The airplane that did the most to turn the tide of the war.

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The bomber's advocate would point out that that blockade was itself greatly aided by B-29 mining operations. I do agree with your point, and think the submarine's contribution to our victory is always overshadowed by the Bombs being dropped.
Agreed, but since this is an aviation focused site the discussion has centered on aircraft. Overall, the bombing survey presents a fairly comprehensive review of what factors contributed to the victory over Japan. If you haven't read it, here is a link to the summary report.


I also came across this recently which is informative and talks about the overall war and air war against Japan in the last few months of the war:

As well as a good overview of the proposed invasion:

The casualty projections associated with an invasion of Japan vary widely and seemed to be based on whether the source was inclined for the invasion to happen or not. The accepted most likely projection assumed that the casualty rate for Okinawa was an accurate prediction for the first 30 days of the Kyushu landings and would have resulted in around 300,000 US casualties during that time frame.
 

I don't think any aircraft could have changed the outcome for France. Their ultimate undoing was not an issue of material, but a complete reliance on archaic and outdated tactics, and poor strategic thinking. The Germans for the most part learned from 1914-1918, and the French continued to dwell in it.

French strategic leadership was abysmal, and their military intelligence was poor. Operationally and tactically they failed for these reasons. The German capitalized on it quickly.
 
I dont think there is a better example of a nation preparing to fight the last war not the next.
 
The bombing survey picked bombing as the most important factor. I'm shocked.
 
Imagine the Boeing 377 airliner with French roundels, bay windows across the lower deck & fixed landing gear - a definite winner!
What a way to travel.

 
What about the Bf 109. Until the arrival of the Fw 190 the Luftwaffe had just the Bf 109 to rely on over France, Britain, North Africa and the USSR.

There were three other aircraft competing against the Bf 109: Arado Ar 80 V3, Focke-Wulf Fw 159 V3 and the Heinkel He 112 V4. Only the last seems to have any chance against the latest Allied fighters of 1939-41.

Remove the Bf 109 and put the Arado Ar 80 in its place. How goes Germany's early war?
 
I dont think there is a better example of a nation preparing to fight the last war not the next.
Very True. The French Air Force fought the Battle of France like it did the Western Front during the Great War. Fighters roamed the skys looking for an opportunity. The French had nothing like the Integrated Weapon System of Fighter Command, with its Radar Network, Centralized Combat Information Center, and excellent communications.
 
Heinkel He 112 V4. Only the last seems to have any chance against the latest Allied fighters of 1939-41.
It would have a very rough time against the MS 406.
MS 406 is about 14% heavier but has about 23% more power.
Remove the Bf 109 and put the Arado Ar 80 in its place. How goes Germany's early war?


Germany went to war with very few Jumo powered Bf 109s in the front lines. Germany could have put DB 601s in the He 112 and the Arado Ar 80 but then we have two planes that are far removed from any specifications that we have access to.
 

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