"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (7 Viewers)

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Glider said:
I agree with almost everything that you say. The only part where I slightly differ, is the last short sentence 'And they are all working together'.

I know its a slightly different take but I would suggest 'They are all taking advantage of each other' By this I mean for example. China was pretty stand offish, until Russia saw an opportunity when Ukraine were going to be short of ammunition and equipment. Then Russia threw everything they had at Ukraine and China saw the Russia had a chance of making significant advances. Only then did China give Russia almost they wanted, but its costing Russia in low oil prices and a certain amount of control on what they can do on the field of battle. China needs the West for its economy which isn't doing well at the moment and would not respond well if Russia was to do something stupid against a western NATO country. Its worth noting that some Chinese Banks under the threat of sanctions are stopping any transactions with Russia. If the Chinese Government were confident enough, I am sure they could lean on the Chinese Banks to resume transactions with Russia, but they haven't.
Korea suddenly were needed by Russia (and how they must have enjoyed that) and is supplying ammunition in vast quantities, but its costing Russia a pretty penny in reduced oil and technical help with the Korean Missile programme. No one, even Russia and China really wants a capable N Korean nuclear missile programme. I think I am right in saying that the last time the N Korean saw any serious combat, it was against China and they did pretty well.
India is taking advantage of the low oil costs, but is also trying to turn away from Russian weapons. Pakistan is close to China and has Chinese aircraft in its Air Force and these are at least as good and most of the Russian aircaft in the Indian airforce.

All the Nations you list and no doubt others, are waiting for the USA elections. God only knows what might happen but the only thing I am sure of is that whoever wins, those countries will be waiting to make the most of it.
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Great post, Glider. "There is no honor amongst thieves."

It follows that a key to the West weathering this storm is cohesion, which is what makes our upcoming election so fraught, with one candidate pro-NATO and one threatening to pull out.

That's the only thing I have to say about our politics.
 
SaparotRob said:

View: https://youtu.be/1HGAZCa_0fU

I don't know much about the Mirage, other than it being a beautiful plane. I have no idea how similar the F-16s the various nations gave to Ukraine are to each other, let alone how they would compare (compliment?) with the Mirage-2000-5. This caught my eye. I subscribe to this channel as he covers areas of SE Asia that seem overlooked.
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Ed made a good point about the french 180° turn regarding Ukrainia as part of a vendetta by Macron against russian medling in former french western and central África.
 

The White House said Friday that Russia's offensive in Ukraine's northeastern Kharkiv region has stalled and is unlikely to advance any further.

John Kirby, the White House national security spokesperson, said the arrival of U.S. weapons has helped change the trajectory of the battle around Kharkiv, which Russian forces mounted a major attack on around the middle of May.

"They have been able to thwart Russian advances, particularly around Kharkiv," Kirby said. "The Russians really have kind of stalled out up there [and] … their advance on Kharkiv is all but over because they ran into the first line of defenses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and basically stopped, if not pulled back, some units."

He added that Ukraine was still under pressure, and they were not taking anything for granted, but it "appears that they've stalled out," noting that this assessment was shared between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and President Biden when the two met Friday in France to mark the 80th anniversary of D-Day.

 
Thumpalumpacus said:
The White House said Friday that Russia's offensive in Ukraine's northeastern Kharkiv region has stalled and is unlikely to advance any further.

John Kirby, the White House national security spokesperson, said the arrival of U.S. weapons has helped change the trajectory of the battle around Kharkiv, which Russian forces mounted a major attack on around the middle of May.

"They have been able to thwart Russian advances, particularly around Kharkiv," Kirby said. "The Russians really have kind of stalled out up there [and] … their advance on Kharkiv is all but over because they ran into the first line of defenses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and basically stopped, if not pulled back, some units."

He added that Ukraine was still under pressure, and they were not taking anything for granted, but it "appears that they've stalled out," noting that this assessment was shared between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and President Biden when the two met Friday in France to mark the 80th anniversary of D-Day.

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Personally I think that this is really good news and says a lot iro the Ukraine forces. There was a serious and real risk that Russia could have broken through and gained momentum. If this had happened we all know that forces with momentum are hard to stop. This would have done wonders for their morale and the opposite for Ukraine.
To be able to hold the line in such situations is very impressive.
 
Glider said:
Personally I think that this is really good news and says a lot iro the Ukraine forces. There was a serious and real risk that Russia could have broken through and gained momentum. If this had happened we all know that forces with momentum are hard to stop. This would have done wonders for their morale and the opposite for Ukraine.
To be able to hold the line in such situations is very impressive.
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Absolutely, great news, but after the first two weeks of the war the stalwart defense of Ukraine doesn't surprise me.
 
Thumpalumpacus said:
Absolutely, great news, but after the first two weeks of the war the stalwart defense of Ukraine doesn't surprise me.
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I would have some reservations. Personally i would like a source not connected to a party on either side. Bagdad Bob ...
However i do think as an armchair general the influx of i.g. arti shells would make a dent. Certainly with info the ukr gets from his allies combined with more potent defensive stuff it can stop the advance.
I do not underestimate the russkis from regrouping and try again.
But more time gained is a good thing for the donated f-16.
The Falcon will go online . That system will make a dent too. One cannot have control of the skies but this bird can make sure no airframe is going up high and lob bombs.
The potential is there .
 
Snautzer01 said:
I would have some reservations. Personally i would like a source not connected to a party on either side. Bagdad Bob ...
However i do think as an armchair general the influx of i.g. arti shells would make a dent. Certainly with info the ukr gets from his allies combined with more potent defensive stuff it can stop the advance.
I do not underestimate the russkis from regrouping and try again.
But more time gained is a good thing for the donated f-16.
The Falcon will go online . That system will make a dent too. One cannot have control of the skies but this bird can make sure no airframe is going up high and lob bombs.
The potential is there .
Click to expand...

The absence of artillery attacks on Kharkiv are somewhat indicative of the report's accuracy, I think. Of course both sides will slant their reports, but I consider Ukrainian reports more reliable.
 
May not end up looking like this but still...

Ukraine Dassault Mirage 2000 2025a.png
 
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