Preventing the fall of France would require a major upgrade of allied army command and control plus much better training (plus AA guns) for reserve divisions to handle concentrated air attack. There is little the British can do in 1940 even if there was a combat ready force the size of 21st Army Group, it would need 2nd TAF as well at least (including things like radars and airbase mobility). France in 1940 was a form of proof the bomber would always get through, without adequate warning the defenders could not stop the Luftwaffe from carrying out a systematic plan of battle field support and interdiction with acceptable losses, on top of restricting allied army daylight mobility.
As people have noted starting in 1936 means a lot of better preparation is basic production capacity, registered unemployment was 1,710,000 in June 1938 and 1,270,000 in 1939 and 645,000 in June 1940, plenty of people available, the finance needed to employ them small compared with the 1945 government debt levels. Basic research, as noted, more factories with trained staff, aerodynamics, gas turbines, all the usual suspects. Do the research and development earlier and more extensively, however apart from obsolescence actually building stuff has limits, in 1936 about 5% of the western world merchant ship tonnage was laid up, better than the 20% or so in 1932 but not encouraging new ship building. Doing conscription without having the equipment for the new units would be counter productive. Pressuring the rest of the Empire to do similar defence expansions.
Minor note, pre war the flying schools worked on regulars trained during the week, reserves on weekends, declaration of war saw the reserves called up and the schools choke on the numbers. Sort that out at least for fighter pilots pre war. Put the 0.50 inch Browning into limited production in early 1940, if nothing else the USAAF will love you for it.
The key is to have any required item in production by April/May 1940 at the latest, after that delays of up to 2 years can be expected. The need for airpower will hurt the chances of obtaining suitable engines in numbers for 20 to 30 ton tanks.
Things like updated explosives and fuses, ordnance in general, fuels and other basic equipment that will only go into mass production when war occurs. Doctrine, speeding up decision times especially for the army, ensure the British Army armoured forces employed combined arms tactics, an area it largely shunned until as late as 1944, made obvious by the early Armoured Division "Support Group" name, size and equipment. Tank units did do combined arms, armoured ones did not. In mid 1942 in the desert an experienced British officer was given a unit of the new 6 pounder AT guns as part of his command and went into battle wondering what to do with them, not noticing how the Germans would incorporate AT guns in attacks. Yet the much maligned Portee for the 2 pounder gave the army the chance to do offensive anti tank actions. Understand units in a desert environment need more anti tank capacity at least than ones in Western Europe or a jungle, and probably more light AA. Understand the British Army in general had to reach a higher level of command for equivalent firepower compared to other armies, Bren versus MG42, 2 and 3 inch mortars versus 81mm, 25 pounder versus 105mm. This means better communication links and delegation of responsibilities, something achieved in the artillery area.
WO 169/3861 (Eighth Army) G(AFV) Branch dated 'End Sept.' [1942] headed "Tank Overhaul Programme." It gives the overhaul mileage limit/annual mileage rate/time in workshops for overhaul (weeks) as:
Crusader 1200 / 3000 / 8
Valentine 2500 / 3000 / 8
Matilda 1000 / 3000 / 8
Stuart 3500 / 3000 / 4
Grant 1500 / 3000 / 8
A Matilda doing its annual limit would spend 24 weeks in maintenance, a Crusader 20 weeks, a Valentine under 10 weeks, a Grant 16 weeks, a Stuart, the Honey, under 4 weeks. Investing in basic engineering for cost of building, reliability and ease of maintenance before building the new designs. Man hours per gun and carriage
2 pounder 2,682
6 pounder 1,293
17 pounder 2,726
25 pounder 3,085
A really good dual purpose HE/AP gun is very difficult in WWII as the higher the velocity the better the AP the worse the HE do scoping studies, including engine designs in the order of 500HP for tanks able to carry guns around 75mm to give HE performance and then what can be done for AP, while also updating bridging standards and ordering recovery vehicles. While doing that use the chassis as the basis for self propelled artillery.
Air force, better navigation training and more radio aids, a GEE system provides a faster fix than direction finding, simple inertial navigation improves over water navigation. You want coastal aircraft to be sure of where they are 200 miles out for a start, given early U-boat activities. The on board radars were noted as being very useful when returning, identifying the coast.
The two biggest areas of direct British losses 1939 to 1942 are the bombings of cities by night and the ships lost at sea. An important part in defence would be radar, to have the numbers required in 1940 means starting work around 2 to 3 years earlier, in theory starting slowly from 1925/26 building on the pulse echo idea for ionosphere research. Chain home to look outwards, then the next generation which track over land helping to eliminate the plotting errors associated with Observer Corps position reports. Radars for all medium and long range anti submarine aircraft and night fighters.
Force size, Bomber Command 1939 to 42 had the least return on investment, transferring 4 group to Coastal Command and put the Whitley VII into production instead of the V at the end of 1940 expanding Coastal Command ahead of Bomber Command. Transferring 2 Group to Fighter Command as the basis of the night fighter force and still form the historical night fighter units. To provide an adequate night fighter requires ordering the Beaufighter instead of the Beaufort, the fighter coming with racks for underwing bombs or fuel tanks and under fuselage bombs, fuel tank, mine or torpedo, in reality 254 Beauforts and Beaufighters to end June 1940, in the what if becoming around 130 Beaufighters in front line service, 40 to Coastal Command, the rest distributed amongst the night fighter units, 1 flight of Beaufighters mostly for combat, 2 of Blenheims mostly for training. By end 1940 there were 497 Beauforts and Beaufighters built.
Development of the Hercules needs to be speeded up, and can be helped by cancelling the Taurus, otherwise there is little disturbance of the actual aircraft production program with inevitable knock on effects from the above changes. Everyone knows the designs best not built if you want to use full hindsight and so on, Mosquito given the go ahead in 1938, the night fighter version appears in early 1941. It is so easy to know what to do after knowing the answer. Like build the Mosquito and outsource twin engine light/medium bomber design to the US, along with transports. The RAF urgently needed a twin engine bomber better than the Blenheim, yet after mid 1940 many of the losses cam for operations the RAF chose to do, not needed to do, the losses on operation channel stop for example and the way the Hurricane fighter bomber could replace them there.
The next level of combined arms is Army/Air Force joint planning. It is instructive to note the USAAC debates about the role in airpower in the 1920's by people like Spaatz and Arnold, they were about the next big war but often were reduced to ideas about 2 to 3 aircraft, the numbers they actually had available then. Who had control was a big one but also how many aircraft to the soldier, of what type, where used and so on. And what to build in peace time that would give them knowledge of what to build in war time, while still being useful in both peace and war time. While noting aviation was advancing far faster than any other military area, by the time something arrived in numbers someone else had a better one at least on the way. Procurement flops tend to result in cut budgets.
Ultimately it went something like this, the smallest type that could carry 2 to 3 people plus a radio and enough fuel for 2 or so hours, under control of the local army commander. a squadron or so per corps, operating mostly over friendly territory, venturing out to around artillery range, with a side line of leading the way if the ground unit was on the move. Every other aircraft under the air force subject to joint planning. Specialist multi crew bombers, normally conducting pre planned operations, if you like using yesterdays news, to hit the standard targets around the battlefield, needing escorts to do so safely. Ideally small/fast and/or dive and so able to operate at lower altitudes than the heavy bombers for greater accuracy. The problems of and times for getting an escorted bomber force over a target meant they could rarely be used for fleeting targets, reserving them for such duty turned out to be a significant waste. The final category is when the front is mobile or being able to hit targets of opportunity. The domain of the fighter bomber, they can defend themselves or come from the same unit, some as bomber, some as fighters, quicker to launch but more importantly able to orbit waiting for instructions and if no strike is requested then released to hunt targets of opportunity. We know that, it seems so logical and obvious. Pre war the army wanted air umbrellas, continual protection along with strike support. In France in 1944 at least they received it, but the size of the air force required was by pre war standards massive and needed a whole extra offensive force that pushed the enemy air force back from the battlefield allowing lots of small, heavily laden formations to operate low and slow with acceptable casualties.
May and June 1940 cost the Luftwaffe 28% of its starting strength, including 23% of its close range reconnaissance units, plenty of contested airspace. From the extensive lists at
Martin's Aviation Pages 10 May to 22 June 1940, RAF France, 45 Battle abandoned, 136 lost, 21 Blenheim abandoned, 54 lost, 94 Hurricane abandoned, 161 lost, 37 Lysander lost, out of (abandoned + lost), 185 Battle, 204 Blenheim bomber, 21 Blenheim fighter, 403 Hurricane, 51 Lysander, 78 Spitfire fighters. Overall losses, 227 abandoned, 876 lost, 1,058 damaged, combat plus accidents. Not sure the Lysander did that badly given the circumstances, losses by squadron, 2 squadron - 4 aircraft, 4 squadron - 11 aircraft, 13 squadron - 9 aircraft, 16 squadron - 8 aircraft, 26 squadron - 14 aircraft.
Gloster built 194 Gauntlet in 1936, 10 Gauntlet and 278 Gladiator in 1937, 132 Gladiator and 10 Henley in 1938, 320 Gladiator, 171 Henley and 32 Hurricane in 1939, 16 Gladiator, 19 Henley and 1,211 Hurricane in 1940 (207 Gladiators were for export)
Squadrons of Bomber Command January 1938 by group,
1 Group, 15 (Hind), 18 (Hind), 21 (Hind), 34 (Hind), 40 (Hind), 57 (Hind), 62 (Hind), 82 (Hind), 88 (Battle), 90 (Blenheim I), 101 (Overstrand), 103 (Hind), 105 (Battle), 107 (Hind), 108 (Hind), 113 (Hind), 218 (Battle, Hart), 226 (Battle)
2 Group, 12 (Hind), 35 (Wellesley), 49 (Hind), 52 (Battle), 63 (Battle), 83 (Hind), 98 (Hind), 104 (Hind), 114 (Blenheim I), 139 (Blenheim I), 142 (Hind), 207 (Wellesley)
3 Group, 9 (Heyford III), 37 (Harrow), 38 (Hendon II), 77 (Wellesley), 99 (Heyford II,III), 102 (Heyford III), 115 (Harrow), 148 (Wellesley), 149 (Heyford I,II), 214 (Harrow)
4 Group, 7 (Heyford II, III), 10 (Whitley I), 51 (Anson I, Virginia X), 58 (Whitley I, II), 75 (Harrow), 76 (Wellesley), 78 (Whitley I, Heyford III), 97 (Heyford II), 166 (Heyford III), 215 (Harrow)
5 Group, 44 (Blenheim I), 50 (Hind), 61 (Anson I, Blenheim I), 110 (Blenheim I), 113 (Hind), 144 (Blenheim I), 211 (Hind)
Blenheim I, 8,839 pounds tare, 265 mph at 15,000 feet, 678 miles/230 mph/15,000 feet/1,000 pounds bombs, take off weight 13,100 pounds
Blenheim IV, 9,790 pounds tare, 266 mph at 11,800 feet, 1,160 miles/225 mph/15,000 feet/1,000 pounds bombs, take off weight 15,682 pounds
Battle I, 7,686 pounds tare, 241 mph at 15,000 feet, 795 miles/204 mph/15,000 feet/1,000 pounds bombs, take off weight 11,211 pounds
Lysander I, 4,768 pounds tare, 224 mph at 10,000 feet, 405 miles/192 mph/10,000 feet/no bombs, take off weight 6,282 pounds
Spitfire I at 180-190 mph, 8.9 mpg, adding 40 gallons gives a range of 930 miles, at 305 mpg, 6.4 mpg, 40 more gallons range 720 miles.
A 4 Pegasus engine bomber was called the Sunderland. Centaurus production began in October 1942.
Heavy bombers are the most economical way to deliver bombs, something that translates to lower running costs in peace time. RAF expansion plan A from July 1934, 8 Heavy, 8 medium, 25 light bomber squadrons, plan M from November 1938, 85 heavy bomber squadrons.
The British Army was a nominal 29 divisions in Britain and 3 in the Middle East in September 1939, 5 divisions in France by end 1939, 13 by end April 1940, many simply as work force, infantry without supporting arms.
Contract prices, British tanks, showing the savings due to mass production.
Matilda £18,000
Crusader £13,700
Valentine £14,900
Churchill £11,150
Cromwell £10,000
In August 1941 the US War Department let a $100-million order for 880 medium tanks, 2,300 light tanks and 1,090 armoured scout cars. In November Chrysler was awarded $127 million to expand their facilities and produce medium tanks. General Motors was awarded $25,780,000 to build the Flint Arsenal and Ford was awarded $39-million for the building the Grand Blanc Arsenal.
In September 1942 the 8th Report of the Army Service Forces Army Supply Plan, including the then current estimated costs, on "important" items of equipment. US prices are for the tank without armament and usually without the various items that were added as stowed equipment prior to unit issue.
Tank, Light, M3, M3A1, M5, M5A1 - $50,000
Tank Medium, M3 and M4 - $82,723
Tank, Heavy (undesignated) - $152,346
Gun, Tank, 37mm M5 and M6 - $1,425
Gun, Tank, 57mm - $5,500
Gun, Tank, 75mm M2 and M3 - $3,350
Gun, Tank, 76mm M1 - $3,500
Gun, Tank, 3" Heavy - $8,600
To compare the gun prices to the guns with carriage for use as antitank guns:
37mm - $3,480
57mm - $9,420
76mm - $21,300
Others are:
Gun, 40mm AA, mobile - $17,830
Gun, 3" AA, mobile - $37,500
Gun, 90mm AA, mobile - $43,800
Gun, 90mm AA, fixed Anti-MTB Mount - $23,000
Gun, 4.7" (120mm) AA, mobile - $151,000
Machine gun cost estimates were:
MG, calibre .30, M191A4 (fixed and flexible) - $350
MG, calibre .50, M2 HB (fixed and flexible) - $1,050
A summary of equipment costs dated 29 April 1944 gives the following representative costs:
Tank, Light, M5 and M5A1 - $37,560
Tank, Medium, M4 - $58,197
Tank, Heavy (undesignated) - $325,368
The "Tank, Heavy" was the M1, later re-designated as the M6. Only 40 were completed.
Aircraft Cannon, 75mm - $4,500
Gun, 40mm AA, with carriage - $13,100
Machine gun, calibre .30 - $147
Machine gun, calibre .50 - $323
Unit prices given for VJ-Day 1945 in a 1951 Army summary of costs were:
Tank, Medium, M4A3 - $47,339
Tank, Medium, M4A1 - $55,145
Tank, Light, M24 - $39,652
Tank, Medium M26 - $81,324