Colin1
Senior Master Sergeant
Agreed on all but one pointIF the P-51 was not created, the P-47 'N" model would have been needed and thus created sooner. The P-47 would still be the backbone of the 8th AF. Without the Mustang, the U.S. and Republic Aviation would have needed the longer-range Thunderbolt sooner.
The P-38 would also naturally get a bigger role, but I don't see anything changing as far as its development. About the time the Mustangs were coming in, the J and L model P-38s were starting to prove themselves, but were already on the way to being replaced.
with the P-51 not around to hog resources and Lockheed looking to keep pace with the latest Axis developments, who knows, the P-38K might have had her day.