"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (13 Viewers)

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Interesting piece on Russia's latest recruitment drive:


The suggestion that young men are being sent to the front with no training is interesting, albeit somewhat anecdotal. I'd be more convinced if they provided dates of when he enlisted and when he was killed, even if they're approximate.
 
One of the rare public announcements about Ukrainian KIA numbers. Probably, the first one by Commander in Chief Valery Zaluzhny.
"...almost 9,000 heroes who died"
 
Disagree, blunting and make the other bleed. Push when you can and retreat. Repeat.
Putin doesn't care how many of his people bleed. And maybe not this year, maybe next, IDK, but eventually the West and its taxpayers may tire of providing a seemingly endless $$$ billions for weapons and support to Ukraine if they don't see results.

The expulsion of the Russians from northern Ukraine resulted in a huge gain in Western public support and financial aid - every one wants to back a underdog winner. But that was spring 2022, we're approaching winter now. Is Ukraine's best approach for the next six months to hold its lines as is, whilst lobbing strikes into Crimea, Belograd, etc? Maybe, I'm not sure.
 
Putin doesn't care how many of his people bleed. And maybe not this year, maybe next, IDK, but eventually the West and its taxpayers may tire of providing a seemingly endless $$$ billions for weapons and support to Ukraine if they don't see results.

The expulsion of the Russians from northern Ukraine resulted in a huge gain in Western public support and financial aid - every one wants to back a underdog winner. But that was spring 2022, we're approaching winter now. Is Ukraine's best approach for the next six months to hold its lines as is, whilst lobbing strikes into Crimea, Belograd, etc? Maybe, I'm not sure.
To a certain level I disagree with Putin doesn't care how many of his people die. You are right but he does care about who dies. He has gone to a lot of trouble to ensure that the people who live in the major cities do not get sucked into the fighting. Nearly all the recruiting is being done in the more distant, poorer regions of Russia, where education and communications are less and life is more traditional.
Those areas seem to be becoming less fruitful for recruits. I suspect that if he has to go to the major cities then he will be in trouble
 
To a certain level I disagree with Putin doesn't care how many of his people die. You are right but he does care about who dies. He has gone to a lot of trouble to ensure that the people who live in the major cities do not get sucked into the fighting. Nearly all the recruiting is being done in the more distant, poorer regions of Russia, where education and communications are less and life is more traditional.
Those areas seem to be becoming less fruitful for recruits. I suspect that if he has to go to the major cities then he will be in trouble

There's very much a political calculus involved in Putin's prosecution of this invasion, not just concerning internal Russian affairs, but you're right that that is a big concern in the Kremlin.

Another thing is not about where you find the lads doing the dying, but also how you replace them with troops trained to the same level. One of the deep military effects of high casualties is the killing/disabling of potential trainers who can train them, and shepherd them through their first engagements.

I am assuming the Russians sent what they thought were their best units in on this. Those are now largely shattered, from my reading. The tranches coming in going forward will not get the benefit of their experience passed on either in schools or OJT. The Japanese naval air corps got a *whiff* of this problem by 1944, too.

Many of the experienced Russians are hors de combat, and while those who survived may be able to relay unpleasant truths into a system that discourages that sort of bluntness, the KIAs took their experience with them and that cannot be passed along.
 
Those areas seem to be becoming less fruitful for recruits. I suspect that if he has to go to the major cities then he will be in trouble
Good point. As for recruiting, how big is the Ukrainian army now? They've got tens of thousands of small arms, body armour, etc. flooding in. At what point will Ukraine's army have the one million NATO-armed men that Mikhail Khodaryonok predicted. Wikipedia currently shows the Ukrainian ground forces at under 128,000 troops.

How this guys gets to keep talking, IDK. Here's Khodaryonok slamming Russia's inability to mobilize quickly and its poor equipment, along with praising NATO's kit.

 
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