And with that document, you have the current F-22 fleet EXACTLY what Sprey said it should be in several 2009 papers written on the aircraft this year that eventually led to the current production halt. It funny though, Spey was part of the "Fighter Mafia" that brought about the F-15, 16 and A-10. How he defended his concept then and now out of "the loop" is condemning new aircraft based on his own design philosophies.
Bottom line Butters, the F-22 is bought and paid for and the reduced numbers reflect the current need and future planning. At the same time the same Pierre Sprey also said that we should build "4,000 smaller and more agile A-10s" and he thinks it will cost $60 billion, the same for 1,100 "smaller, faster F-16s for $44 billion. Now you do the math and if you anything about re-starting a production line, re-tooling for reconfigured design, and the sustainment engineering to go along with it, your first comment about dividing $65B by 187 will make a lot more sense.
BTW Sprey has also mentioned in some of his other recent papers that his 2009 "dream team" - "electronics will be cutting edge, all-passive with 360 degree infrared and radar warning," in other words no radar.
Sprey was brilliant in his day but I think not being a "player has effected his judgement.
Indeed, the F-22 is a fait accompli. The US has too much invested not to continue throwing money at it in the hopes that it may someday be a reliable and effective weapon system. That still doesn't make it any less a 'white elephant'...
And where did I say that I agree with everything Sprey says? As far as Sprey goes- for one, his views on how the USAF should be equipped, are irrelevant in regards to the validity of his argument, re: F-22. That argument stands or falls on its own merits.
Second, I am not aware that Sprey was influential in regards to the design of the F-15. It is my understanding that the F-15 was a response to the increasing sophistication and performance of Soviet a/c, esp the MiG-25, the utter failure of the ill-conceived USAF air combat doctrine of the early '60's (Brutally falsified by the horrendous losses incurred during the Viet Nam air campaign) and the conceptually flawed TFX program (now being repeated with the equally flawed and outrageously expensive JSF program...).
Your claim that Sprey, by attacking the F-22/F-35, is contradicting his own position vis the F-16 and A-10, is somewhat baffling, given that the LWF concept that led to the F-16, and the A-X program that led to the A-10, are the very antithesis of the pie-in-the-sky, Buck Rogers fantasies driving the current programs.
The A-X concept was for a simple, rugged, and inexpensive dedicated CAS/anti-armour aircraft. A modernized Skraider, if you will... IOW, an aircraft whose raison d'etre is not to boost the egos of the white scarf set, but to perform a vital, if unglamorous, mission in an efficient and cost-effective manner. Which it has accomplished in spades. No wonder the USAF has always hated it...
The F-16 was also designed to fill a very clearly defined and singular role. That of an inexpensive, no-frills, hi-performance dogfighter. The fact that it has evolved into a very capable multi-role combat a/c is simply a testament to the clear and coherent thinking of the philosophy behind its basic design.
Neither of these a/c, nor the core philosophy behind their designs, are at all similar to that of either the F-22, or the JSF program. Both of these programs are a reversion to the fantasies promulgated by USAF theorists in the '60's. Central to that dogma is the absurd belief that advanced technology is an end in itself, and that if you ask for it, Santa the US taxpayer will pay for it. I'll bet they all have well-thumbed copies of 'The Secret', in their desks...
The F-22 could not be killed, as Sprey well knows. And again, whether his opposition to both it and the JSF are the result of personal pique, is irrelevant. His arguments against both a/c deserve serious consideration, esp given how little bang for the buck these a/c have delivered. Or even 'promise' to.
Hi-tech hype and promises will not win air battles against well-equipped and competently-trained adversaries.
JL