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The P-38 groups that went operational in the spring of 1944 were not exclusively equipped with J-15 and newer Lightnings.
Didn't say that they were Exclusively operational. I cited the presences and the loss date to prove the existence of the P-38J and successive evolution in arrival into 8th and 9th AF fighter groups
IMHO, a P-38J-25/L flown by a well trained and experienced pilot would hold its own or more against most Luftwaffe piston-engined fighters. If those models had been available in late 43, early 44, they may have earned the P-38 a great reputation in the ETO. I do believe however, that by 1945, the Lightning had reached the end of its development potential, unlike the P-51D which morphed into the H, or the P-47D which could be developed into the M/N.
You could as easily say that there were no innovations of importance after the dive flap, intercooler, boosted ailerons and maneuver flap mods were introduced in the J-25 Production block - meaning early 1944 at Lockheed with deliveries to the ETO in February through August, 1944
Eagledad
The latest sentence is dead on.
For the Griffo, we need also to add a substantial amount of exhaust thrust at such high altitudes, maybe equivalent of 20% of engine power? That woul make it about 1700 hp for military power at 27-30 kft?
i Bill,
That's a lot of data that I'd LOVE to have access to. Your data on the P-38 in the ETO wouldn't happen to include the type missions they were assigned, would it?
I have the data but not in spreadsheet. The P-38 in 8th AF was tasked first to long range escort through its entire 8th AF career.
As I've often stated in here, the scrutiny applied to a select few, like Boyington, has not been applied to everyone. Until it is, I'll take the victories awarded in the war and not the revisionist numbers. I simply use different numbers.
Actually, the scrutiny by the USAF research team Was objective. The objective wasn't the record per se, but the larger question of "what does the distribution of air to air victory credits look like, what factors separated the individuals from those that did not achieve victory credits, and then in many cases "why him?" down to level of brothers, order of birth, sports achievements, etc" - The first step however, was to get the data 'Right' and high scoring aces scores were reduced when duplicate records were found.
As to you using 'different numbers' it has to be somewhat vexing when multiple researched and published data that agree each other, have conflicts with your stuff?
The numbers I have for the P-38 do not include aircraft attached to individual units and I'd love to have those data.
Greg - Frank Olynyk has that data. I do also for the ETO/MTO because I have the data for the transitions and the Encounter Reports for the early cross over periods for each group for MTO and ETO. I'm working PTO but my fallback of researching encounter reports is sketchy - while MACRs are pretty complete. I have taken the time to literally enter each line of data for USAF 85, then start the cross check process to ensure that the individual data is correct, then add the type fighter used, and where possible add the type aircraft destroyed.
From Francis Dean's "America's Hundred Thousand," I do have the numbers for USAAF aircraft in the ETO. Those numbers show the P-38 flying 60.7% of the sorties the P-51 flew while suffering 69.7% of the P-41's combat losses and dropping 355% of the bombs the P-51 did. That figure alone makes me wonder VERY hard about the missions assigned to the P-38 versus the P-51, and it points me to the supposition that the P-51 was selected for the missions that afforded higher opportunities for air combat, while bomb-laden P-38's were assigned what can only be support bombing duties with MUCH less chance of encountering a defender in the air that is searching for high-altitude strategic bombers.
I haven't corresponded with Dean on the subject of 'actual' sorties and hours. The Eighth AF records are the best of all the major WWII combat units - and constitute a major block of records for all the P-38, P-47, P-51 and P-61 sorties flown. There is no repository of such data AFAIK. Some individual record keeping at the Group level has surfaced (i.e for the 355th FG) but not anywhere close to uniform in either location or format or completeness. Short answer is that I don't yet believe any of the historical summaries or references in published books on aircraft that discuss "X" number of sorties, or "Y" hours, or "Z" credits for bombs dropped, etc. Some histories have it, others are silent.
I will say this. If you (or Dean) or any researcher makes a claim on sorties, early returns, or hours Without the Unit Tower Log AND Daily Engineering Reports - it is simply a number extracted from a dark place. An example - Kent Miller has done a magnificent job, similar to Freeman, in his two volume set on 8th AF Fighter Command. Yet he has a lot of errors on the 355th that only I can dispute simply because I have 30 years or research, hard research to match MACRs, available engineering logs, accident reports, 3000 plus a/c photos.It is like an archeological expedition. Now multiply that by 15 permanent fighter groups plus Scout Forces,
Summary - sortie and hour rollups are impossible IMO.
Summary - I posed Capacity based on Operational Potential of the P-38 vs P-51 FG's as Constituted, Not as Actually Flown. The records of dispatched vs effective are reasonably complete in some FG's (56th, 4th and 355th come to mind) but in many there is usually a lazy Intelligence officer that captured just enough to produce a flash mission report for Group HQ. You (or Dean) would have to go to an individual and detailed block of data like a well kept and complete Tower Log - Not the IO Mission Summary.
I think my supposition here is confirmed that the P-38's were supporting Army units. They would never replace strategic bombers and that leaves only ground support as the major mission.
Your supposition for even 9th AF, much less 8th would be wrong. The 8th and 9th both reported to Spaatz in December 1943. Spaatz placed 9th AF FC dotted line to 8th AF to augment bomber escort. All the P-47s, P-51s and P-38s performed Penetration, Withdrawal and Target Support escort roles through the end of May, 19444. The 9th then regained operational control to support the Tactical mission for the Invasion of France and beyond.
Simply there weren't enough long range escort fighters to support the 8th AF mission until fall of 1944 and some of the big LW days occurred in May, June, July when escort fighter coverage was too skimpy to cover all of the bombers to all of the targets.
So my opinion is they got what they assigned the two planes to do and both did OK. We don't KNOW how they would have dome if the missions were switched … they weren't switched, at least in the ETO.
Greg - more research, less speculation, is in order. Get the 20, 55, 364, 479FG histories and look at the tasked missions, get Kent Millers two volume set. Get the Mighty Eighth War Diary. Pull out The Mighty Eighth and re-read it.
The P-38 seems to have dome pretty well at what it was assigned and I see no evidence that would suggest to me that if the missions were swapped, we would have failed and lost the war.
Nobody claims that we would have 'lost the war' if the Mustang had not eventually replaced the P-38. What you can conclude is that a.) there would have been too few P-38 Groups to adequately prevent huge losses for the 8th AF EVEN if Doolittle had not tossed them in favor of the P-51, and b.) there would have been a very much stronger TO&E for LuftFlotte Reich when D-Day rolled around
To come to that conclusion, I'd want to see statistics for similar missions flown against similar defenders. I KNOW the P-51 was afforded missions with much higher probability of seeing enemy aircraft. Bombers draw enemy fighters and escorts will engage them. P-51's were primary escorts. Pretty easy there. Perhaps the planners did that on purpose because they though as you do. Could be.
No. There were more or as many operational P-38 FG's performing deep penetration bomber escort as P-51s from October, 1943 through February, 1944 and only one fewer through April, 1944, and as many through May, 1944 when all the 9th AF P-38 groups were performing escort.
The operational achievements for ALL the P-38s assigned to ALL 8th AF bomber missions through May 1944 was dismal with respect to engagements and victories against the LW when compared to a.) the shorter range P-47 and b.) the slightly longer range P-51. Remember the P-38 did perform primary target escort to Berlin as early as 3 March 1944, before the Mustang by one day. While some targets were beyond the P-38 range, they were Few.
The P-38 showed what it could do in the PTO and MTO and, if employed correctly, would have done just fine in my opinion in the ETO. It's not intended to try to convince you, Graugeist, or anyone else, it's MY opinion. The only data I have that shows late model P-38 employed in escort mission was in the PTO and MTO, so that's what I use for comparison.
But, by all means, if you have the data in the ETO about mission types, please post it. I have never seen it and would like to. I don't disbelieve you, but would like to have the sources!
See the above - all are publically available to those interested in digging out the facts. I would recommend Miller's two volume set as well as Freeman's War Diary
The P-38 in the ETO came in third in the ETO against all other USAAF types and that says it wasn't too bad. You guys can hate it and disrespect it all you want. It wasn't that bad in the final tally.
Greg - I Certainly do not hate the P-38, nor do I hold it in contempt or disrespect it. I do have an objective point of view relative to what I think - and vocalize what I say. Food for thought - look at the record of the 332nd FG in the MTO. Last to get Mustangs, did not come close to the records of other MTO Mustang FG's during the same period - but they outscored each of the remaining P-38 FG's (1st, 14th and 82nd) during that period. Those three P-38 FG's would have scored ahead of all 8th AF FG's except the 56/4 (82nd) and 352 (1st and 14th) but couldn't beat the low scoring 332nd from June, 1944 to EOW
I don't doubt your data. I might embrace it if had the sources. Cheers.
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IMHO, a P-38J-25/L flown by a well trained and experienced pilot would hold its own or more against most Luftwaffe piston-engined fighters. If those models had been available in late 43, early 44, they may have earned the P-38 a great reputation in the ETO. I do believe however, that by 1945, the Lightning had reached the end of its development potential, unlike the P-51D which morphed into the H, or the P-47D which could be developed into the M/N
Eagledad
Combination of twin engine operation and complicated control processes to move from cruise to combat state in short time.
Excellent assessment Bill but I have issues with this one. I think it's obvious that a twin is more complicated to operate than a single engine fighter - two of everything. If you look at the placement of some of the controls on the P-38 and compare them to other twins of the day (and those developed after the P-38 ) some are in the same location and worked the same way. I think with training, a competent pilot could handle the work load and configure his aircraft to be combat ready in a required amount of time to defend himself, but this will go back to the complexity argument of operating a twin (let alone the time and cost to train pilots to handle the complexity of a twin). I never read much about PTO P-38 drivers complaining about the time it took to go from cruise to combat state. I think Rau's letter addressing this situation was a bit exaggerated, but funny that he talks about a new pilot with only 25 hours in the P-38, where AFAIK PTO P-38 drivers had a hell of a lot more time in type before they were cut loose to fly combat.
After training I requested duty in the Pacific and I requested being posted to a P-40 squadron and both wishes were granted. This was early in 1943 and most pilots already desired more advanced types and some thought my decision a mistake. Yet I had been inspired by the deeds of the Flying Tigers. We had also heard accounts that the P-38 was difficult to bail out of because of its twin-boom tail and that it was difficult when flying with one engine. I also knew that P-38s were still rare in the theater and I wanted to get into the war as soon as possible. That wish, too, was granted. I never regretted the choice.
If you flew wisely, the P-40 was a very capable aircraft. In many conditions, it could outturn a P-38, a fact that some pilots didn't realize when they made the transition between the two aircraft. The P-40 kept me alive and allowed me to accomplish my mission. The real problem with it was lack of range. As we pushed the Japanese back, P-40 pilots were slowly left out of the war. So when I moved to P-38s, an excellent aircraft, I did so not because I believed that the P-40 was an inferior fighter, but because I knew the P-38 would allow us to reach the enemy. I was a fighter pilot and that was what I was supposed to do.
The P-38 was very unusual. Imagine what I felt when first climbing on board that airplane. Sitting on that tricycle landing gear, it was very high off the ground. There was a stepladder that dropped out of the tail end of the fuselage pod, and you took two steps up this ladder and the third step was onto the wing next to the canopy. ... It was a good sized airplane. In comparison the P-39 was a midget, almost like a toy.
It was very fast and had good firepower. That gave a lot of people false confidence when they first went to P-38s. Their limitations on tactics were the same as those we were accustomed to in the P-40s, but even more so. You did not go looking for a close-in dogfight with an Oscar or Zero. Japanese planes were quicker ... at slow speed. But new pilots did not always realize the consequences. If the speed bled off a P-38, which happened very easily, it could be in serious trouble against a Japanese fighter. Many of our men found out the hard way, particularly when we first started receiving the P-38s.
I am not sure about the that much exhaust thrust. for 10,000ft difference in altitude you loose about 20% in air density (roughly) so you have 20% less exhaust mass. That gets balanced somewhat by the higher exhaust velocity because of the lower air pressure at the exhaust nozzles.
For the Merlin XX exhaust thrust (power) never exceeded 11.5% of brake hp. A two stage engine will show a higher percentage because you have the weight of the exhaust used to drive the supercharger but that is not a constant either, the Merlin XX needed 225hp to drive the supercharger at 20,000ft to give 12lb of boost. At 30,000ft the supercharger could only deliver a bit over 2lbs of boost . Charge flow(weight of air+fuel) had dropped from 144lb/min to 107.2lb/min and supercharger power requirement had dropped to 167hp.
Now - change the wing to a 12% or less and a LOT of problems go away.
Or use a laminar flow profile.
Now that we are changing the wings, would there be an advantage to trimming the wing span?
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Totally flawed plane and you can't excuse Lockheed over this. Using the same data, at roughly the same time, Messerschmitt created the 109 with a 0.75-0.8 mach limit, Supermarine created the Spitfire with a 0.85 mach limit.
Lockheed were like Hawker, with the Hurricane having a 0.7'ish mach limit (and the Typhoon similar). Took them until the Tempest to get into the 0.8 region.
So, sadly Kelly Johnston (and Camm) cannot excuse their design mistakes, because others didn't.
Totally flawed plane and you can't excuse Lockheed over this. Using the same data, at roughly the same time, Messerschmitt created the 109 with a 0.75-0.8 mach limit, Supermarine created the Spitfire with a 0.85 mach limit.
What data are you referring to? Although the Existence of Shock wave phenomena were known, first discovered by Ernst Mach, the application of low speed wind tunnel data to theoretical analysis did not extend to high speed compressibility predictions - and there was no way to model the airfoil at the subsonic/supercritical region analytically at that time.
The Ames 16 foot supersonic wind tunnel was built in 1941 and had the capability of driving velocities up to 680mph.. it COULD have been useful had it been built and open for business four years earlier - but not useful prior to preliminary design of the P-38 and selection of the airfoil based on known theory and experimental data below Mcr for that airfoil. There were no public papers on the subject AFAIK until 1944 - at least not in the US
Having said that, it took until 1945-1946 to solve the issue of transonic shock waves bouncing off the walls and playing havoc with the instrumentation for both the 8 foot and 16 foot Transonic tunnel.
Lockheed were like Hawker, with the Hurricane having a 0.7'ish mach limit (and the Typhoon similar). Took them until the Tempest to get into the 0.8 region.
So, sadly Kelly Johnston (and Camm) cannot excuse their design mistakes, because others didn't.
Pretty good response, Bill, and I bow to your research on the data. I have never had access to it and still don't. Good stuff.
What I CAN say is the P-38 has little trouble staying with the stock P-51 when flown as they are today. The guys I know who fly it are all amazed by the P-38. None have ever been attacked by anybody while doing it. No doubt they aren't using full power or, especially, WER. These are privately-owned aircraft, even ours (owned by the museum).
There was no problem with acceleration or airspeed comparisons between the two until the drag rise tipped the favor in the 51's favor.
So, modern operational data collides with your war information. Plus, it WAS the mount of the two highest-scoring aces for the U.S.A.
Re-read the comments from the 1944 Fighter Conference at Patuxent River to work with 30 experienced fighter pilots and test pilots flying at war time conditions.. Then ask yourself 'who is pushing the airplane and who is babying it? Wartime or peacetime investors? Then ask yourself why the Bearcat, Corsair, Mustang and Thunderbolt always ranked ahead of the P-38 in every category except Fighter Bomber?
My 'information is revealing to the extent of combat operations comparisons between two types of fighters, fighting the same enemy on the same mission types.
I hope to GET some of your sources (Thanks for the thread on sources) but feel that verbal recollections from real WWII pilots trump modern revisionist books EVEY time.
Of the sources I posted, which do you consider 'revisionist"?
The pedestrian P-40 "woke up" when flown at 75" of MAP according to guys who DID it and that set of operations was responsible for a significant portion of the P-40's success. And that difference made the P-40 formidable when flown at WER power. I'm sure the P-38 guys had a similar experience as they have described it almost the same way on numerous occasions in live talks at the museum. Overboosting was common under certain circmstances, such as when you are about to die if you don't overboost.
Meanwhile, my opinions are in flux with your data shown ... and I can't verify them all at once ... so I'll refrain at this time.
I'm still a huge P-38 fan, but understand the data you posted. It speaks to me of ETO tactics versus PTO/MTO tactics. The latter were VERY effective. The former much less so, at least with the P-38. My jury is still deliberating ... but your data, if true, is somewhat telling.
Maybe you can tell me how the 60% of P-38's versus P-51's dropped 355% of the bomb tonnage if they were not on gound support missions?
Once Kelly figured out the problem in 1942 he proposed the solution, but the War Production Board said 'no'.