"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (25 Viewers)

[GTX]

1°) Many countries are presently unable to reach the 2 % GNP NATO objective.

The official stats from NATO are as follows:

Source:

https://www.nato.int/content/dam/nato/webready/documents/finance/def-exp-2025-en.pdf

2°) Dassault because of the various Rafales previous orders is working at full cadence and in its present states does not have the industrial capabilities for more ; even if the 100 planes were produced, the pilots training will be kind of a challenge.

No one with any expereince is expecting these to start rolling off production line immediately. It is a Letter of Intent at this stage and indeed it has been stated that the deliveries are projected to be made over the next 10 years. Thus the talk about current capacities and the like are misplaced.

I would be glad to see the orders materialised but I have my doubts.

I put this in the same class as the Gripen E/F deal. It sends a signal, helps firm up support and shows that Ukraine will be strong in the future. What would be interesting is if some used copies could be loaned/supplied in the next 12mths.

 

[GTX]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi5oLsAlVuw&pp=0gcJCQgKAYcqIYzv

 

[GTX]

Polish PM calls railway line explosion 'unprecedented act of sabotage' | CBC News

Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Monday that an explosion on a section of railway line used for deliveries to Ukraine was an "unprecedented act of sabotage."

www.cbc.ca

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TfamkkVNhsM

 

[GTX]

The Battle of Pokrovsk, China's Plan for Long-Term Confrontation and China Cranky at Japan: The Big Five, 16 November edition

My regular update on global conflict. This week: Russia close to full envelopment of Pokrovsk, China's plan for long-term confrontation, as well as my recommended war and national security reads.

substack.com

 

[GrauGeist]

This is certainly interesting:

Poland in 'pre-war' period amid increased Russian sabotage efforts, top Polish general says

 

[Ascent]

Two Ukrainians working for Russia behind rail sabotage, Polish PM says

Donald Tusk said the two suspects had entered Poland from Belarus and had long worked for Russia.

www.bbc.co.uk

 

[GTX]

Ukrainians working for Moscow suspected of Polish rail line sabotage

Polish authorities say "everything indicates" Russian involvement in a blast along a railway line used to transport goods to Ukraine, as they identify two people believed responsible for the attack.

www.abc.net.au

 

[GTX]

Russia arms Orion drone with new guided missiles

Russian defense officials have showcased a new strike-capable configuration of the Orion unmanned aerial vehicle equipped with two Kh-BPLA (TKB‑1030) guided missiles. The Orion, developed by Kronstadt Group, is already in use by the Russian military for reconnaissance and limited

defence-blog.com

 

[GTX]

Ukraine’s Questionable Plan To Buy Up To 100 Rafale Fighters

After signing a letter of intent for up to 150 Swedish-made Gripen jets, Ukraine has now added up to 100 French Rafales to its future fighter list. After signing a letter of intent for up to 150 Swedish-made Gripen jets, Ukraine has now added French Rafales to its wish-list.

www.twz.com

 

[GTX]

Ukraine’s high-flying air power plans face turbulence

Running fleets of incompatible aircraft creates problems with logistics and pilot training, and Kyiv also faces cash issues.

www.politico.eu

 

[GTX]

Ukraine’s kill zone: How drones ended trench warfare

Abandon ideas of World War I — drones have turned the front lines into a different kind of hellscape.

www.politico.eu

 

[GTX]

Finnish president to Trump: Time to use stick on Putin

Washington should ramp up pressure on the Russian president given his unwillingness to embrace a ceasefire in Ukraine, Alexander Stubb said.

www.politico.eu

 

[GTX]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCdVN735CZs

 

[GTX]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=veuvml1zb7E

 

[GTX]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wdi7BNYrN9o

 

[GTX]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yBQuewfbR0Y

 

[GTX]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_vHhH2BN5o

 

[GTX]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P7nWfTJ9BvE

 

[GTX]

Some very interesting insights in this:


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sQdDtZQnYEM

 

[SaparotRob]

Russia arms Orion drone with new guided missiles

Russian defense officials have showcased a new strike-capable configuration of the Orion unmanned aerial vehicle equipped with two Kh-BPLA (TKB‑1030) guided missiles. The Orion, developed by Kronstadt Group, is already in use by the Russian military for reconnaissance and limited

defence-blog.com

View attachment 856711

I hope the chatter is correct and Russia won't be able to make these in any meaningful numbers.