Deleted member 68059
Staff Sergeant
- 1,058
- Dec 28, 2015
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The Luftwaffe had to do it at about 5:1, which was very optimistic.
Aircraft production was not the defining factor for the British. It was pilot replacement, and not just young men coming off the shortened training courses and from the OTUs. The critical shortage that the British faced historically, even at the level of losses they sustained, was of combat ready, operational, pilots. The often quoted figure showing that Fighter Command had 200 or so more pilots at the end of the Battle than the beginning ignores that about one third of the total (more than 300) were not operational.
If the Luftwaffe was actually inflicting the damage its own pilots claimed, then it would have won the Battle, but of course it wasn't.
No argument what the "little ships" managed to accomplish and basically agree with much of your post, but they did that under cover of both the RAF and more importantly the Royal Navy. Doing the reverse in the face of one of, if not the most powerful fleet in the world at the time does not bode well for the invaders, especially when what the KM was going to try to bring to the table.Its worth noting as a general point of reflection that on 7th September 1940, Keith Park recieved an order from the Air Ministry to make preparations necessary to render every aerodrome in south-east England un-usable to the enemy (i.e. blow up the whole lot). Park refused on the grounds that it would have a fatal impact on the morale of the pilots, and guarantee their failure. Later that same day Churchill called Park and informed him that they expected barges to depart France imminetly.*
I`m just pointing out that the men there at the time believed that things were extremely tight at the time, and I dont think anyone should be saying thinsg like "I still think invasion impossible." with a high degree of confidence.
Its a valid point to deride the condition of the German barges compared to the craft used on D-Day, but having said that Britain managed to get a third of the total of 330,000 soliders who were taken off the Dunkirk beach & habour under fire with a bunch of leisure craft.... so the manner in which its done, doesnt preclude its occurance. Best estimates are that 1/3 of that total (i.e about 100,000) were taken over by the "little ships" over 9 days, and that was WITHOUT total air superiority (although admittedly the Luftwaffe certainly didnt put their full weight against them).
I`m not trying to compare invading England with evacuating France, but just making the point that crossings with very large numbers of troops under pretty sub-optimal conditions at the time was clearly "possible" in general terms. Although I`m sure it would have been harder going the other way due to the more remote locations of suitable beaches etc.
Dunkirk- The Rescue Fleet and Numbers Rescued. » Dunkirk 1940 - The Before, The Reality, The Aftermath
*pg 108 of the Park Biography,
V. Orange, "Sir Keith Park - If one man ever won the Battle of Britain, he
did.," Methuen London Ltd, 1984.
There is another school of thought. The French had just surrendered without Paris being occupied, and in the space of 1 year Germany had over run Poland Norway Belgium as well as France. If the RAF was destroyed the UK would have the choice of opposing an invasion and seeing every town and city destroyed or sullenly seeking "terms". It is all just a matter of perception and bluff. The LW didn't really have the bomber force to destroy all of the UK but they certainly could do a lot of damage. How many in 1940 knew the difference between those two possible outcomes on both sides? They could have used half their bomber force to attack cities by night and the other to attack RAF radar and fighter stations by day, from ASAP after the fall of France, but Adolf had ideas of an agreement, he was also discussing attacking Russia before he had really started attacking the UK. There were at least 4 philosophies at work which almost guarantees failure of any one in particularMy issue here is that we taking cause and effect.
Germany HAS to invade.
Germany HAS to park tanks on the Buckingham Palace lawn.
No invasion and no tanks then no win.
You can destroy every radar and Spitfires all day long. You can then turn Kent into a moonscape. But if the British keep fighting then it doesn't matter.
British bad weather and the onset of Winter means any invasion would have to wait until May 1941.
The Kriegsmarine couldn't invade UK in 1940 by any logical standard.
So realistically it was bombing and reducing the British will to fight.
You don't win wars by shooting down a Spitfire in a dogfight.
Unless you have German troops marching down Whitehall then and only then is the war lost.
The weather outside is piddling down and it's a British Summer! The weather alone could have defeated any invasion.
Its worth noting as a general point of reflection that on 7th September 1940, Keith Park recieved an order from the Air Ministry to make preparations necessary to render every aerodrome in south-east England un-usable to the enemy (i.e. blow up the whole lot). Park refused on the grounds that it would have a fatal impact on the morale of the pilots, and guarantee their failure. Later that same day Churchill called Park and informed him that they expected barges to depart France imminetly.*
I`m just pointing out that the men there at the time believed that things were extremely tight at the time, and I dont think anyone should be saying thinsg like "I still think invasion impossible." with a high degree of confidence.
*pg 108 of the Park Biography,
V. Orange, "Sir Keith Park - If one man ever won the Battle of Britain, he
did.," Methuen London Ltd, 1984.
Hi
However, pipe mines were laid under airfields and other locations.
What is surprising is that they were still mining airfields for potential demolition in late1942.
What you may find equally surprising is that at Lee on Solent after the war, they forgot about the pipe bombs under the runway. They were only found when the airfield was decommissioned in the early 2000's and handed over to the coastguardThe power of beaurocracy...
I found this....you have to wonder how much of a role 'ULTRA' played in the 'early warning system', it never seems to be mentioned in the context of the BoB. The major Luftwaffe strike operations must have required a certain amount of pre-planning and thus communications, giving the code-breakers more time to identify targets and coordinate defenders. I don't know, but I can't believe it was all down to radar, so even had the Germans succeeded in destroying the masts, a certain amount of target intelligence was always going to be available especially after the change in strategy..
Senior Nazi leadership tended to work on assumptions rather than facts.
The Kriegsmarine suffered heavy losses in Norway so any even remotely possible UK invasion was sunk at the bottom of a Fjord.
To me the invasion of Britain and the Battle of Britain are the same. As they are the tactical and strategic reasons for the whole shooting match in the first place.
You are trying to achieve a military objective and win or lose is based on this objective.
So we must know what the Germans were trying to achieve and what the British were trying to achieve.
Saying that the Germans were trying to get peace or a truce? Don't send a Junkers send a letter!
We have seen time and time again the failure of using military means to get a political end.
Either you fight to win cos the only alternative is to fight to lose.
1941 would not be good year.
By June1941 night raids on UK were no longer a free hit, the RAF had Radar equipped Beaufighters controlled by GCI RADAR , Germany was starting to need its own night fighter force and the battle of the Atlantic was starting to demand long range fighters/ raiders and the Bf110 and Ju88 were the tool. The RAF now had more and better Spitfires and Hurricanes armed with cannon with better trained pilots. However by 1941 Leigh Mallory was in charge so it would probably be over in a week.Let's look at say June 1940 and then June 1941.
So Germany launches Battle of Britain 2 with all knowledge gained from the year before.
They now got Bismarck and other capital ships. Bf 109 Freidrich and Fw 190 and drop tanks aplenty. Scoured allies and conquered enemies for a suitable landing craft. And time to plan and organise and get it together.
1941 would not be good year.