German command structures
Part I of II
On the basis of map exercises conducted by Felmy's staff at Luftflotte Two-the only such exercises (against Britain) held prior to the war-General Felmy concluded "neither the strength nor the training or equipment of Second Air Fleet forces were adequate to insure a quick victory over Britain in 1939."
The "target date" established for these map exercises had been set at 1942. Based on these staff estimates, it would appear that both Goering and his chief of staff were fully cognizant of the dangers in entering into a war against England before the Luftwaffe was adequately prepared. After an official visit to England in 1938, Milch warned Hitler against Ribbentropp (the German ambassador in London) whom he believed "was damaging relations between the two countries."
Milch also conveyed an additional warning; England was prepared to go to war over the Danzig and Polish corridor question. Goering would express his foreboding when, upon receiving final confirmation of the attack upon Poland, he called Herr Ribbentropp (then the foreign secretary) and shouted at him, "Now you have your war. You alone are to blame." Two days later (3 September 1939), when England declared war on Germany, he is quoted as saying, "May Heaven have mercy on us if we should lose this war."
A study prepared by Oberst (Colonel) "Beppo" Schmid, chief of intelligence of the Luftwaffe Operations Staff, further determined that the RAF could reach strengths equal to those of the Luftwaffe by 1940. Therefore, the priorities established for the forced submission of England were the " firstly defeat of the Royal Air Force, secondly incapacitation of the British air armament industry, and thirdly elimination of the British Navy."
Subsequent actions could then be directed against port, shipping, and other industries, but strong air forces would still be required to accomplish this. no mention in these professional staff studies was ever made of the impportance of the CH network, even at this stage German appreciation of its importance was limited. Schmid stated after the war that he briefed the commanders that because of the "high morale of the British people and the improvising skill of British leaders, Great Britain could not be forced to capitulate through air attack alone, but only through actual occupation of the island." At other time he testified that the LW did not appreciate the importance of the CH network, or the infrastructure that was using it.
These studies were thoroughly professional and sound in judgement, but as always, there was significant political inteference from the highest levels. Hitler's opinion, was that Britain could be defeated through a combination of air and sea blockades. Hitler insisted that, "the moment England's food supply routes are cut, she is forced to capitulate." If this could be achieved, there would be no need for invasion. Hitler then outlined his strategy in Directive No. 1 for the Conduct of War. The directive called for the invasion of Poland and a strategic defensive in the west against England and France. This was the basis of Hitlers terror bombing campaigns. it wasnt there yet, but the war experiences put the finishing touches on terror bombing as an instrument of war. The British were still some way behind, but catching. in 1939, their air staffs were still very muchbesotted by the notion of precision bombing...taking out specific targets by point attacks.
According to Directive No. 1, the Luftwaffe was to "take measures to dislocate English imports, the armaments industry, and the transport of troops to France." While planning for the contingency was allowed, no attacks were to be made on the mainland of Britain itself. Hitler would, however, issue a memorandum on 10 October detailing his intentions in the West if Britain failed to come to an agreement for peace. Specifically, Hitler identified "Germany's unfavorable geographic location for air warfare, which forced aircraft to fly long distances to reach their targets." In recognition of this limitation, War Directive No. 6 (dated 9 October 1939), mandated the occupation of "as large an area as possible in Holland, Belgium and northern France as a basis for conducting a promising air and sea war against England." Not all of hitlers interferences were retrograde....this was a positive step in the right direction...obvious to us now, but not so obvious at the time. Subsequently, Directive No. 9, issued on the 29th of November 1939, identified Britain as "the driving force behind the Western Powers' will to make war. The defeat of Britain . . . was the prime condition for final victory, and the most effective means to bring about this defeat was to paralyze the British economy." Again, i tend to agree with hitlers summation. The air staffs recommendation was based on the false premise of being able to gain air supremacy, and being able to carry out a cross channel attack. Neither of these presumptions by OKL were at all realistic.
The precedence established for target selection was 1) ports (either by mining approaches or bombing installations), 2) attacks on merchant shipping and associated naval escorts, 3) storage depots followed by transport conveying British troops to the continent, and 4) vital military industries including aircraft and munitions factories. Interestingly, after the main assault of 1940, this was precisely the template the LW reverted to in late 1940 and early 1941. and whilst it would gain outright victory, it was a more modest set of objectives that hurt Britain a lot.
The intention of these 1939 studies was not total war against England, or an invasion, or even an all out air war. What the Germans did desire was an economic strangulation of the British Isles to the point that a negotiated peace could be had. Political attitudes against continued German aggression had stiffened and the peace proposals Hitler presented in the Reichstag on 6 October were soundly rejected by the British.
The fact remains that neither the Luftwaffe nor the German Navy was in a position to blockade England to the extent required by Hitler's memorandums and directives. A factor that Hitler had not yet grasped but also a factor the British seemed to have been quite willing to exploit to their best advantage. Therefore, the German command had to devise new plans to conquer Great Britain.
Much of the German air planning for the Battle of Britain was based on the considerable successes of earlier campaigns in 1939 and early 1940. But, "no uniformly accepted concept existed concerning the operational conduct of air warfare against England." The prerequisite for successful land operations was recognized as security, through control of the air. The task for the Luftwaffe, however, was viewed in simplistic terms and approached rather casually; the only difference between the coming battle and others previously fought was "that the R.A.F., being the most powerful single air force yet encountered, would necessarily require for its destruction some time longer than the 12 to 48 hours previously allotted to other air forces." This was quickly exposed as the faulty assessment it was, but is indicative of the completely inadequate approach the air staff had to this most difficult of problems.