"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (16 Viewers)

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Good point regarding the reaction. Next question becomes - if, for example, Poland were to react strongly (military action) would the rest
of NATO be obliged to support Poland ? Would any other NATO country be able to veto Poland taking action beforehand - another words, would Poland
have to get permission from NATO to act ?
 
I'm not replying to myself; I'm extending. Do also remember that Russia -- even before the USSR -- had a self-imposed task of suppressing democracy; that was the entire role of the so-called "Holy Alliance." It's another role Vlad the Molester has picked up with vigor.
 

Poland would not need NATO permission for a unilateral reply. It could try to invoke Art 5 but I doubt it would carry the day in the circumstances described above:

Article 5

"The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defence recognized by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.

Any such armed attack and all measures taken as a result thereof shall immediately be reported to the Security Council. Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council has taken the measures necessary to restore and maintain international peace and security."


Note that it is conditional upon an "armed attack", which fallout would likely not be considered.

Prevailing winds being what they are, fallout would be more likely to land on Russian soil anyway.
 
To follow up:

PARIS, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Britain's foreign spy chief accused Russia on Friday of waging a "staggeringly reckless campaign" of sabotage in Europe while also stepping up its nuclear sabre-rattling to scare other countries off from backing Ukraine.

Richard Moore, head of Britain's Secret Intelligence Service known as MI6, said that any softening in support for Ukraine against Russia's 2022 full-scale invasion would embolden Russian President Vladimir Putin and his allies.

In what appeared a message to incoming U.S. President Donald Trump's administration and some European allies that have questioned continued support for Ukraine in the grinding war, Moore argued that Europe and its transatlantic partners must hold firm in the face of what he said was growing aggression.

"We have recently uncovered a staggeringly reckless campaign of Russian sabotage in Europe, even as Putin and his acolytes resort to nuclear sabre-rattling to sow fear about the consequences of aiding Ukraine," he said in a speech in Paris.

"The cost of supporting Ukraine is well known but the cost of not doing so would be infinitely higher. If Putin succeeds China would weigh the implications, North Korea would be emboldened and Iran would become still more dangerous."

 
Further top what Thumpalumpacus has written above, see here:

Collective defence and Article 5

and here:

Consensus decision-making at NATO

General Sir Richard Shirreff actually addresses this within his semi-fictional book:



One of the challenges will be that there are 2 possibly 3 countries that I suspect would not be willing to assist.
 
... and:

A DHL cargo plane that crashed into a residential area in Vilnius, Lithuania, has led to speculation that it may have been part of a deliberate test by Russian President Vladimir Putin, according to German Bundeswehr Chief Inspector Carsten Breuer.

Speaking on the German talk show hosted by Sandra Maischberger, Breuer hinted at the possibility of the Kremlin orchestrating the incident as part of a broader hybrid warfare strategy.

"We experienced a similar situation earlier this summer, and now something has happened that fits this pattern," said Breuer during the ARD talk show, referring to an incident in which a parcel from the Baltic region containing an incendiary device burst into flames at a logistics center in Leipzig. Breuer's comments suggest that the DHL crash could be yet another escalation in Russia's ongoing campaign of hybrid operations.

According to Breuer, if Putin was behind the crash of the DHL plane in Vilnius, he would have created a hybrid state of affairs—"a state that is no longer fully peaceful but not yet full-scale war either." Breuer added, "This involves testing how far one can push." The general's assessment paints the incident not as an isolated aviation mishap, but as a calculated move aimed at probing the resilience of the West.

"This is not about Ukraine, nor about Russia—it's about the West," Breuer continued. He suggested that Putin's goal is to discredit the Western system to prevent it from gaining influence in Russia.

German general: Putin behind DHL crash in Vilnius

A DHL cargo plane that crashed into a residential area in Vilnius, Lithuania, has led to speculation that it may have been part of a deliberate test by Russian President Vladimir Putin, according to German Bundeswehr Chief Inspector Carsten Breuer. Speaking on the German talk show hosted by...
defence-blog.com

Even the nicest dog will eventually get annoyed enough to bite ...
 
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