At 0430 the KB was ~215nm from TF16/17, and USN intel gave Fletcher a very good idea of where to expect the KB. With ASV recon he can close earlier.hopefully.
They take off early, cruising at 90 knots
View attachment 717496
What bearing? Radar gives around 60 miles notice, best case
Would VT8 still be bait to occupy the fighters to let the Divebombers thru? as it was for SBDs, 18 were lost from Fighters and Flak, around 40%
Could Swordfish do as well?
At full load of ordnance, you have 550 miles of range, but slower cruise than TBDs and SBDs
If the Swordfish (better still Albacores) recon locates the KB and then a night strike is sent in, the SBDs will know where to find the KB at dawn and all the SBDs can be sent in, in a single wave, with all the historical F4F escort with them. The KB would be obliterated in a single strike, regardless of the success or not, of the Swordfish strike.
If the ASV recon doesn't find the IJN then the more versatile strike options for the Swordfish would give them at least as good a chance, and probably better, of being as effective as the historical TBDs and probably equally successful as a distraction, although it's debatable whether that had much bearing on the success of the historical SBD strikes.
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