"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again."

[Glider]

Am I the only one thinking the explosion on the Kerch bridge might have been a car- or truck-bomb?

I don't think so, if only because the strike hit two different bridges, rail and road. Also, two road spans have been brought down which is no coincidence.

 

[Jabberwocky]

Vast amounts of speculation on cause.

Leading candidate seems to be a truck bomb, possibly a suicide attack.

Another possibility is a boat bomb.

Third is a Russian ammunition truck spontaneously deciding to "smoke a cigarette".

Then there's a range of other options: ballistic missile, cruise missile, sabotage teams, Jewish space lasers....


If it was the Ukrainians, it's a massive benefit- it adds heavily to the logistics burden in the south AND then new main GLOC is well within HIMARS range.


If it was an accident, then it might be one of the biggest own goals in military history.

 

[Admiral Beez]

Vast amounts of speculation on cause.

My guess….

 

[Admiral Beez]

Security and Defence Analyst Michael Clarke explains how a key bridge linking Russia to Crimea has been hit by a huge explosion.

 

[RogerdeLluria]

Nahh, it was a false flag operation staged by the bridge designers to avoid any liability.
After all the bridge was going to collapse anyway.

Russia’s Crimea Bridge Could Collapse Anytime

Russian President Vladimir Putin has called construction of a bridge between Russia and occupied Crimea a “historic mission.” He should pay better

www.atlanticcouncil.org

 

[RogerdeLluria]

On a serious note, militarily, disabling (even if temporarily) the bridge could signal the start of the rumored Melitopol offensive.

 

[Thumpalumpacus]

On a serious note, militarily, disabling (even if temporarily) the bridge could signal the start of the rumored Melitopol offensive.

Or it could be that the Ukrainians wanted to give the drive on Kherson more support.

 

[RogerdeLluria]

Or it could be that the Ukrainians wanted to give the drive on Kerson more support.

Just hoping its both

 

[RogerdeLluria]

An analysis on the implications of the Kerch bridge explosion by Trent Telenko

Thread by @TrentTelenko on Thread Reader App

@TrentTelenko: The Kerch Bridge has been heavily damaged by a large explosion. One of the two road bridge spans is in the water, the second road lane has blast damage and a cistern train of fuel...

threadreaderapp.com

 

[buffnut453]

According to BBC reporting, the road bridge has partially reopened to cars and buses (although every vehicle is being inspected before it is allowed to cross). Trucks are forces to use a nearby ferry to transit into Crimea.

Russia reportedly will have the rail link restored in a few days, perhaps as early as this evening (although it's already evening in Crimea so that seems a tad optimistic to me).

 

[RogerdeLluria]

According to BBC reporting, the road bridge has partially reopened to cars and buses (although every vehicle is being inspected before it is allowed to cross). Trucks are forces to use a nearby ferry to transit into Crimea.

Russia reportedly will have the rail link restored in a few days.

 

[RogerdeLluria]

Don't panic, You're on the Titanic, The safest ship ever built

 

[buffnut453]

I'm waiting for the supermarket shelves to be empty of toilet paper...THEN we'll know there's a crisis in Crimea.

 

[buffnut453]

Ok...I'm feeling a bit smug this morning.

A while back, I wrote to the BBC that their map keys for the Ukraine war didn't make sense. They had pink areas as Russian occupied, pink striped areas as "Russian advances" and purple areas as ground regained by Ukraine. The pink striped definition worked when Russia was advancing. However, as Ukrainian forces took back territory, the maps often showed "Russian advances" lining up against territory retaken by Ukraine.

You really can't have both sides advancing at the same time in the same area...at least not for long. So I suggested to the BBC that they change the definition of the striped area to be something like "control of this region is contested." Nothing changed for a while...but then I saw this map this morning. Looks like they listened to my recommendation!

Ok, in reality, my one voice may not have made a blind bit of difference...but I'm going to claim it anyway!

 

[SaparotRob]

Stick it to the Man! Or something.

 

[vikingBerserker]

 

[RogerdeLluria]

Interesting essay describing combats for the village of Dovhenke, showing the difference in tactics between Russians and Ukrainians.

Thread by @ChrisO_wiki on Thread Reader App

@ChrisO_wiki: 1/ What is the price of defeat? Few episodes in the Ukraine war illustrate this more vividly than the five-month battle for the village of Dovhenke, an episode which likely cost hundreds of lives but...…

threadreaderapp.com

 

[buffnut453]

Nahh, it was a false flag operation staged by the bridge designers to avoid any liability.
After all the bridge was going to collapse anyway.

Russia’s Crimea Bridge Could Collapse Anytime

Russian President Vladimir Putin has called construction of a bridge between Russia and occupied Crimea a “historic mission.” He should pay better

www.atlanticcouncil.org

In yet another irony in this war, Moscow's Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said "the reaction of the Kyiv regime to the destruction of civilian infrastructure shows its terrorist nature." Funny how she never speaks out when Ukrainian civilian infrastructure is attacked by Russian forces.

 

[Dimlee]

In other words, just about all the age appropriate able bodied men remaining in country, and a significant portion of the women?

Of course, not. Just a small portion.

 

[Dimlee]

I'm waiting for the supermarket shelves to be empty of toilet paper...THEN we'll know there's a crisis in Crimea.

This boy in Sevastopol agrees with you.