Wild_Bill_Kelso
Senior Master Sergeant
- 3,231
- Mar 18, 2022
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As good as Rommel was, even he can't be on two places simultaneously.
Would require hand-waving a lot of things in order to make this happen, like a big fleet of fuel trucks that are stocked up to the brim with gasoline and/or diesel so they can do several trips with crude between the oil fields and someplace in Egypt. Again, requires that Allies have just left everything intact (lumps, lines, towers etc.) and that no attacks are made against the trucks convoys.
Knock-on effects for the Eastern front due to Germany sending stuff earmarked for Easter Front to the N.A. for the best part of 1942?
Capable escort fighters were needed as far back as 1940. Same for fast bombers.
Knock-on effects of having more fuel? Admittedly 1942 is a bad time to send troops to North Africa and by the end of 1942 it's almost certainly not going to happen.
True but was he the only effective field commander in the Afrika Korps?
I'm not sure why so much would have to be sent if Rommel has more uneven victoriesArmies in the East will have less ful in 1942, since we've just shipped a lot to the N.A.
He was one of the best ones, especially if he has war material required (we've just handwaved it to him), can read Allied mail, or the enemy is still 'green'.
Not really, The Germans can't afford large numbers of twin engined aircraft. Yes they made a bunch but you need to stop with with some of them to make the P-38 copy.or a better Bf 110 (equivalent of a P-38) could have also been very helpful in the mid-war.
The clock was ticking on all combat aircraft designs, all the time. The Spitfire was probably a half-generation ahead of the Hurricane, less in its aerodynamics than its structural technology. It was also contemporary with the Bf109, which remained in production throughout the war.It would seem to me, that as time wore on and war broke out, keeping the Hurricane in production after the Spitfire and other fighter were introduced, was stop-gap in itself.
It being a mid-30's design (and introduced in 1937) meant the clock was ticking.
Kinda what stops the Fw 187 dead in it's tracks, too.Not really, The Germans can't afford large numbers of twin engined aircraft. Yes they made a bunch but you need to stop with with some of them to make the P-38 copy.
The Germans needed something like the Italian "5" series coming on line in 1942, not thinking about them in mid 1943. The P-51 hadn't shown up in Mid 1943 but it was pouring out of the factory/s in mid 1943 (or waiting for engines) but you can't wait for the P-51 to show up to react to it. You have to be ahead of the Curve and not behind it.
The 109 was behind the curve in 1942 and it never really caught up. Sricking an 1800hp engine in it in late 1944 just means it endurance/range turns even worse if you try to use the power. Better hope you are pointing at the airfield when the engine is pushed to 1800hp.
Indeed, the German bombers' saga was a sorry one past 1940.The Germans held on to many of their early bombers for too long without improvements (or big improvements) while waiting for the Wunder planes that never showed up.
I have pointed out before that the Do 217 wasn't much different than a B-25, it traded lack of guns for some speed but it didn't have enough speed for it to work. And the few guns didn't work either. Anybody want to think about the B-25 as the best American bomber in Europe in WW II?
The Do-217 didn't get speed until it got DB 603 engines.
The DO 217E wasn't much (if as fast) as stripped B-25s and B-26s.
One might want to note that Algeria was also taken by the British First Army.I'm not sure Torch is automatically successful, at least not the second part. Yes the Americans take Algeria from the Vichy but getting to Tunisia is going to be trickier if Malta had fallen and the British had pulled back to the other side of the Suez. US Army was badly rattled at Kasserine Pass. Without British support, maybe they suffer a much worse defeat / collapse there.
If they had won the war in North Africa, which was within reach at one point, they could have pulled in more oil. This would have been much easier if they had faster transport aircraft.
Not really, The Germans can't afford large numbers of twin engined aircraft. Yes they made a bunch but you need to stop with with some of them to make the P-38 copy.
Make escort but now can't build bombers?
The Germans needed something like the Italian "5" series coming on line in 1942, not thinking about them in mid 1943. The P-51 hadn't shown up in Mid 1943 but it was pouring out of the factory/s in mid 1943 (or waiting for engines) but you can't wait for the P-51 to show up to react to it. You have to be ahead of the Curve and not behind it.
The 109 was behind the curve in 1942 and it never really caught up. Sricking an 1800hp engine in it in late 1944 just means it endurance/range turns even worse if you try to use the power. Better hope you are pointing at the airfield when the engine is pushed to 1800hp.
The Germans held on to many of their early bombers for too long without improvements (or big improvements) while waiting for the Wunder planes that never showed up.
I have pointed out before that the Do 217 wasn't much different than a B-25, it traded lack of guns for some speed but it didn't have enough speed for it to work. And the few guns didn't work either. Anybody want to think about the B-25 as the best American bomber in Europe in WW II?
The Do-217 didn't get speed until it got DB 603 engines.
The DO 217E wasn't much (if as fast) as stripped B-25s and B-26s.
There were no meaningful oil fields in in Saudi Arabia in 1942. The first discoveries were only made in 1938 along the Persian Gulf Coast, and it was later in WW2 before US companies got it flowing. There were some oil reserves being exploited in Egypt on the western side of the Red Sea (c5 million barrels per year), but these were minor compared to what lay further east.Let's say that Op Pedestal is a total disaster, and that British/CW retreat from Malta. That does not automatically that Rommel at El Allamein can double his number of tanks, men and aircraft. Fuel, food, water and ammo required - again, I doubt.
But, let's say that Rommel wins here, with considerable losses to both sides. British/CW retreat to Alexandria and fortify it as-hoc. Axis is stocked up beyond belief again, make siege of Alexandria, that lasts for another month, Alexandria falls in October of 1942. British/CW retreats behind Suez Canal.
Operation Torch starts as per schedual, Axis forces are another 500 miles from Saudi oil fields. They make another daring dash, defeat Allies, run with their halftracks to the 1st oil field and capture it. IOW, Rommel rolls sixes after sixes. In the meantime, Tunisia is captured by Allies.
What can Rommel do with crude oil now?
Even had they gotten to the Syrian or Iraqi oil fields, which is doubtful, they're still going to have the issue of getting that fuel back to Europe safely. How many tanker-bottoms did they have, and how to guard them against the RN in the Med? The Axis will have to seize Malta ... but that didn't seem like a fun idea after Crete.
Just the fuel required to get DAK and Italians to, say, Damascus is going to be one hell of a strain, if not outright impossible, unless Malta is seized and the Allies are defeated at Cairo, and Palestine, and Syria. That's a lot of ammo that'll be needing shipping, as well as replacement men and equipment, too. And we've seen how slender were the Axis logistics at the end of the road in El Alamein.
Bear in mind that the Libyan oil reserves weren't available in the early 40s, so there's no nearby oil, and you'll need to send many divisions to both defeat the Allied armies, and defend the supply line of the Axis armies, for over 2300 km from, say, Benghazi to Damascus. UK still has a naval force at Gibraltar to both contest Malta and interdict oil coming into Italy from that North African ports, and land forces in Iraq to present a threat to Syria or the northern Iraq oil fields.
I don't think the Axis can surmount these difficulties.
Malta is a lot smaller than Crete. The Allied occupation of Malta was contributing heavily to the loss of Axis shipping which had reached 35% by mid 1942.
Again, the Germans were losing a lot of fuel in sunk ships in the Med, so capturing Malta would have cut down on those losses significantly and presumably that much more fuel would be available to Rommel. At Second El Alamein in Oct 1942 the Axis managed to field 547 tanks, 192 armored cars, 800 aircraft, 500 artillery guns and 500 AT guns so they weren't quite so crippled. If they had taken the thorn of Malta from their side presumably they would have more. If they had the tactical bombing advantage we were previously discussing it's quite possible they would have won another lopsided victory like so many of their previous ones.
That's possible but British naval fleets proved to be pretty vulnerable to air attack as they approached Sicily or Malta as we know. I'm sure getting the oil back would have been quite challenging but if there was a real possibility to get it, I suspect they would do so. The British could destroy the equipment at the oil fields too and probably would have if they thought the Axis were going to take them, but then they are going to be losing a chunk of their petrol supplies.
Probably not, but who knows? We are well into the land of speculation here. I'm just saying it wasn't impossible. It was probably their best option. But it was out of reach due to limitations of their aircraft, IMO.
Over, 1,400 Me262s were manufactured but less than a quarter of that number made it into combat.Maybe instead of 30,000 BF 109s you make 15,000 plus 2,000 Me 262s. Or something.
Engine supply was not conductive for making more 262s, either.Over, 1,400 Me262s were manufactured but less than a quarter of that number made it into combat.
This was due to lack of fuel, spare parts and the logistics of safely transporting them from the factory to the front.
There was also the issue of pilots. They were in such short supply, they even had pilots with the rank of Gefreiter flying them.
A Gefreiter is basically a Corporal.
Right, but the Fallschirmjager had already taken heavy losses in Crete, leading Hitler to oppose future airborne ops, and Axis sealift capacity -- and experience in amphibious assaults -- was dubious. An opposed landing on an RN base featuring rough terrain that favors the defender is going to get ugly fast, especially when, unlike Crete, cutting off Allied supplies will be harder (Fliegerkorps X and RA can support the landings, or attack Allied logistics, but can they do both?)
I'm not sure how much more fuel would have been available, but I do know that at second El Alamein, a large number of the Axis vehicles were captured by dint of being abandoned once they ran out of fuel. The Axis would have to have taken Malta ... and then even after that, fueled many divisions to drive on Syria before they would see any return on investment. With the war in Russia at full spate, not likely, in my estimation. And -- the divisions to drive on Damascus, and guard the supply line to and fro', have to come from somewhere. Russia? Nyet. The Balkans, perhaps, but those are largely police divisions by 2nd El Alamein, of questionable combat effectiveness, and pulling them out invites headaches there anyway.
Very true. Don't foget RN subs, though I'm unsure if they could range patrols from the Rock to the eastern Med where they would be needed. Even so, given the paucity of tankers possessed by the Axis, it wouldn't seem to take many subs to do decent interdiction, if they indeed have the range to do so.
It was out of reach due to their inability to project power that far, imo. Keeping, say, ten or twelve divisions secure as they drive 2300 km (comparison: Berlin to Moscow, 1800 km) when those divisions need an estimated 300 tons per day of supplies is a huge ask for a Germany fighting and dying in Russia. You've got to hold Malta. You've got to hold Tripoli. You've got to hold Benghazi, Tobruk, Cairo, Jerusalem, and Beirut. You've got to supply those forces doing the holding.
And then you have to make sure your spearhead is armed, supplied, and in good working order after a 1500-mile drive across what is largely desert. Hope you brought a lot of spare treads, ball-bearings, and POLs ... and recovery vehicles.
Over, 1,400 Me262s were manufactured but less than a quarter of that number made it into combat.
This was due to lack of fuel, spare parts and the logistics of safely transporting them from the factory to the front.
There was also the issue of pilots. They were in such short supply, they even had pilots with the rank of Gefreiter flying them.
A Gefreiter is basically a Corporal.
Well maybe you are right, but seizing the Suez canal was certainly within reach if you got Malta, and if they had done that you could cause major problems for the British. That alone should have helped somewhat.