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Love your avatar btw.6th Stormo yes? Ita unit insignia artwork is nice to look at.
Here's the estimates compiled out of Bergstrom's Black Cross/Red Star volumes 1-3 covering the war up to end 1942.
Soviet
21,200 lost total 6/22/41 - 12/6/41
(10,600 in combat 6/22 - 12/31)
5100 fighters
4600 bombers
600 ground attack
300 other types
The Bergstorm numbers are pretty good, but it's from published GHQ statistics (Krivosheïev), not estimations.*
But not very useful.
Bergstorm works are solid, the used GHQ (Krivosheiev) numbers that are complete and coherent.I'll politely disagree on the "not very useful" comment. Bergstrom's work comes highly recommended and his work seems solid. I was not expecting Shores like detail in the breakdowns given the size of the conflict, the loss of records during the chaotic periods and Soviet secreacy....not to mention the ongoing issue of revisionism and claims of bias based on source etc etc.
Of course not, be we can make at least a reliable statistical approach...It is not unusual for different sources/works to differ and it would appear that for the Great Patriotic War in particular, one is never going to fully know all the actual losses in numbers much less by type and specific cause.
Is it clear, like that?
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Quote:
It is not unusual for different sources/works to differ and it would appear that for the Great Patriotic War in particular, one is never going to fully know all the actual losses in numbers much less by type and specific cause.
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Of course not, be we can make at least a reliable statistical approach...
I think I see his point. It's that the total loss numbers are probably accurate and complete, but the attribution of them among causes is not clear or complete. If we want to assess German claim accuracy, we need to know Soviet losses to LW air action. It's hard to accurately estimate Soviet losses to fighters from the high level numbers as they include a large % of losses to 'didn't return' type cause. This is even true once we get beyond the ridiculous type of comparison which compares Soviet losses to *all* causes to LW claim.I'm afraid not. You say on the one hand that Bergstrom's numbers (which are derived from multiple sources depending on the snapshot being viewed) are solid, then turn around and say they are "useless for our purposes." (what purposes?)
I agree it's very difficult to publish a book giving the results of every air combt on the Eastern Front (as has been done, more or less, for many smaller air campaigns). Even assuming you could compile this info, who would publish this huge book?Being able to break down the losses by model type would be interesting, (and wonderful though going into this project I had no expectations of such given the size of the confict) but I remain skeptical that such a work will ever be published anytime soon. Even if it is, disputes and disagreements will abound. To use an example, in Vol 1 of Bergstrom's series, .
I agree it's very difficult to publish a book giving the results of every air combt on the Eastern Front (as has been done, more or less, for many smaller air campaigns). Even assuming you could compile this info, who would publish this huge book?You and I would like to read it, but commercial potential might be doubtful.
I find it puzzling Bergstrom has not reached a clearer conclusion on this issue for WWII in all his research. I've found his answers on that forum to the question 'how much did the Soviets overclaim on East Front'? evasive, frankly. Maybe this is an artefact of the internet era, where you often get to discuss and debate with authors and perhaps find them more human (and biased, though Bergstrom's most obvious biases aren't directly relevant to East Front) and trust them less than if you just read their books (there are people on 12 O'C who know Chris Shores and say 'Chris Shores just said' this or that, but he doesn't post there AFAIK). My only point is that Bergstrom's books are best broad coverage ones in English language for East air war, but I don't think they are the last word or particularly close to being so.
Joe
John Lundstrom posts on J-aircraft sometimes and occasionally elsewhere. He's a quite different personality, from what I can tell, than Bergstrom, who is not 'subjecting himself to nitpicking' but is highly opionated and not only on topics on which he has published. And he's free to be, of course, just like anyone else. It's just to give the context of where such discussions have arisen, which is not people spontaneously 'cross examining' him about his books but where he puts forwards strong opinions (for example, that USAAF fighters in WWII were really no more successful v LW than the Soviets, which is true in some examples, but a poorly supported thesis overall IMO) that tend to come back around to the question, OK well what *was* actual Soviet success v LW fighters? and the typical overclaim rate. Not well answered, IMHO.Certainly i don't consider them the last word any more than any other piece. In the end any and all figures are estimates and are not above question. Frankly i'm suprised Mr Bergstrom subjected himself to the nitpicking and cross examination inherent in an internet forum. (Certainly i've never heard nor read Shores or Lundstrom doing such any more than I'd expect Gary Grigsby to submit himself to the tender mercies of my fellow computer wargamers) If he seemed "evasive" i'm not hardly suprised given the size of the subject matter and the difficulty involved in resolving all the various data sources, especially in areas where they are incomplete or contradict each other. In the end however, i don't feel that there is anything "easy" about reaching a clear conclusion even when one has data on both sides. (re: the example i posted previously) and these authors are the ones who had to do the digging, and make the decisions regarding what to go with. Human? yes indeed. I hope he hasn't been too discouraged by the challenge as i'd really like to see vol 4 of his series. I've learned alot of interesting things about the air war thus far on the Eastern Front.
It's just to give the context of where such discussions have arisen, which is not people spontaneously 'cross examining' him about his books but where he puts forwards strong opinions
Obtaining all the existing info in all aspects (far beyond just who got shot down) and turning it into a book is never easy, obviously.
. But, topics like that are also sensitive, and Bergstrom works with Russian researchers/co-authors to do the research on that side. It might have some impact on how that topic is approached in that series of books.
not having the Bergstrom works does he cover anything on the LW night time activities with NJG 100 and 200 out of interest ?
Gentleman,
the german system of air victory recognition and the later recognition of a victory for a pilot was very strict, so where are the proof - and i mean a real proof , not a proof based on propaganda material and later transcript - otherwise we can write the history of all documents in air war new. Or do e.g. the 332nd FG really not lost bomber under their escort ? a lie, but a nice own. Or are all aliied air victories confirmed if a german airplanes went to sea; the pilot received an air victory without a proof.