These raids do not in any way prove the suitability or survivability of the Lancaster for the kind of daylight raids the USAAF conducted between 1942 to 1945.
The RAF wasn't flying "the kind of daylight raids the USAAF conducted." Bomber Command had an entirely different approach, simply because there wasn't time to retrain night bomber crews to fly in the large box formations as employed by the USAAF. The tactics were entirely different and hence the delivered different results.
1 These targets are within the escort radius of even the Spitfire IX from Southern England. IE 300 miles.
2 These are conducted 4 months After the June 6 invasion of France after the RAF has bases on the continent.
While many of these targets are located in western Germany, Hamburg is rather further inland...so let's not oversimplify the arguments by ignoring facts that don't support your position. I also don't understand the point of these 2 comments. The title of this thread is "Lancaster as an
ESCORTED daylight bomber." The type of escort fighter is not specified so it could just as easily be USAAF P-47s and P-51s, just as Spitfires provided escort for portions of a great many USAAF bombing raids.
3 These raids are conducted when the Luftwaffe is weak and on the ropes.
It was also the timeframe when flak defences were getting more dense and effective. Even 8th AF records highlight the increase in casualties to flak as the German front line collapsed towards Germany proper. And yet you state that the Lancaster was clearly flak bait.
The Lancaster is simply not being challenged by the Luftwaffe.
Do you have a source for that assertion? Clearly the USAAF bomber formations were still being engaged by both fighters and flak during this time period...and yet the RAF isn't? I'd really like you to provide some statistics backing up this assertion.
4 Bombing poor old Cologne was by then hardly worth it but clearly targets beyond the Ruhr deeper into Germany were a bit too dangerous to try.
That's a pretty big assumption you're making. At the end of the day, the bombers were tasked against targets that were deemed the most important given that stage of the war, which is precisely why so many bombers, USAAF and RAF, were used in CAS-like missions to destroy German frontline ground forces as the Allies advanced through Europe. Again, you're painting a very negative view of the RAF. I think you need to climb off your nationalistic hobbyhorse.
5 If they tried Lancasters in 1943 they'd get shredded. FLAK attrition probably 3 times greater, maybe 4. Operating at 20,000ft is also perfect for the German fighters.
With due respect, the USAAF B-17s and B-24s got shredded in 1943, which is why, from May 1943 onwards, the USAAF decided that heavy bomber raids into Germany required fighter escort. The USAAF never succeeded in unescorted daylight raids...at least, not until very late in the war. Again, this thread is about the Lancaster as an
ESCORTED daylight bomber.
One final observation...the Lancaster could carry a heavier bomb load and so required fewer aircraft to carry the same tonnage of bombs than either the B-17 and B-24 (the B-24 was better than the B-17 but the Lancaster surpassed them both).