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Like I said, I'm outta here. "The First Team" is a good book, but it ain't the Bible.
Cheers,
Wes
For the record, I served nearly 9 years in the RAN 4 years on the Carrier as a PWO, reaching the rank of Lt. Some of that time was on active operations, not a shooting war, but a war of nerves against a foe at least as cunning as the Japanese. We were reacting to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1980, for the record, and itt was as close to a shooting war that I ever want to get. A friend of mine ended up in the drink during those operations and went onto command a Sea Harrier squadron in the RN. I can tell you there is a phenomenon known as the fog of war that absolutely makes your pet scheme unworkable. its called the fog of war. The unknown variables that will take the best laid plans and turn them into scrap at a moments notice. Your plan is full of assumptions and what the enemy is expected to do, the very mistake the Japanese made in their over intense planning for Operation MI.
Subsequent to my Naval career I was engaged as a tutor for strategic studies units at a local uni. You could say I was a teacher of tactics and how to plan for operations.
so I am confident that I have the training to assess and comment on operational plan. I am confident to say that yours looks good, but for the reasons the vets have pointed out to you, is basically a dud plan.
Dude.
You have multiple veterans trying to explain to you how the military actually works. Either a bunch of people who have probably never met are carefully sculpting a troll on you or you're beating a dead horse. Which is more likely?
To address (in vain) some issues.
It appears the intel from the code breaking was correct. At the time nobody was going to bet the farm on that intel. Intel had been wrong before. They firmly believed their were spies on Oahu. That possibility has to be allowed for and it impacted the plans.
If the carriers (or even one) is covered with deck parked Army planes it's non-operational. That's risky, as pointed out above.
Sending bombers, and a mix of aircraft did more than just put the planes here. It allowed them to see if the planes worked in an operational environment. It's going to be a long war. They might also do some good at the same time.
The mission of the carriers and Lang based fleets wasn't to destroy all the planes. It was to defend Midway and sink ships. That's why they focused on defending Midway and sinking ships. Carriers are a primary target. I know you disagree, please don't say so again. The admirals at the time wanted to sink carriers. They were right as more planes back in Japan don't matter without carriers until we want to get to Japan. At which time we will have way more planes than they do as America is big.
The admirals always knew that if we could stay in the game Long enough we could win. So what they needed to do was play the Long game.
Just FYI, I have read Shattered Sword, First Team (both) and about every book you can think of on the Pacific War since about 1968. Again, you lay your argument out well, but the U.S. did what it did for a reason.
Also, I'm not sure I'd say that the 96 fighter bounce of the Japanese is hopeless, but coordinating and actually intercepting en mass is the problem. I think logistically this wasn't done because the U.S. made every preparation possible to get ready for the battle. Do you contend that Nimitz et.al. didn't think of something like this? From my reading I got the impression they sent everything they could to Midway, not including obsolete AAF fighters was probably thought of as a good idea.
Again, I'll leave it at that, your scenario makes sense on paper, but then again, so did the Japanese plan for Midway.
Cheers
The Zeros don't have the job if staying to fight the defending fighters. They are escorts. They will escort the bombers to the best of their ability.