The 1940 limit on Fighter Command operations was pilots, this meant minimising flying time and not fighting over the sea or enemy territory, where more pilots would be lost, even with orders enough RAF fighters chased returning Luftwaffe aircraft far enough to justify the Luftwaffe allocating fighters to withdrawal cover. A design with a pressure cabin would have been quite useful in reducing the stress of repeated rapid transitions from sea level to 20 to 25,000 feet. Even better would be accurate information on Luftwaffe intentions, those bombers forming up over France could be a spoof, or at least had the fuel to circle for a while before setting course for Britain, or could turn back mid channel. For most of the battle the Luftwaffe tried multiple raids on multiple targets, the turn to London simplified the defence problems, bigger formations inbound, probably a single target.
As the battle went on the heights tended to go up, getting to 20,000 feet was one thing, getting another 5,000 feet to give a height advantage was another. The RAF command and control was very fast by 1940 standards, it still took minutes between deciding to intercept and orders for the fighters to scramble, become airborne and begin to climb in formation, which reduced overall rate of climb.
Spitfire III ideas dated from early 1939, first prototype N3297, engine promised for end September 1939 but whether the engines would be available for production was another matter. Four different propeller designs considered, first flight 15 March 1940. Order placed for 1,000 on 24 October 1940. The bombing of Supermarine destroyed the first set of strengthened wings and most production drawings. Despite the new radiator a bigger one was needed during cruise. Apart from the extra landing run maneuverability over 20,000 feet suffered despite the extra engine power. The prototype was seconded to Merlin 60 series development. Second prototype W3237 meant to be a mark V, flew in June 1941.
The ETO was phasing out the P-38 in 1945, as of end 1944 the USAAF was anticipating January 1945 to June 1946, another 5,000 P-38, nearly 7,000 more P-47 and around 10,500 P-51, end March 1945 it was 4,000 P-38, 9,000 P-47, 10,500 P-51, end April 1,000 P-38, 7,300 P-47N, under 8,000 P-51, the P-38 to finish in late 1945, the P-47 and P-51 end 1946.
USAAF inventory end 1944 2,759 P-38, 5,100 P-47, 3,914 P-51, end 1945 1,235 P-38, 4,322 P-47, 4,616 P-51, end 1946 113 P-38, 3,001 P-47, 3,303 P-51, end 1947 1 P-38, 1,827 P-47, 2,154 P-51.
In 1945 the F6F was in theory giving way to the F8F, Grumman built 605 F6F in March 1945, down to 314 in July, there were 530 Corsairs built in March 1945, down to 483 in July. When it comes to the navy, operating jets off carriers was a problem given their initial accelerations, the USN received the first of 60 FH-1/FD-1 in December 1946, the first of 30 FJ-1 in October 1947 and the first F9F in December 1948, while the USA(A)F had the P-80 in series production in 1945, the P/F-84B from June 1947 and the P/F-86A from April 1948.
Post war the P-80 unit costs were over $100,000 each, the F-84 over $200,000 and the first few F-86 over $400,000, the B-45 and B-50 over $1,000,000.
The US considered itself short of 100 octane for most of the war, resulting in training operations using lower octane fuels despite the engines being rated for 100 octane. The loss of tankers in 1942 hurt a lot. When it came to bulk fuel stocks it was a steady juggle between tanker allocations and consumption. Tankers could be "black oil" or "white oil" and changing between the cargo types required an extensive tank cleaning. So it was quite possible for an excess of white products like avgas to build up while stocks of naval oil fuel went down. Fuel consumption in the UK was generally below forecasts enabling stocks to be built up even as the average weekly imports fell from around 364,000 tons/week in mid 1943 to 250,000 tons/week in the first two months of 1944. The trouble was tankers being in such short supply once they were allocated to another run it was very hard to get them back, and consumption rose significantly in early 1944. In the period March to May 1944 weekly imports climbed to 402,000 tons but bunker fuel levels were still below the October 1943 level and stocks of "white" products, like avgas and MT80 continued to fall. For the first time in the war avgas consumption exceeded the forecast. The "white" fuel stocks were still below planned levels on D-Day, the result was a major increase in shipments in the middle of the year, putting stocks well above the agreed levels, some tankers were then withdrawn and the feast/famine cycle began again. UK oil imports in 1938 had been an average of 223,000 tons per week.
From the Lloyd's Register of Shipping 1939 that I posted previously the biggest merchant fleets by GRT are:
Grand Total is 68,509,432 GRT
The tricky part is to determine how much of the invaded countries tonnage escaped to join the Allies.
I should also note that only replacing the pre war fleet losses is a red herring. This assumes that the pre war fleet was adequate to meet the war time demands. This is clearly not the case with the vast number of war materials being shipped all over the world. Also note the convoy system, while necessary, produced inefficiency in utilization of ships. Shiiping was a problem well into 1944.
As far as I know Lloyds includes the fishing fleets and coasters, which pushes the overall tonnages up, when you go to ships of 1,600 GRT or more Norway drops 600,000, Holland 300,000, Britain 3,500,000 GRT compared to Lloyds. Overall 56,803,000 GRT of ocean going ships versus Lloyds 68,500,000 GRT of shipping. When it comes to what happened in 1940 most of the fleets of the countries attacked by Germany joined the allied cause, more than offsetting allied ships now captured or trapped in Sweden, an exception was Denmark where German threats to the families of the crews resulted in many ships returning or being laid up in neutral ports, the latter a fate a lot of Italian ships suffered, most of these succumbed to US pressure later and joined the allied fleet, on the other hand a number of ships chartered by Japan failed to be returned before December 1941, while the French fleet largely stayed loyal to Vichy. Panama had 700,000 GRT of ocean going ships but generally the minor neutrals tried to stay out of the conflict zones. Apart from the inefficiencies of convoys a lot more "trade" was one way, further reducing shipping efficiency. Add the closure of the Suez canal and, for example, lots of pre war British trade was to Europe, for items that now had to come from much further away or do without.
While there were some wobbles by end 1944 the allies assumed by end 1945 Germany would have been totally defeated and Japan, if still fighting, would have lost most possessions outside Japan and North Asia.