues, and the contributions of the ground forces are obvious. The destruction of the fighter force greatly enhanced the rest.As mentioned previously, German casualties before 1944 were actually manageable and running at a pace below that of World War I. In 1944, however, casualties became catastrophic. In just two months of 1944, July and August, the Germans reported 563,973 deaths in their armed services.192 This was equal to the number of deaths in all of 1942 and 70 percent as many deaths as suffered by the Germans in all of 1943.193 German ground equipment losses followed suit and, for the first time in the war, progressed at a rate far higher than replacement production. In Chapter 2 Figures 10 and 11 showed how the two most numerous panzer classes (the Panzer IV and Panzer V) first saw destruction pass production in the summer of 1944. The same situation occurred for all other German AFV including the Panzer VI (Tiger), the most famous heavy tank of the war. (See Figure 69.)
The reasons for these losses on land were intimately connected to the evolving air war. One of the ways the strategic air campaign achieved this was through the success of the campaign against German oil production which became a major factor by July 1944. In a September memorandum to Hitler, Speer described how these attacks on Germany's fuel reserves were making the German army immobile – even if he couched the warning in faux-optimistic language about offensives. "The basis for army movements at the Front is getting so slight that planned operations can no longer take place in October. In the present fuel situation, it is no longer possible to gain offensive successes, as the fuel quantities required for the supplies necessary for an offensive are no longer available."194 Speer's solution was to devote the entire Luftwaffe to protecting the German economy. Yet, by this time there were hardly any German fighters left over the battlefields.
It was decent at recon, The Soviets loved A-20s for recon.
The 110 was also fast bomber. Hang a pair of 250-500kg bombs underneath.
The Hungarians cheated, they added about a meter to the fuselage and increased moment arm got them the better stability. It wasn't that the Hungarians accepted a bad handling aircraft. The Luftwaffe could have had the better handling in late 1942. (Prototype flew in March 1942)
well, I have been saying that they didn't really upgrade the 111. The 111 falls in-between the Pegasus powered Wellingtons and the Hercules powered Wellingtons. The Wellington gained about 8,000lbs from the IC to the X and gained 675hp per engine. Whitley's were still in use (to make up numbers) in the early 1000 bomber raids in 1942 and for maritime use well into 1943. Again, for the Germans, we are comparing slightly different engines for the Ju-88 and the 111. The 111 got the F engines in 1941(?) and the Ju-88A-4s got the J engines with intercoolers. about 80-100hp different. The 111s got better engines later but 1944 was little late
We simply don't know what the 111 could have been because they didn't try, the new wonder bombers were going to be so much better when they showed up, in few months, in a fe more months, ok next year, maybe the year after, maybe.................................
Long range escort it wasn't. We are also comparing planes 2 1/2 years apart. Do 217s showed up in small numbers at the end of 1940(mostly recon). The Missile planes used longer wings (maybe they could have bee used earlier) but the BMW 801 powered planes did not gain that much power. The DB603 powered versions were faster.
However as a medium bomber in 1941 with a 5500lb internal load it might have made a difference while waiting for the He 177 to show up.
Get rid of the diving gear, lighten up the structure a bit. Design a manned turret that will hold two 13mm guns (what a shocker!), a plane that can deliver 5500lbs at 550 mile radius?
There was a Russian pilot they claimed photo graphed 20 major European cities using an A-20. The Russians got a batch of the early ones that the US didn't want because they had no self sealing tanks or armor. Pretty zippy though. They could put fuel/tanks in the bomb bay area for range.A-20 was very fast, but had (depending on the specific variant) either short, very short, or very, very short range.
Most of the German bombers have a rather exaggerated reputation for speed as most of them carried bombs on the outside. Going home things were betterFast, maybe? I'm not sure how fast it was carrying bombs. It wasn't as fast as a lot of bombers and other fighter-bombers. More importantly though it was much less accurate as a bomber than a Stuka or a Ju-88.
Part of the reason for the wing redesign was to handle the CG shift for the DB603 engines. Using 160kg heaver engines each (+cooling + props) tends to screw things up on twins with no nose.The Germans decided to redesign the wing (from a 12.6 degree taper to a much more conventional 5.5 degree taper on the Me 410.
The Luftwaffe needed to do more than wait around for the Western Allies to offer up an occasional convoy. For some reason they spent a lot of talk and money on "Ural" bombers and didn't bomb a lot the soviet industry that was still within reach? Or Bridges or?On paper it looks good, I agree. Faster with a heavier load than I suspect Me 110 with bombs under the wings. But they didn't seem to last long if Allied fighters were around.
Only the first 50 Baltimore I & 100 Baltimore II had hand held dorsal guns. The 250 Baltimore III received Boulton Paul Type A powered turret with 4x0.303". These all came from French / British direct purchase contracts. IIRC the Mk.III started to become available around the time of El Alamein. The remaining 1,175 starting with the IIIA were built under Lend Lease contracts and received the Martin turret with 2x0.5"I rate the Baltimore as an excellent light bomber, but they didn't do well with them until they managed to provide escort. Nice photo. That's the later run Baltimore, the early ones just had a free standing .30 cal. I think (?) the British requested the power turret.
Only the first 50 Baltimore I & 100 Baltimore II had hand held dorsal guns. The 250 Baltimore III received Boulton Paul Type A powered turret with 4x0.303". These all came from French / British direct purchase contracts. IIRC the Mk.III started to become available around the time of El Alamein. The remaining 1,175 starting with the IIIA were built under Lend Lease contracts and received the Martin turret with 2x0.5"