"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (7 Viewers)

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GTX said:
www.abc.net.au

Could Putin face another mutiny from his mercenaries? Wagner was just one of the pay-to-kill groups fighting for Russia

Vladimir Putin's darkest battles are being carried out by a number of private armies run by Russia's elite, but after an attempted uprising, the Russian president is facing the reality they could turn on him.
www.abc.net.au www.abc.net.au
Click to expand...
Can we get together and finance our own AVG? There's folks out there what already got F-16s. We'd also need a mercenary SeaBee brigade to surreptitiously transform some innocuous roads into airstrips.
 
Escuadrilla Azul said:
Leopard 2 with Kontakt ERA:

www.thedrive.com

Ukrainian Leopard 2 Tank Seen Covered In Explosive Reactive Armor

Seeing explosive reactive armor that traces its roots to the Soviet era on a Leopard 2 main battle tank is certainly different.
www.thedrive.com www.thedrive.com
Click to expand...
This was first reported/seen a few months back:

bulgarianmilitary.com

Confirmed: German Leopards in Ukraine with integrated Soviet armor

Photo of a Ukrainian Leopard 2A4 tank with Kontakt-1 explosive reactive armor mounted has appeared. This Soviet-era dynamic armor was developed in the mid-1980s
bulgarianmilitary.com bulgarianmilitary.com

There's also a Non-Russian equivalent (though not in service in Ukraine):

bulgarianmilitary.com

Here are the first-ever Leopard 2A4 tanks with a factory-fitted ERA

The German Leopard 2A4 tank finally got a full-time set of ERA This happened in Greece. The Greek Army remains one of the largest operators of Leopard 2A4 tanks
bulgarianmilitary.com bulgarianmilitary.com
 
GTX said:
The risk will be if the countries that have supported Ukraine during the war vanish once the war is won but the post war rebuild is still required. This is still quite a risk IMHO and one that I wouldn't be surprised to see China aim to stop in to fill the gap and thus gain further influence. Hence a reason to keep the support going post war.
Click to expand...
No, as we have already seen, several EU based manufacturers are already teaming up with Ukraine.

Rebuilding Ukraine's infrastructure will be a joint effort via the EU, UK and U.S. - bridges, buildings, dams, power grid, roads and so on are going to be a priority.
This means companies will be on the list to bid for contracts and again, what has China offered Ukraine that the above mentioned has not?

The short answer is absolutely zero.

We can see clearly that Ukraine is not stupid, they know who their friends and allies are. This would hold true in war as in peace and I can be fairly sure that when this war is over and China approaches Ukraine with all sorts of deals and concessions, their answer will be the same as Ukraine gave Russia in the opening days of the war:
"Chinese ship, go f**k yourself"
 
RogerdeLluria said:
This are Ukranian claims, so probably real numbers are less, but probably the proportions hold. We already discussed some time ago about the specific targeting of Russian artillery, but it seems that since the start of offensive action the destruction of Russian artillery has intensified. Most probably they are forced to reveal position while trying to stop Ukranian advances.
This are today's numbers reporting yesterday actions.

+530 men
+1 tank
+5 APVs
+35 (!) artillery pieces <======👍
+2 MLRS
+26 UAVs
Click to expand...
Today's claims (looks like there was plenty of activity yesterday)
+790 men
+10 tanks
+20 APVs
+26 artillery systems <====== 👍
+5 MLRS
+1 AD system
+12 UAVs

An example:

View: https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1675380574666514433
 
A bunch of news and vids here.

- Russian AD trying and failing to down a Storm Shadow.

- Ukrainian gains in Bakhmut.

- A T-90 and a BTR blown up.

- Zelensky sharing a coffee with soldiers (can you think of Putin doing the same?)

- Ukrainian armored recovery vehicles retrieving damaged Bradleys

- Leo 2 in action

- Igor Girkin aka Strelkov saying "Putin demonstrates his total powerlessness"

- Some other things.

www.thedrive.com

Ukraine Situation Report: Russian SAMs Can't Stop This Storm Shadow

Russian air defenses are having a tough time dealing with Storm Shadow cruise missiles, even at close range.
www.thedrive.com www.thedrive.com
 
Denniss said:
please add a short summary for us poor souls without a Twitter account as we are currently unable to access anything there.
Click to expand...
Some Ukraine commentators are migrating out of Twitter to other platforms. I just found these two that I followed on Twitter.

mstdn.social

OSINTtechnical (@[email protected])

40 Posts, 158 Following, 20.6K Followers · Open Source Intelligence Specialist with CNA. Standard spiel about not endorsing retweets, my views/freezing cold takes are my own.
mstdn.social mstdn.social
newsie.social

Tendar (@[email protected])

1.33K Posts, 13 Following, 10.6K Followers · Tyrants are my enemies | Si vis pacem para bellum |🇩🇪| Das Böse triumphiert allein dadurch, dass gute Menschen nichts unternehmen | Reporting on Ukraine, Syria and the Balkans. | I don't grow up, I just grow old.
newsie.social newsie.social

If folks here find others, please let us know.
 
Russian officials and sources celebrated claims that Russian forces defeated small-scale Ukrainian landings in east (left) bank Kherson Oblast on July 1 as if they had won a major victory. Kherson Oblast Occupation Head Vladimir Saldo claimed that servicemen of the Russian "Dnepr" Group of Forces cleared areas near the Antonivsky Bridge on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River after special forces elements conducted a surprise landing on Ukrainian forces' rear positions overnight.[11] Saldo claimed that elements of a "Storm" detachment, the 61st Naval Infantry Brigade (Northern Fleet), the 126th Coastal Defense Brigade (22nd Army Corps, Black Sea Fleet), the 127th Reserve Brigade (likely a new reserve unit), and the 205th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade (49th Combined Arms Army, Southern Military District [SMD]) participated in the operation that decisively repelled Ukrainian forces from their position near Antonivsky Bridge. Saldo also claimed that Ukrainian forces no longer have any "bridgeheads" on the eastern bank, and a Kremlin-affiliated milblogger claimed that Russian forces were able to advance to the dacha areas near the Antonivsky Bridge after launching an Iskander ballistic missile at the bridge on June 30.[12] A Crimean-based Russian blogger also claimed that elements of the 7th Guards Mountain Air Assault (VDV) Division using T-72 tanks also participated in an attack against Ukrainian positions near the Antonivsky Bridge.[13] The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian forces eliminated a Ukrainian sabotage group that attempted to land on the island north of Oleshky (9km southeast of Kherson City) - likely referring to the Antonivsky Bridge area.[14] The Russian MoD also demonstratively awarded servicemen of the 80th Arctic Motorized Rifle Brigade (14th Army Corps, Northern Fleet) - a unit within the Russian "Dnepr" Group of Forces - for destroying Ukrainian military equipment in Kherson Oblast.[15] The Russian MoD also published an interview with the commander of the 80th Arctic Motorized Rifle Brigade who claimed that Russian forces fully restored their positions along the coast of the Dnipro River and along the islands and repelled all Ukrainian attempts to cross the river.[16] Russian sources notably did not provide any evidence that Russian forces regained control over coastal areas and many Russian sources reported that clearing operations near the dacha areas adjacent to the Antonivsky Bridge are still ongoing as of July 1.[17]

Institute for the Study of War

This page collects ISW and CTP's updates on the conflict in Ukraine. In late February 2022, ISW began publishing daily synthetic products covering key events related to renewed Russian aggression against Ukraine.
www.understandingwar.org www.understandingwar.org
 
They claimed a lot on the past and approximately 95% (if not more) of those claims were bogus.
Plus Ukraine stationed lots of Artillery in the region and extensively mined the roads towards the bridge. Not even talking about the hordes of drones operating over land an water that would have spotted enemies from a long distance
 
Even if (and its a big IF) the Russian version is the truth. It took :-

a) Four brigades
b) plus Armoured units of another unit
c) plus at least one Ballistic Missile
d) plus elements of the 80th Arctic Motorized Rifle Brigade

To push back a small incursion, which isn't something to brag about. If they had stopped the incursion, then fair do's to the bragging rights.

But to basically admit that as a spoiling incursion designed to keep forces in the south, then it probably did what it was supposed to do, tie down a lot of the better Russian forces. Is to admit that Russia is dancing to Ukraine's tune, and that isn't good for Russia.

Finally, that's IF the Russian story is correct which I can take it we all have more than a little doubt about
 
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